NFL Picks Against the Spread: Championship Round

Marshawn Lynch vs Green Bay Packers

The Championship Round is upon us. The winner of the respective championship games will represent their their conference in the Super Bowl. The NFC Championship game will once again be hosted by the Seattle Seahawks. They will take on Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. The AFC Championship game features an Indianapolis Colt team heading into Foxborough to take on the New England Patriots. Both games have the potential to be compelling but if their previous matchup showed us anything, they will not be.

As great as my 3-1 start was in wild card weekend, I was reminded why casinos continue to make so much money and can continue to survive. A 1-3 week was less than ideal. The Ravens had a two touchdown lead, twice against New England and still found a way to lose. The Panthers were driving into the red zone and did the one thing you can’t ever to against Seattle, throw a pick 6. The potential for another successful week was their but faded much like the mirage you see after stumbling through the desert, dehydrated and with empty pockets.

Thus far I’m 4-4 with 3 games left. Lets find some winners!

Seattle Seahawks -7.5 vs Green Bay Packers

The NFC Championship game is a rematch from the NFL opener from Week 1. The Green Bay Packers head into Seattle in an attempt to get redemption on their mauling from Week 1 and the infamous Monday Night Football game that featured replacement referees and a questionable call at best.

Unfortunately for the Packers, they come into this game with Aaron Rodgers on one leg. He has been doing his best hobbling around the past two games. He has been nothing short of spectacular, making dynamic throws when they were most needed. The Packers will also be going against a Seahawk defense that swarmed them in week one.

Eddie Lacy run vs Seattle

(Getty Images)

If the Packers want to stay in this game, they must implore some the strategy the Cowboys used. They will need a healthy dose of Eddie Lacy, primarily between the tackles. It will allow The Packers to chew clock, keep the Seahawk offense on the sidelines and help quiet the 12th man. A healthy run game will also help Aaron Rodgers avoid pressure and the Packers wide receivers see more single coverage.

The Seahawks will simply need to do what they do best. A terrifying pass rush combined with the best secondary in the NFL should slow the Packers pass attack. On offense they will need to use Marshawn Lynch, until the wheels fall off. By the second half, Lynch will be a terror and gaining massive chunks every time he touches the ball.

Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski

(AJ Mast/AP Images)

New England Patriots -7 vs Indianapolis Colts

The Patriots and Colts meet again this season, this time in New England. These two teams met in Indianapolis in Week 11. The Patriots put the hurt on the Colts including 200 yards and 4 touchdowns from Jonas Grey.

The Colts defense was very impressive a week ago against Denver and will have to play exceptional again this week if they want to win. On offense Andrew Luck will need to hit on big plays and they will need to avoid the costly turnover.

Andrew Luck

(Jim Rogash/Getty Images)

For the Patriots they will need to once again utilize the rush attack and get Rob Gronkowski involved. Their secondary will need to play much better than they did a week ago as well. Joe Flacco lit them up for 292 yards and 4 touchdowns.

I’m still in the mindset that the Colts can not hang with good teams. I assumed the Broncos were a good team a week ago that just need the playoffs to turn it on. I was wrong. The Broncos team that failed to show up on defense and had a hobbling quarterback who couldn’t find a receiver more than 5 yards down the field wasn’t going to beat anyone.

Typically I hate to pick favorites and lay that many points with anyone but Seattle and New England seem to be on a collision course for Super Bowl 49. This may be a great time for a two team tease that puts both lines to favorites -1 or -1.5.

Sundays games should be enjoyable for the most part with the home teams pulling away at the end and getting the cover. Enjoy the AFC and NFC championship games and check back for coverage of Super Bowl 49, including a pick against the spread.


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