Welcome back to week 15 of the Week 15 NFl DFS playbook, Monday/Thursday night edition. This week’s games will feature so much offense that anybody with a pulse on these teams are in fantasy consideration. While none of these teams are playing for any type of playoff contention, the game should still be close and competitive. There’s only a couple of weeks left for this contest, so lets get rolling now and finish strong.
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This New Orleans offense has been clicking lately. Even with the loss of Mark Ingram, I don’t expect the Saints to tail off much. They’re at home in a game where they’ll need to put up points. Everything sets up for Brees to have a solid game, and you cant beat his price tag either.
*insert commentary about a team playing the Saints defense* What else is there to say that can’t be said about a team facing the Saints? They’re bad and Stafford is going to need to sling the ball. That’s all you need to know.
It’s very close between Carr and Philip Rivers, but Carr has more weapons at his disposal so he gets the nod here. He’s got one of the best receiving duos in the league, and Clive Walford has shown flashes in his rookie year. I expect this to be a high scoring affair and I expect Carr to be low owned.
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Murray has been a huge disappointment lately, but he gets a bump against the San Diego defense. They are, by far, one of the worst rush defenses in the league. This is a great game for Murray to bounceback. Last time these two teams faced off, Murray went for 85 yards and a touchdown. I think those are numbers are very attainable again.
Riddick is never a player I put a lot of faith in, but he continues to show why he’s valuable in a PPR setup. Coming into this week, he leads all running backs in catches. Knowing that I’m starting the game out with five points is huge in tournaments and GPP’s. There’s better options for cash games, but I’m definitely using him everywhere else.
Hightower did not look like a guy that was out of football for two years last week. The Lions have been surprisingly better lately against the run, but Hightower proved he can get the job done last week against a solid Tampa run defense. I think the Saints will lean on the run more this week as well and he won’t take much to hit value at such a cheap salary.
I’m fading Calvin Johnson this week. That sounds like heresy, but I promise you that I have a good reason. Brandon Browner might be the worst corner in the league, but the one thing he does well is play big receivers. Smaller, shiftier guys blow right past him with their speed. As you can tell, Calvin lost a step or two with injuries this year, and Browner should be able to keep up with him for the most part. If he does blow past him, then Browner will hold him for a penalty. Tate, on the other hand, will be moving all around the field and should find the (many) holes in the Saints defense.
Snead has been one of my favorite players in dfs all season. He costs next to nothing, and always has the ability to go over 100 yards when the Saints need to throw the ball – which is quite often. Brandon Coleman and Marques Colston will be on the outside for Darius Slay to cover. Snead runs more out the slot and only has 70 less receiving yards than Brandin Cooks. He may not have the high ceiling as Cooks, but I think he’s got a much safer floor for cash games.
I would argue that these two receivers have been the best two in football all season. Cooper has been more boom or bust this season while Crabtree has been steady and consistent. I know that I’ll get at least 12 points with him. I have no problem with rostering either one of them, but Cooper is more of a GPP play and Crabtree is for my cashgames.
There really isn’t anyone else for Rivers to throw to. He’s proven he can get the job done when healthy and the Chargers will need to score points. Gates should easily see 10+ targets going against the team that gives touchdowns away to tight ends.
It seems every week I have a pile of trash to recommend and Ebron is my garbage can this week. I blame nobody for sitting him, but he is playing the Saints defense. The Lions are going to start picking people out the stands to play tight end with all of their injuries. They need Ebron on the field and he should get a heavy workload.
The Saints may be the best matchup for tight ends, but the Lions aren’t far behind. He’s been Brees’s safety blanket all season long and he has the second most targets on the team. If you’re looking to fade Gates, Watson is your guy
Oakland Raiders/New Orleans Saints
I don’t like a single defense this week because every offense has the capability to put up 40 points. The Raiders have Khalil Mack, who is good for a couple sacks a game. The Raiders also played a really good game against the Packers on Sunday. Don’t let the scoreboard fool you, they held Aaron Rodgers and company in check. The Saints are my GPP play because I don’t think anyone is going to own them. They’ve played better lately under Dennis Allen, and they’re getting healthy on that side of the ball as well.
Week 15 is here and I still hate kickers. Both of these guys are at home so they’re good for three more points than their opponents, right Vegas? Any of these other kickers should be fine as well, but these two are veterans who have proven they can kicks from deep.
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