Lesson 17: Age Analysis Part 5 in Fantasy Football
Age Analysis Part 5 in Fantasy Football. I present one of the data tables within this video lesson, Fantasy Point Averages by Position vs. Years of Player Experience 2017 to 2020 Data. Its take-home message is quite interesting.
Note these metrics are from all of a position top to bottom! R is the rookie year, while R2 is two years of experience et al. Metrics are colorized, and the top 3 years are marked by a blue dashed circle.
Firstly, with the QB position, we see clear evidence of a BarBell distribution of player FPA. Early in QB careers at R3 and R4 years of experience, we find a top of 151 to 144 FPA, while late in the career, we find R11 a 173.8 FPA. Those old dogs that make it through are very productive (Brady/Brees etc.). Curious if this continues. Young QBs peak at R4, and if they continue, they can peak again.
Secondly, the RB peak R3/4 and at R9 as well. Seems to repeat the QB pattern, Next the TE position is quite different. We see late peaks at R7, R10, and R11 plus. These point to a late seasoning of TEs! Finally, the WRs peak late as well at R7, 8, and 9 years of experience.
Additionally, I focus on the TOP 25% End of Season Players as well to establish the patterns on the Key Players in each position.