Weekly Values in Fantasy Football After Week 3

Weekly Values in Fantasy Football. Weekly Values are all that matter in Fantasy Football. How many times have you gotten to the end of the season and saw one of your starters who lost plenty of games for you with a “Donut Hole” ended up finishing as a Top 15 player at his position because he played all 16 games? Yes, this happened to me for years, and that result was why I discovered that weekly value is all that matters to winning Fantasy Football. So let’s take a look at the updated values after week three. 

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QB Weekly Values

Only one player at the position has scored 25+ points in 75% or more of his games since 2019, and that is why Patrick Mahomes is often on the roster of winning teams in Fantasy Football. The standard strategy in 1QB leagues is to punt the position since the 12th ranked QB doesn’t give up that many points per game to the leader. Based on my weekly value ratings, the spread between QB1-QB6 is only 1.7 points and from QB1-QB12 is 6.8 points. But having a Consistency Rating of over 60% does give you an edge in matchups weekly. 

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Player   Weekly Value    Consistency

Mahomes	41.1	77
Wilson	41	54
J Allen	40.6	50
Brady	40	54
L Jackson	39.9	66
Murray	39.4	55
Rodgers	38	62
Prescott	38	58
Herbert	37.3	61
Winston	35.4	42
Tannehill	34.9	55
Cousins	34.3	55
Stafford	34.3	46
Ryan	33.3	41
Goff	32.4	35
Carr	30.8	48
D Jones	30.7	24
Bridgewater	30.6	36
Jimmy G	30.1	26
Hurts	29.3	42

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RB Weekly Values

We knew D’Andre Swift was a great value, but he rose the Weekly Values chart to seventh best after three weeks. When we look at Weekly Values, we see how important it is to have a top RB. The drop-off from RB1 to 6th is 8.3 points, RB1 to 12th is 11points, and RB1to 24 is 15 points in difference. The Weekly Value does tighten quite dramatically after the top 5. RB6-12 spread is 2.7 points, and from RB12-24, it’s only 4 points. Checking the replacement value for the injured Christian McCaffrey, we see that Chubba Hubbard is forecast to have RB22 going forward. 

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Player     Weekly Value     Consistency 

CMC	33.7	90
Henry	32.9	79
A Jones	30.7	78
Kamara	29.5	87
Cook	27.8	96
Ekeler	25.4	92
Swift	24.8	86
Elliott	24	79
Chubb	23.5	80
J Robinson	23.2	88
Barkley	23	64
Montgomery	22.7	60
Jacobs	22	75
M Gordon	21.8	69
Carson	21	85
Taylor	21	70
Sanders	20.8	61
Mixon	20.6	64
Drake	20.2	59
K Hunt	19.6	63

Fornette	19.4	75
Hubbard	19.2	100
Gibson	19.2	73
J Williams	18.7	56
Harris	18.2	66
Ingram	17.9	68
M Davis	17.9	57
CEH	17.8	75
J Williams	17.6	33
D Johnson	17.4	81
Patterson	17.3	37
D Henderson	17.2	46
Mattison	17	67
McKissic	16.9	47
R Jones	16.7	66
Pollard	16.7	42
Hines	16.6	56
Edmunds	16.3	63
L Murray	16	40
Gaskin	15.8	80

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WR Weekly Value

The weekly values at WR show how deep the talent is at this position, but there is still a tremendous advantage to having some of the top players. Devante Adams has a definite advantage, but if we compare WR2-6, we see a 2.8 point advantage, WR2-12 has a 4.7 point advantage, and WR2-24 has a 7.2 point spread. The drop-off is less dramatic as we get into the WR20 to WR35 range. Factoring in the 2021 data, Mike Williams is the most prominent rising star at the position up to WR19. 

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Player                  Weekly Value     Consistency 

Adams	31.1	86
Kupp	28.8	76
Lockett	28.2	60
Hill	27.6	89
Evans	26.7	71
Hopkins	26	79
Godwin	25.9	82
Thielen	25.8	65
Jefferson	25.3	72
Diggs	24.9	79
Cooper	24.9	72
K Allen	24.1	81
Ridley	23.9	83
J Jones	23.4	80
AJ Brown	23.3	67
M Jones	23.3	54
McLaurin	22.8	71
Robinson	22.7	80
M Williams	22.6	51
Woods	22.4	61

Metcalf	22.1	74
B Cooks	21.9	60
Crowder	21.7	57
Samuel	21.6	64
A Brown	21.3	77
Fuller	21.3	61
Chark	21.3	54
Shephard	20.9	72
D Johnson	20.9	64
J Chase	20.7	100
DJ Moore	20.7	75
Sutton	20.7	60
Boyd	20.4	66
Lamb	20	72
Sanders	20	58
Golladay	19.8	78
Beasley	19.7	66
Aiyuk	19.6	64
Higgins	19.3	70
Parker	19.1	75

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TE Weekly Value

Before the 2021 season, the considerable debate was whether anyone would join the Elite 3 (or4) at the TE position. However, after factoring in the first three weeks of data for this year’s games, it is now clear that there are ONLY two elite players at the position. Travis Kelce and Darren Waller have not only separated themselves from the pack at the position, but they also have weekly values that are on par with the 7th best RB or the 10th best WR. As a result, TJ Hockenson has joined the second tier at TE. 

Player                 Weekly Value     Consistency

Kelce	24.8	91
Waller	24.3	71
Kittle	20.3	72
Andrews	20	63
Gronk	19.7	50
Hockenson	19	45
Higbee	18.8	35
Ertz	17.2	46
Gesecki	17.2	36
Hooper	16.1	55
Fant	16.1	31
Schultz	15.9	36
Goedert	15.1	70
J Cook	14.9	69
Tonyan	14.8	58
Pitts	14.6	50
Thomas	14.4	59
J Smith	13.9	40
Henry	13.8	58
Engram	13.2	48

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Putting Weekly Values to Work for You

Weekly Values in Fantasy Football. Weekly Value ratings are weighted for the 2021 season but include data back to the 2019 season to allow for a more extensive data set to establish proper trends in Fantasy Football. If two players you are comparing for a play/sit decision are within a few points, that is when you need to put the matchup data of Professor John Bush from FakePigSkin to work for you! They are also accommodating when comparing two players for a trade. But when you are considering a transaction, you also need to compare your change of Weekly Value at the position you are giving up when determining the likely success of that trade for the season. 

Good luck in week four! 

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LINKs (My Podcast with Co-Host, Dr. John Bush)

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https://www.fakepigskin.com/2021/09/29/science-of-fantasy-podcast-episode-6/