Week 13 Waiver Wire Focus

We are all idiots with educated guesses.

I work for a large corporation because it gives me the sense of security. But do I really have security? I’m guessing they will not lay me off. So far I have been lucky that the company hasn’t made bad financial decisions, my department has been profitable, and the economy has allowed my company to afford my role.

It doesn’t really matter how well I kick ass at this job. Outside forces can make me dispensable, my boss dispensable, the CEO. We are just lucky that any of the thousands of factors outside our control haven’t ruined our educated guesses.

We have very little control over anything in life for that matter. Plenty of bad luck happens to smart, good, well-intentioned people. “Bad luck” usually comes in the form of these external forces which screw up your plans for dinner, your career, or that girl you’re trying to sleep with.

Making the right sit/start move does not make me a better fantasy owner than you. It makes me luckier than you for that week. Whether you like it or not, luck controls 90% of fantasy football. Far too many owners mistake fantasy smarts for luck, and take far too much credit when things work out for their team.

Injuries, bad weather, game flow, defensive and offensive game plans are all out of your control. I see more and more owners around Twitter and my personal leagues beating their dumb chests.

Cool, you hit on the people you drafted this year. More importantly, they didn’t pull a hammy, the offensive scheme allowed them to thrive, their fellow players and coaches did their job’s effectively, and the weather was nice. You got lucky. Those are a lot of outside variables that you had nothing to do with, and all of which could send your team to the shitter.

Does analyzing the piles of data gives you an edge over others? Sure, to an extent, but you still only have an educated guess on your hands. A.J. Green can still get shut out in standard leagues like he did Week 11, and Trent Richardson can turn into a bag of shit.   

If you are headed to the playoffs, consider yourself lucky, not smart, and stay humble you idiot. Your shoe’s untied.


Week 13 Waiver Wire Targets:


Ryan Fitzpatrick, Tennessee– The Little Fitzy Spider had a nice day against the Raiders and continues to impress. He went for 320 yards, 2 touchdowns, and rocks a mean beard. Fitzy has a nice schedule down the stretch, and is my favorite target if you are into streaming QBs.

C.J. Anderson, Denver– The Denver backfield is in upheaval with Moreno spotted on crutches and in a boot after the Sunday night game, and Ball losing the ball leading to him not getting the ball. Anderson is next up, and definitely worth rostering as he has surpassed Hillman on the depth chart.

Benny Cunningham, St. Louis– If Stacy misses any time due to the concussion suffered on Sunday, Cunningham is a great add. Benny-boy has amassed 181 rushing yards over the last two games, and is flex worthy.

Bilal Powell, New York Jets– Speaking of opportunity due to injuries, Chirs Ivory came down with an ankle injury, and Powell is riding many waiver wires. He has a great matchup with Miami next week.

Nate Burleson, Detroit–  Forget easing him into the rotation, Burleson played 72 of 80 snaps last week and put up a solid stat line, 7-77-1. He’s easily a WR4 going forward.

Dexter McCluster, Kansas City– He’s a sneaky flex start in PPR formats and weekly leagues. Quietly, McCluster has scored over 10 points in PPR formats the last five games.

Ladarius Green, San Diego– This freak of a tight end (6’6, 238, 4.4-40) has been hidden behind Old Man Gates for too long. Sunday he had a coming out party against KC. 80 yards and one touchdown has put Green in the hazy mix of low end TE1’s.  

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