NFL Eliminator Challenge: Week 10

Welcome to Week Ten of season seven of our NFL Eliminator Challenge series!  For the third week in a row, we went 3-0, and while the games were a little closer than we would have preferred (looking at you Seattle), the end result is all that matters.  Let’s go for four in a row!  Read on and feel free to comment at the bottom or hit me up on twitter!

Step 1 – Avoid Division Matchups

While we didn’t see a ton of division upsets in our four games last week, we did see the Dolphins finally get their first win of the season against a Jets team that somehow beat the Cowboys only a few weeks ago.  Last week, it was Miami. Who knows who it will be this week.  I’ve said it once and I’ll say it again, do yourself a favor and avoid the below division games:

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  • Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland
  • Detroit at Chicago
  • Baltimore at Cincinnati
  • Atlanta at New Orleans
  • Seattle at San Francisco

Step 2 – Avoid Marquee Matchups

Prime time games this season continue to not disappoint.  The undefeated 49ers had a tough game on their hands in Arizona on Thursday, where the Cardinals came within three points of the upset.  Then on Sunday night, the other undefeated team, New England, wasn’t as successful on the road and suffered their first loss at the hands of the Ravens.  Sit and enjoy these games, just don’t risk your eliminator season on them.  Unless you want to take a chance, I would avoid the below marquee games:

  • Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland
  • Minnesota at Dallas
  • Seattle at San Francisco

Step 3 – Avoid Picking Against Home Field Advantage

We now have two weeks in a row where home teams came to play.  As mentioned earlier, the Dolphins got their first win of the season at home over the rival Jets.  The Steelers took advantage of a Colts team who lost their starting quarterback in Pittsburgh.  The Denver Broncos shocked the world, beating the Browns with a quarterback very few have even heard of.  The Ravens beat the previous undefeated Patriots in Baltimore.  We even saw the Chargers beat the Packers even with their home crowd filled with more Packer fans than Charger fans.  If you ignore the game played in London on Sunday, every single other Sunday matchup was won by the home team.  It looks like the home field advantage is finally catching up to us this season.  Be aware and avoid the below games where the favorite is the away team:

  • Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland
  • Baltimore at Cincinnati
  • Kansas City at Tennessee
  • New York Giants at New York Jets
  • Los Angeles Rams at Pittsburgh

Step 4 – Make your pick!

My pick of the week is:

  • Indianapolis Colts over the Miami Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins got their first win of the season on Sunday.  After that, their starting receiver was put on IR and their starting running back was suspended for four games.  They now also go on the road to Indy, and even if the Colts don’t have their starting quarterback, they should easily beat Miami in front of the Indy faithful.

 Other options I like this week:

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers over the Arizona Cardinals

Many people think the Seattle Seahawks are one of the best teams in football, led by one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL.  Take all that into account and notice that it took overtime for the Seahawks to beat the Buccaneers in Seattle.  The Buccaneers have a great offense and should tear apart a suspect Cardinals defense.  Expect a high scoring affair, favoring Tampa Bay.

  • Green Bay Packers over the Carolina Panthers

The Green Bay Packers lost a head scratcher in LA last Sunday, where Aaron Rodgers severely underperformed.  Thankfully, they return home to Green Bay this week, and while the Panthers have played tough football this season, with Cam officially going on IR, I think Rodgers is the safe bet in this specific quarterback matchup. 

Overall Record = 21-6

Follow me on twitter and let me know what you think of this week’s picks @DE_aaron!

Thanks for reading!


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