Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday 4.25pm ET)
Peyton Manning is the definition of a matchup proof QB. Chiefs D are hurting at the moment so Peyton should get to 20 points at least this week.
Knowshon Moreno had a 37 carries last week and ran for 224 yards and a score. However he missed practise on Wednesday and he will be questionable to start. If he is playing then you have to start him as a top 5 RB, but Montee Ball is a capable backup in this case and I think he can run the ball against the Kansas Defence who are banged up at the moment. Ball could be in for a RB12-16 performance. UPDATE: Moreno is looking probable to play after full participation in Friday’s practise.
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Demaryius Thomas lead the WR group in points scored but this was their worst collective outing in a long time – this is just a blip though and along with Welker and Decker they should continue to dominate their oppponents on a weekly basis. All three have a very high floor this week.
Julius Thomas is looking likely to start this week, a top 5 TE each and every week.
Broncos D/ST should be reasonably effective this week, they won’t be facing the Patriots every week fortunately and should be a top 10 D/ST.
Alex Smith had an impressive day and finished as a top 5 QB in the shootout up at arrowhead, throwing 3 TDs in the process. The Broncos D allows 19 points (7th most in the league) to opposing QBs on average, and the 3rd most passing yards. Smith should finish as a top 12 QB and is startable in 12 team leagues.
Jamaal Charles scored the second most points last week and there is very little stopping him at the moment. Keep playing him and watching your points total rise.
Dwayne Bowe continues to improve, catching a TD for the second consecutive game. I think Bowe has got 8-12 points in him this week as the Broncos give up over 25 points to visiting WRs. Avery also caught a TD, but his value is restricted, having only scored over 10 points twice this season. In PPR Avery is a flex starter most weeks but holds little long term value and his ceiling is low.
Anthony Fasano had 21 yards and a TD on four catches last week but like Avery his value is limited given how little the Chiefs pass the ball. Only startable in 16 teamers at most.
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Chiefs D/ST had key injuries to Tamba Hali and Justin Houston as they gave up over 17 points for the second time this season (the other was week 11 against the Broncos). The Chiefs D takes a hit with those injuries for sure, but I wouldn’t be dropping them unless it’s an 8 man league or less. This week they may struggle once more but long term they are still worth owning and starting.
Cincinnati Bengals @ San Diego Chargers (Sunday 4.25pm ET)
Philip Rivers had one of the best games of his career last week, including an incredible drive and TD throw to win the game. The Bengals are one of the better teams in terms of stopping opposing QBs, but Rivers is on a high and I believe he will return with another big game, finishing as a QB5-8.
Ryan Mathews and Danny Woodhead caused havoc last week, scoring 3 touchdowns between them and 135 yards from scrimmage. I am a huge fan of Woodhead and wrote at length about it before the season began, but Mathews has quietly regained some fantasy value after a torrid 12 months. The Bengals defence is also mean against rushers, but Woodhead is not your typical running back and he can still score you top 10 RB points in PPR. Mathews is a flex starter in deeper leagues this week but long term I am hopeful he can become a top 10 RB once more.
Keenan Allen grabbed 124 yards against the Cheifs last week and his 12 targets (9 catches) was among the best in the league. Allen is a low WR2 with upside and as you can see he see’s plenty of the ball. However, the name on everyone’s lips was Seyi Ajirotutu who caught a game winning TD pass from Rivers with under a minute to play. This was Ajirotutu’s only catch of the game and his 3rd of the season. Don’t pick him up and waste a roster spot.
Antonio Gates remains atop the Chargers Depth Chart, but Ladarius Green has put up back to back performances of 80 yards receiving or more and last week caught a TD as well. At this stage Green is worth picking up if you’re short at TE and looking for a playoff run, but his value lies more in dynasty and next season’s fantasy league. If I were a Gates owner I’d be a little worried.
Chargers D/ST shouldn’t be owned or started.