Aaron Rodgers, GBP ($8,600)
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Aaron Rodgers will cost a pretty penny this week, as he should. At $8,600, he ranks amongst the highest salaried QBs. In a game where it’s winner takes the NFC North division, I expect Rodgers to have a good game. Yes, earlier this season Detroit smothered Aaron Rodgers holding him to just 162 yards passing and one touchdown, but expect things to be different at Lambeau where Rodgers thrives.
This season, Aaron Rodgers has 23 touchdowns and ZERO interceptions at home.
So – 23 touchdowns at home, last game of the season, if they win they clinch the NFC North… you get it, Rodgers is worth the price tag this week. Stack him with either Jordy Nelson or Randall Cobb with confidence.
Cam Newton, CAR ($7500)
Like Rodgers, Cam Newton is competing for the NFC South title even though they will finish with a losing record. Uncharacteristically, the Falcons have managed to get pressure on QBs over the last few games, but I don’t think it’s enough to stop the running quarterback.
Newton could have a nice day passing the ball too as Desmond Trufant has been solid this season, but surrendered a touchdown to Carolina the last time these two teams met. Other than Trufant, the corners are not very good. He also eclipsed 300 yards the last time they played.
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We could see more of Cam running the ball this game, too. In the last game in Carolina, he had five carries, for 30 yards, but has averaged 11 carries over his last three games.
In Week 17, we look for guys who are going to get full workloads, and Newton definitely will. Stack him with Kelvin Benjamin.
Chase Daniel, KC and Jimmy Garoppolo, NE ($5000)
Minimally priced QBs are fun, aren’t they? For one thing, they definitely offer extra lineup flexibility, which for GPPs are always nice. I like Chase Daniel because it’s a home game, he’s played them in his only career start, and the CBs in San Diego are not that great, especially Shareece Wright. I also think he gets KC’s first wide receiver touchdown this season. I like an Albert Wilson stack here.
It’s unsure how much Garoppolo will play, but he definitely will at some point. Even his teammates are saying he’s going to be “(expletive) cold-blooded” in Week 17. Buffalo has a good defense, but I can see him hooking up with fellow reserve Brian Tyms just like Tyms did earlier this season against Buffalo. Stack him with Brian Tyms if you’re feeling risky.
Other notables: Tony Romo
Odell Beckham Jr., NYG, ($9600)
There’s really not much analysis to go with this pick. OBJ is OBJ. He’s the most expensive WR, and rightfully so. He takes on the Eagles and Bradley Fletcher. Spend for him.
Vincent Jackson, TB (C$5,500)
I’m buying Vincent Jackson everywhere this week. In Week 17 he’s home against the putrid New Orleans Saints secondary. I don’t care which corner he sees in this game, he’s going to torch them. He had a 8-144-0 line the last time he faced them and he’ll likely do it again. He’ll likely drawn Keenan Lewis the majority of the day and he had half of his receptions against him in their last outing.
Over his past five games, he’s averaging 9.2 targets per game, and that include one game where he mustered 17 targets. Not to mention he got 12 the last time he played the Saints. At $5500, he’s a steal.
Albert Wilson, KC ($3,800)
Just think- he’d be a heck of a lot more expensive had Alex Smith connected with him on that bomb at Pittsburgh last week, but he didn’t, but still had a respectable game. But STOP THE PRESS, CHASE DANIELS IS THE NEW GUY UNDER CENTER THIS WEEK.
That’s right! Chase Daniel! But you already know that if you read above.
I suspect Albert Wilson will be seeing a lot of Shareece Wright, so not only could Albert Wilson score KC’s first wide receiver TD this season, yourself and I could score on Wright, too. In DraftKings where it’s 1 point per reception, I expect 5- of his points come from that. Start him up!
Other notables: Dez Bryant, Jordy Nelson, Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Roddy White, Kelvin Benjamin, DeSean Jackson, Charles Johnson, Brian Tyms
Le’Veon Bell, PIT ($9,500)
Like OBJ, he’s the top priced RB and he should be. Again, his team has something to play for and you need to pay up in Week 17 especially for guys who will play a full slate. He torched the Bengals last time they played, too.
CJ Anderson, DEN ($7,000)
He’s on the higher end of “middle tier” at $7,000, but against the Raiders, find a way to get him in there. In a game where I think we can expect Denver to be up, Anderson will likely see 30+ touches. Despite Manning’s noddle arm showing against the Bengals, this is the Raiders (which, with all due respect, have a respectable defense) and I expect Manning to have a good game. He only had 17 total touches last time against Oakland, and I expect more. In this touches, that included 13 caries which was for 90 yards, and also four catches for 73 yards and a score. I think a TD on the ground and in the air are possible this game. The Raiders have given up SEVEN receiving touchdowns to RBs this season. That’s tied for worst in the league.
Matt Asiata, MIN ($5,000)
The plodder, Mr. 3TDMatt is in for another good week. He takes on the Chicago Bears this week who are ranked in the bottom third of the league against running backs. I think the game will be reasonably close throughout and expect the usual 20+ carries for Asiata. It may only be 60-70 yards rushing, but Matt Asiata WILL score a touchdown this week. He’s really a decent pass catcher, too. At $5,000 he has superb value going in to Week 17.
Also, a side note, with Rolando McClain out, Alfred Morris a $4,600 has a great chance to find the end zone this week, too.
Notables: Matt Forte, Arian Foster, Justin Forsett, Branden Oliver
For this section, I’m not going to do tiers, tight end is usually hit or miss, but here are a few good plays.
Scott Chandler, BUF ($3,500)
If the Patriots are weak anywhere it’s against the tight end.
Earlier this season, Chandler accumulated 9 targets, 6 receptions for over 100 yards against the Patriots. In a game where I expect the Patriots sit the starters at some point, Chandler should find the end zone, or at least repeat his success from the last game. He’s extremely cheap, too.
Mychal Rivera, OAK ($3,300)
Again, another cheap option, and a guy who did well the last time he played the Denver Broncos, catching six balls for 64 yards and found the end zone.
Derek Carr is going to have to throw in this game to keep pace. He threw 44 times last time he played the Broncos.
The Broncos struggled to contain Jermaine Gresham last week, which is notable.
Also of note, TJ Ward is questionable and Brandon Marshall is again ruled out. They covered Rivera the majority of the time last time they played. He could really rack up a good number of receptions and is likely to find the end zone again. Fire up Mychal Rivera!
Notables: Coby Fleener, Julius Thomas
Baltimore Ravens, ($3,300)
They’re playing at home against UDFA Connor Shaw who is Josh Gordon-less. Despite the Ravens secondary woes, they’ll be a top-2 defense this week. Yes, TOP-TWO.