Weekly Values for Week 17

Weekly Values for Week 17. It’s that most wonderful time of the year! No, I am NOT a week late to wish you a Merry Christmas; this is the week that MOST Fantasy Football Championships get decided. This is when the money is won or lost for the year! So heading into week 16, it doesn’t pay to get cute. The old phrase, “Dance with the one that brung ya,” usually rings true unless injuries, Covid, or severe weather issues come into play. As usual, IF the weekly values and consistency ratings are close, you need to play the matchup game, and Professor John Bush can help you with that data here on Fake Pig Skin. So let’s check the weekly values after week 16.

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QB Value Weekly Values for Week 17

Josh Allen moved back to the top of the Weekly Value chart this week, but he is 1 to Patrick Mahomes 1A when you look at the data. Mahomes still has the edge on Consistency, but the new “Power Rating,” which is being Beta Tested this season, gives Allen the 10-week rolling average edge. Dak Prescott moved into QB5 this week, and there is a significant drop-off of over 3 points after QB9. Davis Mills is the top-rated rookie at QB25. Let’s take a look at the rest of the weekly value data.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
J Allen43.2572Buf
Mahomes43701KC
Brady41.1533TB
L Jackson40.4614Bal
Prescott39.6609Dal
Murray39.3575AZ
Herbert39666LAC
Wilson38.8507Sea
Rodgers38.7678GB
Stafford35.64710LAR
Cousins34.65111Min
Ryan34.13812Atl
Hurts32.34413Phl
Tannehill31.64214Ten
Burrow31.25619Cin
Carr30.34415LV
Wentz30.23817Ind
Goff29.93218Det
Jimmy G29.52720SF
Tua292222Mia
Heinecke293116WAS
Newton28.93723Car
Mayfield28.52124Cle
Big Ben28.53721Pitt
Mills281127Hou
T Hill285725NO
Bridgewater27.93426Den
M Jones26.92128NE
Z Wilson26.42029NYJ
Fields24.31030Chi
Lawrence231331Jax

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RB Value

As usual, this time of the year, it’s rare to have too many healthy RBs on your Fantasy Football roster, so the weekly value of replacement-level players is more important than ever heading into the Fantasy Football Finals. Despite a scoring drought in recent weeks, Alvin Kamara retains the top spot and hopes for a better QB this week to finish off the season.

Additionally, if he were healthy, Jonathan Taylor would hold down the RB2 place with a complete advantage over Aaron Jones. However, we have to assume less volume for a banged-up Jones this week, which would put his “Virtual Weekly Value” down 20% to the RB14 level. It’s even more of a guessing game for Ekeler and Swift if they return this week as expected. One of the biggest surprises down the stretch is Rashaad Penny, who is up to RB13 level right now. Let’s take a look at the rest of the data.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Kamara31.6851NO
Taylor30.7832Ind
A Jones29.6773GB
Ekeler28.5904LAC
Cook28925Min
Mixon27.6687Cin
Fornette27.3806TB
Chubb25.6778Cle
Harris24.8739Pit
Swift24.18210Det
Montgomery24.16514Chi
Elliott23.88011Dal
Penny23.77113Sea
Conner23.47712Az
Barkley23.16316NYG
J Robinson22.48517Jax
Jacobs22.48018LV
AJ Dillon226719GB
Drake21.56120LV
E Mitchell216721SF
M Gordon216122Den
Sanders20.95623Phl
Mattison20.47128Min
Gibson20.46724Was
J Williams20.46025Den
M Carter206426NYJ
Wilson19.86532SF
K Hunt19.86327Cle
D Henderson19.55029LAR
Patterson19.35815Atl
Gaskin19.16830Mia
Jackson18.863NALAC
D Harris18.66244NE
Freeman18.16131Bal
J Williams18.14833Det
Stevenson183834NE
Perine17.85035Cin
Gainwell17.76736Phl
R Jones17.76637TB
CEH17.57438KC
Michel17.46345LAR
Edmunds17.46246Az
D Williams16.75239KC
D Johnson16.739NAMia
M Davis16.65041Atl
Booker16.56442NYG
Hines16.54843Ind
Singletary16.45147Buf
Pollard16.24640Dal
Scott1647NAPhl
Hilliard15.73848Ten
L Murray15.53649Bal
D Johnson156650Hou
Gore14.5100NAKC
Breida145851Buf
Hubbard13.84452Car
T Johnson13.62553NYJ
Moss13.15354Buf
Foreman136055Ten
Abdullah11.72556Car

