The AFC South is looking top heavy with fantasy studs with the likes of a renewed Andrew Luck and an all-hands DeAndre Hopkins. But it looks like the busts from your fantasy season might also come from this division. As for the sleepers…well, let’s see how that shakes out.
Houston , 11-5, 1st in division
The Texans ended up leading the division, but is anyone feeling really comfortable with that stat? Pro Football Focus has graded their offensive line as one of the worst in the NFL, allowing 65 sacks in the 2018 season. So who are you going to target and who are you going to drop from the Texans when it comes to your fantasy draft?
Fantasy just got a whole lot better thanks to Monkey Knife Fight. With fast-paced games like Rapid Fire and Either/Or, it’s never been easier to play fantasy and win. New to MKF? Get Exclusive $100 Deposit Match + Free $5 Game
Keke Coutee, Wide Receiver: Did you forget about Coutee? While everyone else is eyeing Hopkins (rightly so), and fixated on Will Fuller (who has to return from torn ACL), don’t sleep on Coutee. He was sidelined with a hamstring injury that never seemed to go away. Now he is “feeling great…The hamstring is good…it’s 100 percent”
Before the injury, Coutee played seven games. In those games he averaged 5.6 receptions and 56.7 yards with two touchdowns. Look for him to be a viable WR3 with possible WR2 status if Fuller does not fully recover.
Lamar Miller, Running Back: Miller may not even be a Texan come the 2019 season, but he will end up on some roster. Just keep in mind, for 2018 he was RB24. Yep, 24 running backs were better than him, and yet his ADP is 44. Don’t panic and don’t be a name chaser. Miller is widely inconsistent. Most fantasy rosters cannot afford that liability.
Indianapolis Colts, 10-6, 2nd in division
Am I wrong to believe that one of the best things about Andrew Luck return is the return of Captain Andrew Luck on Twitter?
Fake Pigskin Exclusive: Join Monkey Knife Fight and Get an Instant 100% Deposit Match PLUS a Free $5 Game!
Eric Ebron, Tight End: Ebron is rightly trending upwards. In 2018, he recorded a receiving touchdown on 19.7 percent of his catches. That means he was scoring a touchdown once every five receptions. The question is, can that type of production sustainable? There will be those who will go for Ebron way too early because of his 2018 campaign and because the tight end pool is shallow. Don’t reach for Ebron or any tight end that isn’t named Kelce.
Marlon Mack, Running Back: Some will sleep on Mack, because the concentration on Luck and TY Hilton will be astronomical. Mack is a force in himself. He missed four games in the first half of the season. That did not curtail his stats. Mack finished as RB19 in standard fantasy leagues. He averaged 4.7 yards per carry with 908 yards and 10 touchdowns.
Tennessee Titans, 9-7, 3rd in division
The Titans will be without their offensive coordinator in 2019. That might not be such a bad thing, as their offense was not things of which fantasies are made.
Derrick Henry, Running Back: Henry most likely won some fantasy football playoffs for those who were crazy enough to put him in their starting lineup. And therein lies the rub. Henry is often that afterthought. But the Titans are going to need to keep their quarterback healthy, and one way to do that is to concentrate on the run. He won’t be catching passes out of the backfield (so not a PPR sleeper), but for standard leagues, just remember, he finished the season with 215 touches for 12 touchdowns and 1059 yards.
Marcus Mariota, Quarterback: There is no doubt of Mariota’s talent. He just has a problem staying on the field. And now that some of his problem appears to be nerve damage, there is a slight cause for concern.
So let’s see, in 2017 he had 13 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. In 2018, in limited play he had 11 touchdowns and eight interceptions. According to HeroSports.com, he ranked 29th in attempts, 31st in yards and 28th in completions. Mariota is worth looking at for a waiver wire (if he can stay healthy) but not a wasted draft choice.
Jacksonville Jaguars, 5-11, last in division
The Jacksonville Jaguars were a playoff team. That was two seasons ago. Last season they were bottom dwellers in their division, and there was plenty of blame to go around.
Leonard Fournette, Running Back: Fournette is trending downward, as is his fantasy potential. In 2017, Fournette had 268 rushing attempts. He had nine touchdowns and averaged 3.9 yards a carry. In 2018, he had half the rushing attempts with 133, half the touchdowns with 5 and averaged 3.3 yards a carry. YIKES!
Umm…yeah? To say the Jaguars offense is a mess, is soft peddling. They will most likely move on from quarterback, Blake Bortles, their running back, Fournette is a bust candidate, and who is their tight end?
D.J. Chark, Wide Receiver: Chark missed five games in his rookie campaign. He did not score a single touchdown. He had 14 receptions for 174 yards. He showed flashes of potential as he averaged 12.4 yards a reception. IF, the Jaguars end up with a respectable quarterback and some wide receiver help, Chark could be a sleeper. But there are a lot of “ifs” and “maybes” percolating around the Jaguars’ offense.
Talk at me or to me on Twitter @neverenoughglt