Weekly Values Before Week 10

Weekly Values Before Week 10, Fantasy Football is a weekly game that needs weekly statistical tools. Best Ten Values attempt to show a player’s Big Game and Consistency in an easy-to-compare statistical tool. Data is prepared using standard PPR scoring rules but use 6 points for all TDs by QBs to level out the effect of rushing TDs by QBs since those can vary from one week to the next.

While this tool will give you a good comparison from player to player in most formats, you need to apply your own league scoring rules to decide between two players when they are close. Let’s take a look at the weekly values at each position heading into week 10.

QB Weekly Values

There was very little change to the QB rankings after week 9, with the top 10 staying the same. Josh Allen continues to hold the top spot with Tom Brady second and Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes tied for 3rd. The worst three fantasy games in the fantastic career of Patrick Mahomes have come in the last three games! Let’s take a look at the numbers.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
J Allen42.3541Buf
Brady42552TB
Mahomes41.4733KC
L Jackson41.4664Bal
Wilson40.7545Sea
Prescott39.2646Dal
Murray39.1587AZ
Herbert38.8618LAC
Rodgers37.2659GB
Stafford35.95010LAR
Ryan35.64412Atl
Cousins34.75511Min
Tannehill345013Ten
Winston334114NO
Fitzpatrick325816WAS
Hurts31.44615Phl
Goff31.23118Det
D Jones312319NYG
Carr30.84820LV
Wentz30.24122Ind
Heinecke305021WAS
Jimmy G303124SF
Burrow29.95817Cin
Tua29.43123Mia
Mayfield28.92326Cle
Bridgewater27.93925Den
Lawrence27.62927Jax
Darnold27.32728Car
Big Ben26.93329Pitt
Taylor263131Hou
M Jones261130NE
Z Wilson25032NYJ
Fields2313NAChi

RB Weekly Values

This week, Derrick Henry remains on the top spot despite his injury, with Christian McCaffrey in 2nd place. The diminished snap counts expected for CMC would drop his rating, but there is some level of uncertainty of how much his usage will increase over the next few weeks. Last week his usage was about 2/3rds of his pre-injury level. Assuming he will increase slightly to 70% this week, his adjusted weekly value would be 23.3 for the RB14 level.

Alvin Kamara is also out this week, meaning the top three in weekly values will all be “Missing in Action” or significantly reduced in their value for this week. The beauty of the weekly value tool is that it will continue to adjust CMC downward IF the trend of lower usage continues the rest of the season. Aaron Jones usage has also decreased recently, but a definite trend has not been established yet. That leaves Austin Ekeler and Jonathan Taylor as the best values at RB for week 10. Let’s take a look at the raw values at RB heading into this week’s action.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Henry34.3801Ten
CMC33.3912Car
Kamara31.2893NO
A Jones30.7774GB
Ekeler27886LAC
Taylor26.67810Ind
Cook26.5915Min
Chubb25.27911Cle
Barkley25677NYG
Elliott24.5828Dal
Swift24.4809Det
Harris23.88812Pit
Mixon23.77116Cin
J Robinson23.69013Jax
Montgomery23.16214Chi
Patterson22.46217Atl
Fornette227715TB
Drake21.56119LV
Jacobs21.47918LV
Conner21.17624Az
M Gordon21.16720Den
Carson20.68321Sea
K Hunt20.26722Cle
D Henderson19.95223LAR
Sanders19.45925Phl
Mattison19.36426Min
Gibson18.96527Was
Gaskin18.67530Mia
J Williams18.54428Den
Booker18.37032NYG
AJ Dillon18.36739GB
M Carter187131NYJ
McKissic185033Was
Perine17.88034Cin
CEH17.77235KC
Herbert17.75036Chi
J Williams17.65037Det
D Williams17.45838Chi
D Williams17.24741KC
M Davis17.15842Atl
E Mitchell176743SF
D Harris176144NE
Hines16.55248Ind
Edmunds16.46345Az
Pollard16.44140Dal
Scott1635.3NAPhl
L Murray15.94347Bal
Singletary15.55049Buf
Gainwell15.37550Phl
T Johnson15.23253NYJ
Michel15.16051LAR
Hubbard156729Car
Peterson1562NATen
Howard1546NAPhl
Moss14.86352Buf
D Johnson147346Hou
R Jones13.66754TB
Collins13.34055Sea
T Williams11.36756Bal
McNichols11.322NATen

WR Weekly Values

The Top 15 in weekly values at WR have remained the same heading into week 10. Since my weekly value tool favors more data points, rookie players are always a bit undervalued even after applying factors to compensate for fewer games. That makes the 8th place ranking for Ja’Marr Chase even more impressive! Several teams with more than one WR in the Top 25 show that the “Grab Both in Top Passing Offenses” is a Fantasy strategy that has some validity in statistics.

Cooper Kupp at 2nd with Robert Woods at 18th is an intriguing pair: Mike Evans at 6th, Chris Godwin at 8th, and Antonio Brown at 14th. Likewise, the Chargers combo of Keenan Allen and Mike Williams at 16th and 17th and the Seahawks combo of Tyler Lockett at 5th and DK Metcalf at 21st are intriguing duos.

