Time to Shine or Ride the Pine: Week 3 Start or Sit

Week 2 was one of the most amazing and horrific weeks in recent memory. Injuries may be the most glaring news out of Sunday but we got some awesome football too. Dallas made a miraculous comeback on a slow motion onside kick. Cam and Russ went toe to toe on Sunday night, and the Raiders hit the jackpot in their inaugural game in Las Vegas. Much like the games, my picks were leveled up in week 2 as well.

Rojo probably lost the job, but he at least found the end zone first. N’Keal Harry had 8 receptions in Seattle, and Antonio Gibson solidified his role as the best Washington running back. Injuries ruled week 2, and they also hit my suggested sits. Malcolm Brown exited early, and Will Fuller, yep you guessed it, WAS HURT! on his way to being skunked. It was a much improved week 2, and let’s hope the momentum continues.

Here is Week 3 start or sit.

Time to Shine

Henry Ruggs III (LV@NE 1pm est)

Last week can just be swept under the rug for Henry as all Raiders receivers were an afterthought in the passing game. It was Darren Waller’s night to shine as a beautifully designed game-plan led to a career performance. Although Ruggs wasn’t showcased, he tied for most snaps at WR, had multiple deep targets, and drew a crucial pass interference.

This week however, Las Vegas will need to utilize their game breaking rookie similarly to Week 1 for any hope of competing with the new yet old Patriots.

Ruggs showed instant rapport with Derek Carr as he hauled in 3 of 5 targets for 55 yards against Carolina in week 1. He was moved all over the field and even had 2 rushing attempts. Going against New England this week, it is this versatility that will allow him to be successful.

The Patriots will focus on stopping the ground game, and Darren Waller, leaving Ruggs as the x-factor and more than likely in advantageous mismatches.

With Gilmore locking down Bryan Edwards or Darren Waller, Henry Ruggs will be this week’s target of choice for Carr. He’ll be faster than any corner trying to cover him, and with New England being top 3 in QB pressure, look for some WR screens and quick passes to Ruggs. Oh, and did I mention Josh Jacobs is banged up? Let’s see those jets on a couple sweeps or reverses this week. This could be a horrible choice in hindsight, but in honor of their new home I’m “ALL IN” on Ruggs this week.

Prediction: 2 car 16 yards, 5 rec 74 yards 1 TD: 17.5 pts

Bonus! Cowboys & Seahawks WR’s (Dal@Sea 4:25pm est)

All these players are and should most definitely be in your lineups but START YOUR COWBOYS & SEAHAWKS! Dallas is 9th worst and Seattle is Last in total yards allowed. Dallas will be without their top 2 corners, 2 of 3 top linebackers, and possibly Demarcus Lawrence.

Seattle just lost Bruce Irvin, and they’ve allowed over 200 more air yards/completion than the next worst team so far. This game should be every bit as exciting as Sunday Night, and might be better. Lock these dudes in!

Jamaal Williams (GB@NO SNF 8:20pm est)

The #FreeAaronJones movement seems to have finally come to fruition. The Brett Hart sunglasses wearing running back Jones has been unleashed so far with 4 Tds and over 200 rushing yards. Jones is still only playing around 50% of the offensive snaps though with Williams seeing consistent field time along with 8-10 touches per game.

Jamaal’s decrease in production has been a direct result of Green Bay holding multiple possession leads, and the increased involvement of Tyler Ervin. These may not be issues Jamaal will have to contend with in week 3.

The aforementioned Ervin sustained a concussion in week 2 thus clouding his availability against New Orleans and the Pack may be without Davante Adams. If either or both miss week 3, look for JWill to see an increase of touches. He’d likely pick up Ervin’s handful of carries as well as garnering more looks in the passing game.

With an implied game total around 52-53, there should be plenty of love to go around on this Packers offense. I’m chalking this one up as a hunch, but I can Green Bay having to use Williams slightly more against a still stout Saints run defense.

Prediction: 9 car 36 yards, 3 rec 25 yards 1 td: 13.6 pts

J.K. Dobbins (KC@Bal MNF 8:15pm est)

From a 2 touchdown day, to a 3 touch game. This Ravens backfield is like Goosebumps books of old where the storylines were aplenty. Dobbins was surprisingly the third option in week 2 as Gus Edwards led the backfield with 10 carries and Mark Ingram scored the lone TD. The game was well in hand by halftime which more than likely affected the rotation. It will be the story of J.K. in week 3 though, as the high powered Chiefs come to town.

Kansas City has been gashed on the ground through 2 games having allowed 5.3 yds/car to Houston and 4.1 to the Chargers. They’re 6th worst in yards allowed, and bottom third in yds/att (4.6). They have also allowed 136 receiving yards to backs on only 9 receptions which highlights their porous tackling.

The Ravens will use all three of their backs but it is Dobbins turn in the rotation to be the focal point. In what should be a drag race of a game (O/U 54.5), big play ability will be key.

Prediction: 10 car 63 yards 1 TD, 2 rec 19 yards: 15.2 pts

Ride the Pine

Dustin Bradford/Getty Images

Kenny Golladay (Det@Ari 4:25pm est)

He is finally returning after missing the first two weeks of action, but he does so looking Patrick Peterson face to face. The Cardinals are also 2nd in the NFL with only 239 yards allowed to receivers on this young season on just 17 receptions. Their only TD surrendered was to Terry Mclaurin with the game well in hand.

Golladay and the Lions are a touchdown underdog and if this game gets ugly, there would be no reason to push the issue with him. I him being eased into action along with being priority number one for Arizona to stop. I love this passing game but in his first game action, I’m avoiding him if I can.

Prediction: 4 rec 42 yards: 6.2 pts

D.J. Moore (Car@LAC 4:05pm est)

Say What?! I’m not suggesting to sit Moore this week (I know it says ride the pine) but I would expect less than normal production. Through 2 weeks, he has hauled in 12 of his 22 targets for 174 yards over the first 2 games. The problem here is the 54% catch rate due to depth of routes run, and lack of scoring.

Overall, Carolina ranks 30th in passing TDs even though they’re 10th in attempts and 4th in yards. Most of this was because the now injured Christian McCaffrey ate up most of the red zone touches on the ground. CMC is gone, and the LA Chargers are next on tap for Moore and Carolina.

The Chargers have been excellent defending receivers this year having allowed 24 receptions for 286 yards and only 1 touchdown. That one score was on a bomb to the Cheetah Tyreek Hill last week. They’ve also allowed only 2 passing scores on the year and opposing WR’s are averaging just 18.9 fantasy points/game.

LA will dominate the trenches this week and control the clock with its two-headed monster backfield. He’ll still be heavily involved but there just won’t be enough clock to do damage against the Chargers this week. D.J. will spin good tunes the rest of the season but this week he’ll just be inaudible.

Prediction: 5 rec 69 yards: 9.4 pts

Giants running backs (SF@NYG 1pm est)

This group is a mash of washed up vets and a mediocre Wayne Gallman. The G-Men have a tough road ahead with Saquon out for the year, and now slot receiver Sterling Shepard placed on IR. New York was already dead last in attempts, yards, and yards/att with Barkley handling the carries.

Their Week 3 opponent San Francisco may be decimated on the defensive line, but even their “call ups” Ziggy Ansah and Dion Jordan will undoubtedly dominate this week. Avoid this Giant(s) mess until a clear leader in the passing game arises.

Prediction: Nobody over 40 rushing yards, nor 30 receiving yards

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