I believe this is the first time this fantasy season where I am not a fan of most of the backcourt matchups tonight. Normally, I am all about playing as many guards as possible in my lineup, but tonight I am glad that I don’t have to. The best way I can put it is that guards are boobs. Everybody loves them, and it’s hard to find something I enjoy more on a nightly basis. But in turn, this means that the big guys are the nipples. If you take away anything from this article, remember this: without the nipples than boobs would be pointless.
So for tonight’s twelve games, I am saying that going big is the way to go. Only five games are over the two century mark and only two of those are 210 or over. It’s going to be a defensive night across the board, but this also means it should be a nice night for the bigs down low to grab boards and make stops. As always, my prices are according to DraftKings. Good luck, and allons-y with my picks!
Some higher price guys I like:
Carmelo Anthony ($10,300) vs the Suns – Melo has been playing as well as anyone the past two weeks; averaging almost 50 fantasy points a game. He’s really given New York that spark they needed to make a run for that final playoff spot. Tonight, he gets a nice matchup against a good, playoff caliber team in the Suns. If the Knicks want to make the final push, then Melo has to step up big tonight. I think he makes for a great play tonight that could pay off big.
Joakim Noah ($8,700) vs the Blazers – Noah hasn’t scored less than 40 fantasy points over the past 7 games. The Blazers frontcourt is one of the worst in the league defensively over the past two weeks. I know getting LMA back is huge, but knowing that starting Noah is good for 40+ fantasy points every game is a huge comfort in daily play. His ceiling is much higher, and price makes this play even more enticing for tonight.
Some cheaper price guys I like:
Gorgui Dieng ($7,000) vs the Lakers – Dieng went from $5,400 to $7,000 in the span of two days because of this matchup. A jump like that leads me to believe big things will come for the young guy tonight. He has been playing aggressive and rebounding hard the past six games. He has grabbed at least 11 or more boards in five out of his last six games. The icing on the cake is he is playing the Lakers without Pau Gasol. While Kevin Love is still the guy in Minnesota, Dieng has solidified himself as a solid number two down low for the Wolves and should be a lock for another double double.
Joe Johnson ($6,000) vs the Cavs – JJ has quietly been averaging over 30 fantasy points a game over his last ten. Tonight, he gets a banged up Cavs team without Kyrie playing the point. For this price, Johnson has a much higher ceiling than it indicates. Luol Deng hasn’t been the same player since the trade from Chicago, and I expect Johnson to make the most of his shots tonight. He should get a ton of good looks, especially when he is matched up against Jarrett Jack.
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Kyle Lowry ($8,700) vs the Celtics – I love Lowry and I think he can definitely have another solid night tonight. He has scored 40+ fantasy points in 8 straight games and has been the best player for the Raptors. But his minutes are going to be limited for the rest of the season, and Boston has two solid defensive players in Bradley and Rondo who create turnovers. I am worried about a blowout, with the rest of the team playing so well. Lowry doesn’t need to be the main guy tonight, and I am skeptical of him playing up to his price tag if he doesn’t score big points tonight.
John Wall ($9,400) vs the Pacers – Wall has arguably been the best point guard in fantasy this season. He’s been averaging over 40 fantasy points a game, and has carried the Wizards on his back. Unfortunately, tonight he gets the Pacers coming off of a big win against the Heat, and I think they carry that momentum over to shut down Wall. I don’t think he outplays his value tonight, especially with how good the Pacers backcourt has been defensively. That’s a high price to pay if he doesn’t play well against this solid defense.
Gordon Hayward ($7,200) vs the Pelicans – Hayward is one of the hardest players to figure out in daily for me. He always plays hard on the court, but that doesn’t transpose to the stat sheet. Tonight, he gets a red hot Pelicans team who have beaten the Heat, Nets, and Clippers in their past three games. If Tyreke Evans is starting at the point again, that means Aminu will be all over Hayward, their primary perimeter defender. Unless he gets hot early, it’s going to be hard for Hayward to live up to his price tag and outplay his value.