Williams and Lockett have considerable week ability, but their low consistency rankings show how hit or miss they can be. With his other two high-rated players hurt, Mike Evans might be one of the best value plays for week 10. First, let’s take a look at the rankings.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Adams32.1881GB
Kupp31.3802LAR
Hill30.3883KC
Evans29724TB
Lockett27.5585Sea
Godwin26.7776TB
Thielan26617Min
J Chase25.8898Cin
AJ Brown25.6679Ten
Cooper25.47210Dal
Hopkins25.38211AZ
Diggs258012Buf
McLaurin24.76813Was
An Brown24.58314TB
Samuel24.27015SF
K Allen24.18418LAC
M Williams24.14916LAC
Woods23.86820LAR
M Jones23.85719Jax
Ridley23.58421Atl
Metcalf23.27822Sea
Lamb23.17023Dal
Jefferson22.77417Min
M Brown22.75525Bal
DJ Moore21.77124Car
B Cooks21.75841Hou
J Jones21.47426Ten
Sutton21.45829Den
D Johnson21.37028Pit
Fuller21.36230Mia
Boyd21.16231Cin
Shephard20.97433NYG
Sanders20.66134Buf
Crowder20.65527NYJ
Beasley20.56832Buf
Robinson20.47135Chi
D Smith20.15644Phl
Waddle19.75637Mia
C Davis19.64338NYJ
Parker19.57740Mia
Golladay19.47636NYG
Landry19.466NACle
Kirk19.35843AZ
Pittman19.34139Ind
Hilton18.35045Ind
E Moore18.16052NYJ
Claypool185942Pit
R Moore183847AZ
Aiyuk17.95846SF
Slayton17.84748NYG
Agholor17.73551NE
Higgins17.47649Cin
Jeudy17.25669Den
Toney17.13354NYG
Peoples-Jones174653Cle
Anderson16.95155Car
Mooney16.94271Chi
Renfrow16.75356LV
Raymond16.74657Det
Cobb16.74650GB
Beckham16.56158Lar
Pascal16.53359Ind
Gage16.25561Atl
Callaway163363NO
Green15.75860AZ
Jefferson15.53362LAR
T Marshall15.2064Car
Patrick14.95068Den
Meyers14.94466NE
Harris14.38367NO
Hardman145265KC
Swain144370Sea
Lazard13.73272GB
Shenaut13.65573Jax
G Davis13.44774Buf
T Smith132975NO
Agnew12.37576Jax
Edwards12.33677LV
Watkins12.13978Bal
Higgins123979Cle
ASB11.73380Det
Robinson112781KC
Reagor112482Phl

TE Weekly Values

The weekly values show us that there are only two super-elite players Travis Kelce and Darren Waller, at the TE position. Mark Andrews was the best TE value versus his Average Draft Position heading into the 2021 season, and he has moved into 3rd place just a touch below the top two after nine weeks of play. George Kittle looked good on his return to action and held down the 4th position.

Mike Gesicki’s weekly value is 5th best, but his horrible Consistency Rate of 39% shows you can expect some losing weeks if you rely on him as your TE. Pitts, Hockenson, and Fant are close in the 6th through 8th place rankings, but their low Consistency Ratings keep them well below the elite level. Friermuth moved up from 25th to 14th in one week, and a few more good games will quickly move him into the top 8. First, let’s take a look at the data at the TE position.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Kelce24881KC
Waller24722LV
Andrews21.2653Bal
Kittle20.6704SF
Gesecki19.9395Mia
Pitts18.7386Atl
Hockenson18.4477Det
Fant18328Den
Ertz17.7479AZ
Gronk17.25010TB
Schultz17.14411Dal
Higbee16.93212LAR
Goedert15.94613PHL
Friermuth15.76725Pit
Seals-Jones15.76314WAS
J Cook15.26815LAC
Uzomah153616Cin
Hooper14.84617Cle
Henry14.66018NE
Thomas14.45919WAS
Engram13.84821NYG
J Smith13.83920NE
Njoku13.72823Cle
Knox13.62522Buf
Allie-Cox12.12124Ind
Everett11.73527Sea
Howard11.73028TB
Conklin11.42026Min
Dissly10.92429Sea
Kmet10.41632Chi
Doyle10.21730Ind

Good Luck in Week 10

Since the weekly values are prepared the same for each position, these rankings are an excellent pick for the Flex starting positions. If you are very weak at QB, you can see when it pays to fade your weak QB for another position at the Super Flex position.

Keep in mind that this data is prepared based on typical usage that a player has established over the last few seasons. Suppose his use is expected to drop because of a new timeshare at the position of injury. In that case, you can apply that difference in use to the weekly values to get an “Applied Value” for any particular week. (IE: If you forecast 70% of the usual use, then multiply the weekly value by 70% to get the “Applied Value”)

Good luck this week, and remember to check out the Science of Fantasy Podcast and John Bush’s matchup data here on FakePigSkin to make the most informed Fantasy Football decisions possible.

————————————————

LINKS

https://www.fakepigskin.com/2021/11/11/science-of-fantasy-episode-12/

https://www.fakepigskin.com/2021/11/13/week-10-match-ups/

TRENDING
GET UPDATES

Stay up to date with the latest
Fake Pigskin fantasy news,
updates and exclusive offers!