Week 1 Targets and Attempts
This report uses Week 1 Targets and Attempts metrics on Team, Position, and Player targets and rushing attempts. The more opportunity is the higher the chances for collection of your Team’s fantasy points.
I use a landscape approach to this data looking at Team level data. I use to label a team run, pass or balanced based activity. Obviously, these metrics are correlated to your collect choices of players to place in lineups.
I would use these Team metrics with my rankings and snap reports to finalize the week 2 lineups.
This process is not automatic and easy. I am urging all players to dig deep for their decisions. There are plenty of software to automatically set-line ups. I subject using a notebook and record your process. This lineup diary can be useful for you to spot weakness or strengths in your game by the week or season.
Team Rushing and Targeting Week 1
This table lists by colorized (high to low) numbers week 1 team rushes. targets, a ratio of rushing vs targets. I then have sorted by high run metrics. MIN was crazy by its 4.0 ATT/Targets. No way that was the game plan going in.
Assume in week 2 the teams will be close to their week 1 activity of rush first, pass first, or balanced approach. The more weeks the better our data so come back for week 3.
MIN/BAL/SF/SEA/IND/TEN/OAK Rushing First.
Caution on pass-catching RBs, TEs, and WRs
Pass First Teams. Caution on rushing only RBs.
Percentage of Team Targets (TT) By Position
These next data give context to each Team’s Position in terms of % TT and my designation of Usages within that team. Each Position has tabular data and a visual plot of the data.
I use to a tie-break in lineups in seasonal and DFS situations. Love a player favored to get targets and is low-priced on Fan Duel etc.
Key RB High Usage Teams CHI NE and SEA. Note only Carson seems a Bell-cow type. CHI and NE use an RBBC approach. Guess the right week to use one of their RBs.
Concern on LAR, OAK, and BAL. These were extremely low on targeting RBs.
Nice divide in the league in TE usages. BAL/OAK/SF/GB/NYG/TEN. Suggest you strongly force TEs from these teams into your DFS plays.
Caution for MIN/ARI/NE/CHI. Note CHI is getting back Burton who did not play last week? I have begun stock-piling B Watson from NE for later usages.
Love the High Usage Teams. ARI/LAR/PIT/MIN/DAL/HOU. Note MIN low targets on their WRs a concern!
TEN/BAL/SEA/SF/NYG/CAR. Caution on using WRs from these teams!
Scaled Team Targets by Position
I try to design my data figures for easy takeaways. Here I took the league %TT averages for each position. That number was subtracted from the raw %TT and that yielded a scaled to the league average %TT. Now the data is in the context of week 1.
I added a purple X to highlight what situations I found interesting.
ARI – WR strong but TE weak
BAL – TE strong but WRs weak
CHI Strong RBs Weak TEs
DAL Strong WRs weak RBs (expect Zeke picked it up?)
GB Strong TEs
HOU Strong WRs Weak TEs
LAC strong RBs
LAR Strong WRs weaker RBs
MIN Interesting WRs Low TEs (not sure this is the pattern caution?)
NE Strong RB weak TEs
NO Strong RBs weak TEs
NYG Strong TE weak WRs
OAK Strong TEs (Waller!) but RB weak
PIT Strong WRs weaker RB and TEs
SEA Strong RBs weak WRs
SF Strong TE weak WRs
Ten Strong TE weak WRs
WAS strong RBs
Week 1 Targets and Attempts – Key Metric Ratios
Another handy way to “see” the data is by ratios. This is a simple way for quick comparisons. Look for extremes is how I use this data for DFS and seasonal lineups! The low ratio teams should get you to pause before your plays.
WR vs RB
Ratio WR/RB – Compares a Teams Passing to WR vs their RBs. How does a team divide the passing target pie? Critical metrics LAR/OAK/DAL/BAL key Teams. WR3 more viable on these teams. I am picking up Cobb at DAL/ Snead at BAL/ Renfrow in OAK/.
WR vs TE
Ratio WR/TE – Compares a Teams Passing to WR vs their TEs. ARI/CHI/NE/PIT/NYJ all not using their TEs. Note CHI (Burton coming back pick up for a TE2), NE (Pick of Watson for a TE1 type gamble, NYJ (TE coming off suspension soon beat the waiver wire!)
TE vs RB
Ratio TE/RB – Compares TE Passing to RB Passing. Strong TEs BAL/OAK/LAR We now can add a level of TE use BAL is at 15 to 1 vs OAK at 10 to 1. Many are trying to nail down the BAL TE to have. Key
Week 1 Targets and Attempts Player Level Team Context
These blocks of data include
Sum of Targets (colorized High to Low)
Sum of Rushing Attempts (colorized High to Low)
Just because a use scaled and ratio metrics does not mean you should not use the raw data. I think looking within the team gives insight beyond a list of players and numbers.
I look for key aspects to use in lineups for seasonal and DFS.
- RRBC vs Bell Cow RBs
- Use of WRs Pecking Order
- TE usages vs WR or RB
Week 1 Targets and Attempts Player Targets High to Low
List of the Week 1 Top RBs via Targets
Simple List of the Week 1 Top TEs via Targets
Simple List of the Week 1 Top WRs via Targets
Week 1 Targets and Attempts Player Rushing High to Low
List of the Week 1 Top RBs via Rushing Attempts