Another exciting playoff weekend ahead for all of us, with a lot of bigger spreads for the home teams this time around and the division winners ready to show why they got a bye week. Coming off a great wild card weekend on video plays (2-0) and props (4-1), The System will look to continue providing prop winners for the divisional round. This week I’ll be focusing on the Seattle at Green Bay match up.
- 43-18 (Lines) 70%
- 50-23 (Props)
*All line plays documented on my YouTube channel System Capping
Seattle @ Green Bay
Aaron Jones Over 94.5 total yards & over 14.5 rush attempts
If the Green Bay Packers want to make a deep run in these playoffs, Aaron Jones will have to be a huge part of it. The Packers seemed to be getting Aaron really involved the past two weeks rushing 48 times for 254 yards. It is the season to run the ball and especially in freezing cold at Lambeau Field. Seattle is ranked towards the bottom of the league (29th) against the run (YPC) and allowing 117 yards on average. Jones should be featured in this game out of the backfield, both rushing and receiving. He also gets targeted in the passing game often so that’s why I went with total yards in this one.
Davante Adams Over 6.5 Receptions
Seattle is also weak vs the pass, ranked 26th in the NFL vs the pass, allowing 257 yards per game. Seattle also doesn’t have a shut down corner to take Adams out of this game so he should eat in this one. Adams has only been under 6.5 receptions 3 times all season so I don’t see it being 4 vs this Seattle defense in a big playoff game. Two weeks ago Adams had a 13 reception game vs the Vikings on the road followed by a 7 Reception game to close out the year. Adams will be rested and ready to be the best wide out in this game on Sunday, so jump on the over.
Russell Wilson Over 26.5 Rush Yards
Russell will have to lay it all on the line if they want to win back-to-back road playoff games and end this 8 game losing streak at Lambeau Field. He has been over this number the past two games and I think he is forced to run a bit more with the injuries to their running backs. Lynch is old and not the same, and Travis Homar isn’t proven. Seattle probably has a few run plays drawn up for Wilson like previous seasons due to the injuries. He had a few nice ones last week for 45 yards on 9 attempts and I look for Seattle to try and get him involved again this week. Green Bay is towards the bottom of the league vs the run (23rd) and will be focusing more on Metcalf and Lockett who can be very dangerous. Let’s hope Russell has been watching some Lamar Jackson tape and sees the openings this week vs Seattle.
Enjoy this week’s Divisional round guys and like I always say bet smart and know your limits
Good luck guys!