Week 12 in my College Football Picks Against the Spread has become a bounce back opportunity. Week 11 was my first under .500 week in over a month. October was fantastic going 17-3-1. A 1-4 start to November was definitely not in the cards but it felt like a dose of reality I was in need of.
Week 12 features a huge in-state match up, a top 5 clash in the SEC and a battle in Big 12 country. Florida State is looking to remain unbeaten and in the College Football Playoff. This is a spot many think could be a stumbling block, though many have predicted that may happen along the way, including myself. Mississippi State is getting their biggest test to date and could all but guarantee themselves a spot in the Playoff with a win.
As sad as I am this season is coming to an end in the next couple weeks, it only means it Bowl Season which should be a blast yet again.
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>Season Total 30-19-2
>Upset Alert 7-6
Without further ado lets get to Week 12.
Florida State Seminoles -1.5 at Miami Hurricanes
This games screams take Florida State, which is a huge concern. Typically when a team like Florida State is favored by anything less than a touchdown, its because they feel the other team has the advantage and Las Vegas is begging you to take the favorite. Miami has Duke Johnson at running back who is a stud and has played well all season. Quarterback Brad Kaaya has been improving all season. This game will be a huge test for him. It may not be pretty, especially early but the Seminoles will be in the College Football Playoff at the end of the season and with a 0 in the loss column. Florida State will win and cover this game.
Arkansas Razorbacks -1.5 vs LSU Tigers
LSU is on the road this week after a three week stretch of being home. Unfortunately for LSU, that stretch concluded with a gut wrenching loss to its bitter rival Alabama. LSU had a 3 point lead with less than a minute to play in the game. Not only did quarterback Blake Sims take the Tide down for the game tying field goal in regulation but led a drive in overtime to finish the game. Arkansas has a tough defense and an ability to run the ball that gives their opponents problems. The Razorbacks have every game except two this season. I expect to still be the case after this game. The Razorbacks will win this game at home and cover the spread.
Mississippi State Bulldogs +8.5 at Alabama Crimson Tide
The number one team catching this many points, even in a road game almost never happens. This line says more about what Alabama is than what Mississippi State is not. There is a trust factor the Crimson Tide has built up that the Bulldogs don’t currently possess. Dak Prescott is a legit quarterback and Heisman contender. This game was close to being my Upset Special for Week 12, but i couldn’t pull the trigger. This game will be a touchdown or less game late in the fourth quarter. The Bulldogs will cover this game and has the chance to pull the upset.
Texas Longhorns -2.5 at Oklahoma State Cowboys
The Oklahoma State Cowboys have been mess quarterback J.W. Walsh went down earlier this season. The Cowboys have failed to cover 7 of their last 8 and are 0-6 against the spread in Big 12 play. The Longhorns have been impressive the past two weeks winning and covering both games. The offense has started to not look like a train wreck and things on the opposite side of the ball are vastly improved. Jonathan Gray running the ball and a strong statement from the Longhorn defense should lead to a victory for Texas and a cover for bettors.
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South Carolina Gamecocks +7 at Florida Gators
Steve Spurrier is taking his South Carolina Gamecock into a familiar place. Spurrier spent many years at the University of Florida as both a player and a coach. South Carolina will take on a Florida Gator team that is improving, especially at quarterback with Treon Harris. South Carolina has been scuffling towards the end of their season, but will pull out one more win for the Ole Ball Coach. Expect to see the “Kitchen Sink” thrown out in this game.