Week 12 Targets and Touches

Week 12 Targets and Touches

This report, Week 12 Targets and Touches, uses analysis of the metrics on Team, Position, and Player targets and rushing attempts. The more opportunity is the higher the chances for collection of your Team’s fantasy points. This information is meant for deeper thinking and note-taking. If you have deeper benches these metrics allow you to jump into new player shares early for gambling. That is how I use deep benches. I continue to rotate players at the bottom.

Lineup Diary

I would use these Team metrics with my rankings and snap reports to finalize the week 13 lineups. This process is not automatic and easy. I am urging all players to dig deep into their decisions. There is plenty of software to automatically set-line ups. I suggest using a notebook and record your process. This lineup diary can be useful for you to spot weaknesses or strengths in your game by the week or season.

Rankings Link:      fantasy-football-week-13-rankings-with-uncertainty 

Snaps Report Link:  week-12-snaps-report

Defense Against the Positions Week 11 to 16: 

defense-against-the-positions-weeks-11-to-16


A Visual Plot of Target Averages from Weeks 7 to 12

I have discussed my top-down approach to data analysis. These bigger views allow a deeper feel for the deeper data. Below is the table of Team Target Medians using week 7 to 12 weeks of target data. Week 12 Targets and Touches. Given this point, I shift to the most recent data block and use the last 6 weeks. Any new players and trends will be spotted in these most recent data. 

Team Target Median is shown in  Blue-Green to red  (Highs to Lows). More PPR scoring from High Target Teams is the thinking. The DIFF metric is calculated by comparison of the recent vs seasonal targets. 

  • JAX/TB/NE/NO/PHI/NYG/CHI/DET/LAR have been the season’s target leaders in weeks 7 to 12
  • WAS/BAL/IND.BUF/TEN/NYJ/DEN/SF/OAK//CIN/ARI are the lowest target producing teams in weeks 7 to 12

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Plot to See Team Scaled Target Averages Weeks 7 to 12

Visualize the High vs Low Passing Teams in Targets and Rate. Commit to memory for increased speed to analyze lineups and DFS plays. Note PHI is high in targets and has improved over the season as has LAR NO DET and CLE. JAX/TB/NE high in targets but have declined in the last 6 weeks (Real? Mirage?). Good to know. 

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Player Centric Target Metrics within Team

I love to see the player in their habitat for a deeper understanding. Below is the Weeks 1 to 12 in player targets as well as seasonal averages.

A great reference for Week 13 in case of injury, just come back here and see the next man up. Also in high use situations, stashing key handcuffs is a solid approach in deeper bench teams. 

Each Team has 2 blocks of tabular data:

Table 1

  • Team
  • Position
  • Players
  • Weeks 1 to 12
  • Average Targets

Analysis of Table 1 gives a view across the season for trend spotting etc.

The example below is ARI Table 1. Trends no use for TEs, Drake over DJ recently, Kirk over Fitz with others coming on in the 3rd spot.

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Table 2

  • Team
  • Position
  • Players
  • % of Team Targets (%TT) in the last 6 weeks
  • Recent 6 weeks Median Targets
  • DIFF (improving or declining)

DJ Declining/TEs static/Fitz declines/K Johnson also declining.

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     Now is the time to set your teams for the playoffs!

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Player Average Targets and %TT by Position

I also like to see the player within the position outside the team. What is the player’s success relative to others in that position in terms of %TT?  One might propose that this list is the order of handcuffs as well. CMC’s handcuff could be worth more than 6% than Barkley’s  handcuff etc. Just a mental exercise to craft stashes in deeper leagues. 

I love to generate the various levels of Target metrics to “catch” all the data for interest. I use to think about my teams, drop/adds/and lineups. Always chase multiple data streams for full landscape thinking. 

One might jot down key observations by teams, positions and or players. Then try to fit these elements together. Practice and note in your playing diary (Handicap your own decisions).  Own your line-ups!

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RBs

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TEs

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WRs

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Team Level Running Back Average Touch Metrics

As RBs can rush as well as pass-catching, we must look into the combined role they have on a team. The “touches” metric tracks this RB activity and enables a deeper view of the Team’s RB usages. 

This table presents the Team Level Running Back Touches from Weeks 1 to 11. Additionally, the table below presents the last 5 weeks Touch Median raw and scaled to the league. Focus on DFS on the high touch teams. 

  • High RB Touch Teams- Green Stained
  • CLE/NYG/CAR/LAC/JAX/SEA/DAL
  • Low RB Touch Teams- Red Stained 
  • ATL/TB/BAL/DET/KC/BUF/DEN/OAK/NYJ/IND

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Plot of Team Touch Averages

Nice Team RB Touch Profiles. Judge the team differences for handcuffs, CLE is number one and HUNT may be the top handcuff to have etc! 

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Players RBs (Within Teams) Touches Weeks 1 to 12, 

Looking within Teams for RB pecking orders, the recent level of Touches. These metrics give us clarity for the Teams RB crew. Look for new improving players or declining players. Note the extremes and then add or drop players accordingly.

Table 1

  • Team
  • Player
  • Weeks 1 to 12 touches
  • Average Touches Seasonal

Table 2

  • Team
  • Player
  • % Team Touches
  • Recent Touches (Last 5 weeks)
  • DIFF Late (Last 5 weeks) vs Season

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Players RBs, %TTouches, W7 to 12 Median Touches and DIFFs

Players have been sorted by Median Touches from High to Low (Purple to Yellow). Focus on all the layers for handcuffs and those RBs with independent value as well! DIFF spot improvements or declines while %TT hits the Team usages and value. 

Note Mixon 3rd on this list. Henry at 7th. Surprises? Howard highly improved as well as Cook/Gordon/Walton/Henderson. Gurley has declined as has Fournette, Carson, Jones, Ekeler, Freeman, and Murray

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Week 12 Targets and Touches

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