Happy Thanksgiving everyone. Take advantage of the three F’s today: family, food and football. Given an extra day packed full of football, taking advantage of the slate of games seemed like the only logical decision. Turkey Day has three NFL and two College Football games to start the long weekend out right.
The NFL slate has the best group of Thanksgiving Day games I can ever remember. The first game features a questionable Bears team heads Ford Field in Detroit to take a Lions team that has left more questions than answers after the struggles of the past couple weeks. It also features a NFC East clash between the Eagles and Cowboys in Jerry World with first place in the division on the line. The final game is one of the most anticipated games of the season with the Seahawks flying south to take on the 49ers.
Thursday also features a pair of College Football games are sandwiched in between the NFL action. LSU heads to Kyle Field to take on an Texas A&M squad that epitomizes inconsistency. Meanwhile in Austin the Longhorns welcome a TCU team that is trying to fight its way into the College Football Playoff.
Chicago Bears +7 at Detroit Lions
The Chicago Bears have been frustrating to watch this season. A poor offensive line, shaky play by Jay Cutler and a defense that relies on big plays has left bettors, fans and fantasy owners all frustrated. The past two weeks have been trending in the right direction for the Bears. They have covered the past two games and I expect them to do it once again this week. The Lions on the other hand have relied on comeback efforts and a strong defense this season. Outside of Week one, when they scored 35 points, they haven’t been able to manage more than 24 points. I expect the early start time to aid in the slow start. The Bears are getting far too many points against a Lions team that has failed to cover four of their last five games. The under on 47.5 seems like a slam dunk for two teams who typically score in the low 20’s.
Dallas Cowboys -3 v Philadelphia Eagles
The Mark Sanchez led Eagles head to Dallas to take on a Cowboys team that has been impressive this season. The commitment to the run game has allowed their defense to stay on the sidelines and help keep quarterback Tony Romo from getting hit for the most part. This game is for the NFC East lead. The Eagles have played three tough NFC games this season (49ers, Cardinals and Packers) and have gone 0-3 in those games. If the Cowboys feed DeMarco Murray and protect Tony Romo they should win and cover the 3 point spread.
San Francisco 49ers -1 v Seattle Seahawks
The Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers rivalry has emerged one of the best rivalries in all of football. They feature two really good teams that will hit hard and make big plays all over the field. The Seahawks played a slug it out game a week ago and are now on the road four days later. The 49ers remain at home this week coming off a less than impressive win against the Redskins despite a strong defensive effort. I expect the this game to be slug it out game with the 49ers winning at home.
LSU Tigers -3 at Texas A&M Aggies
Kyle Allen helped infuse a jolt into Texas A&M, helping them beat an Auburn team that seemed destined to play Alabama with playoff implications for both teams. The Aggies received a dose of reality against Missouri in their last game. The Aggies have failed to cover in six of their last 7 games.
LSU comes into this game with a terrific defense that will put continuous pressure on Kyle Allen. While the LSU offense has been inconsistent at best, i expect a big effort from Leonard Fournette in this game helping the Tigers not only win but cover the 3 point spread.
TCU Horned Frogs -6.5 at Texas Longhorns
Texas has made strides this season under new coach Charlie Strong. Quarterback Tyrone Swoopes has played much better as of late and improved an anemic offense. The Longhorns have won and covered their last three games. Both of those streaks come to an end this week however. TCU is currently just on the outside, looking in on the College Football Playoffs final four. They need to win and win impressively if they want to make sure they end up as one of the four teams remaining. Thursday will give them a shot to have on national television to stake their claim and prove they belong. Despite not covering in two of their last three games, they only have one loss and were 7-0 against the spread prior to the three game stretch. The Horned Frogs will want to bounce back after an unimpressive showing against Kansas a week ago. TCU will win and win big in this game.
Enjoy the Turkey and the football all day. My normal NFL Picks Against the Spread and College Football picks against the spread will still be out Friday to get you ready for an awesome slate of games. I will include a handful of Friday specials in my College Picks column as well. Stay tuned to Fakepigskin.com.
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