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WR Value

There is always a debate on how many elite TEs exist in Fantasy Football. Still, today the weekly values are defining the existence of only three super-elite WRs in Fantasy Football. Davante Adams, Cooper Kupp, and Tyreek Hill have separated by 2 to almost 5 points over the 4th place WR Tyler Lockett. When you consider Lockett’s low consistency percentage, the gap becomes even better defined. AJ Brown and Deebo Samuel have had a strong push to join the top 10 among the healthy WRs. Let’s take a look at the rest of the data at WR.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Adams34.6902GB
Kupp32.9831LAR
Hill31.5853KC
Lockett29.7594Sea
Evans29.1715TB
Godwin27.5806TB
Jefferson26.6807Min
Thielan26.6638Min
AJ Brown26.56412Ten
Diggs26.1809Buf
Samuel25.78513SF
J Chase25.67310Cin
Cooper25.67015Dal
Hopkins25.38311AZ
An Brown24.58514TB
K Allen248616LAC
D Johnson23.77317Pit
McLaurin23.66118Was
Ridley23.58419Atl
Lamb23.27220Dal
Waddle22.87126Mia
J Jones22.56921Ten
B Cooks22.55922Hou
M Jones22.55225Jax
Metcalf22.37223Sea
M Williams21.74927LAC
M Brown21.15524Bal
Boyd216429Cin
DJ Moore20.97328Car
D Smith20.65336Phl
Beasley20.46230Buf
Crowder20.45132NYJ
Higgins20.37433Cin
Renfrow20.35634LV
ASB20.25443Det
Gallup20.15035Dal
Sanders19.95431Buf
Landry19.86538Cle
Kirk19.86037AZ
Sutton19.54839Den
Parker19.37740Mia
Robinson19.26941Chi
Hilton19.25056Ind
Pittman18.74342Ind
Aiyuk18.65844SF
Golladay18.56145NYG
Gage18.45646Atl
MVS18.22647GB
Bourne17.94749NE
Beckham17.76450Lar
Toney17.73851NYG
Claypool17.65848Pit
Osborn17.443NAMin
Agholor17.23352NE
R Moore17.13653AZ
Anderson175155Car
Mooney174754Chi
Peoples-Jones16.54158Cle
Jefferson16.53959LAR
Harris168860NO
Pringle15.73278KC
Slayton15.64062NYG
Pascal15.42963Ind
Green15.35657AZ
Meyers15.24765NE
Lazard15.23367GB
Patrick154366Den
G Davis14.45268Buf
Callaway14.43264NO
Raymond14.33369Det
Carter14.33370Was
J Reynolds14.22971Det
Hardman14.15272KC
Jeudy13.65261Den
Westbrook-Ikhine13.34373Ten
Shenaut12.74175Jax
Edwards12.52976LV
Watkins12.43877Bal
Swain12.22974Sea
T Smith11.72879NO
Higgins11.43280Cle
Collins10.718NAHou
Reagor10.31881Phl
T Marshall10082Car

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TE Value

Even with substitute QBs at the helm, Mark Andrew’s sudden surge has moved him to the top of the TE list when it comes to weekly value. Kittle and Kelce are close behind as the only 3 TEs belonging in that top tier. After the injured Darren Waller in 4th place, the drop is significant in weekly value and consistency rating. Rookie Kyle Pitts is a solid TE10 value, but his consistency rating is still too low to consider him a can’t miss player at TE who will win you games with the scarcity at the position in Fantasy Football. Next, let’s take a look at the rest of the data.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Andrews24.8673Bal
Kittle24711SF
Kelce23.9842KC
Waller22.3714LV
Gronk19.8545TB
Goedert19.1496PHL
Gesecki19387Mia
Ertz18.9488AZ
Schultz17.7459Dal
Pitts17.54711Atl
Higbee16.83212LAR
Henry16.25813NE
Fant163110Den
Knox162914Buf
Friermuth15.35815Pit
Seals-Jones154216WAS
Hooper14.84617Cle
J Cook14.66018LAC
Conklin142019Min
J Smith13.83620NE
Engram13.74721NYG
Uzomah13.72722Cin
Everett13.34223Sea
Njoku12.62624Cle
Hurst12.43525Atl
Doyle121726Ind
Allie-Cox11.51728Ind
Kmet11.12027Chi
Trautman101329NO

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Playoff Reminder

As you compare the weekly value of players, remember that if the difference is less than 3 points and if the player’s consistency value is lower than 60%, it’s a good idea to go shopping for the best matchup for your Fantasy Final. Professor John Bush’s weekly article here at FakePigSkin is the best matchup guidance in the business! This week we also added a very unusual weather pattern that could impact all but a few games. Follow me on Twitter @DMICmedia to get the latest weather updates throughout the weekend, as we mentioned in the “Science of Fantasy Podcast” once you have dissected the data and made your decision based on the data, the matchups, and the weather, please do not second guess yourself! More games are lost in Fantasy Football by late decisions based on hunchs, not data. Good luck this week in the Fantasy Finals!


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LINKs

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                                          https://www.fakepigskin.com/2021/12/31/science-of-fantasy-episode-19/

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