The System’s Week 14 Prop Bets

Lamar Jackson Josh Allen

Welcome to my prop betting article for week 14. This week I’ll be focusing on the Baltimore and Buffalo game, which I’ll actually be attending live. Most props come out Saturday or even Sunday morning, however I was able to find some that I like earlier today. I’m coming of a 3-1 Thursday Night and looking to continue to give out winners for Sunday.

Season Record

  • 31-12 (Speads & Totals)
  • 37-18 (Props)

Baltimore @ Buffalo

Josh Allen Total Rushing Yards Over 36.5

We all know Lamar Jackson can rush for yards but don’t underestimate Mr. Allen. The past three games Josh has been looking to rush more with a combined 26 Attempts totaling 155 rush yards. Josh will want to show Lamar he can also pick up yards rushing the ball, and this Ravens secondary will force Allen to do so anyways. The line is a bit low here, so I’d recommend taking the over of 36.5.

Lamar Jackson Under 200.5 Passing Yards

This line is a bit too high here vs the third ranked team against the pass. Buffalo has let up 195 total passing yards this season and Lamar has been known more for his efficiency rather than his yard total. Against a tough 49ers defense he threw for only 105 yards, and the week before 169 yards vs the Rams. The Ravens game plan will be to slow this game down and rush the ball, so play the under of 200.5 yards.

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John Brown Under 4.5 Receptions

John has been a great addition for the Bills and Josh Allen’s arm talent, but he should see Marlon Humphrey in this one Sunday. Brown has been having big games vs weak teams and corners. He beats guys with his speed, however Marlon can match that and will play physical on him. The last two weeks Brown has had a total of 5 receptions, with one of those games vs Chris Harris, who is one of the better cover corners in this league. Marlon’s cover grade of 81.6 this season is ranked 10th among all CB’s and his Forced Incompletion % is ranked 4th at 22.5 according to PFF. Take the Under of 4.5 Receptions.

You can find my full week 14 plays on my YouTube channel System Capping.

If you tail good luck!

More props will also be posted Sunday morning on my Twitter @SystemCapping.

Matt Madd


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