LAS VEGAS RAIDERS – Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card.

AFC WEST_LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS – Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. This article focuses on 3 tables and their analysis.

  1. 2020 PPR Rankings with Player Uncertainty Levels
  2. 2016 to 2019 Positional Based PPR Fantasy Point Averages (FPA), Team Usages, and Differences from 2019 to 4-year Averages
  3. 2015 to 2019 Team Level Targets Per Game, 2019 Usage, 5 Year of Targets/Game Usage, and DIFF in 2019.

I suggest these will present a landscape of simple data from 2019 vs the current 2020 preseason rankings. Link to my Current Rankings Below.

https://www.fakepigskin.com/2020/05/18/early-2020-ppr-rankings-with-uncertainty-analysis/

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2020 PPR Rankings with Player Uncertainty Levels

This Table includes:

  • Team
  • Bye Week
  • Position Rankings
  • Position
  • Overall Name
  • Fantasy Sport’s Professor’s Rankings (Scale of 100 to 0-Green to Red)
  • Uncertainty Level of High, Average or Low

The DST and Kicker are a pass for me in 2020

QB and RBs

The QBs are Carr and Mariota at QB27 and QB41. Hard to think about either QB being dominate and having upside. However, Carr was QB 16 last year so I maybe harsh on him. The RBs are Jacobs at RB13 with slight upside with low uncertainity. He has a high chance finishing in the top 25 as his floor. Richard has a pass-catcher role and is RB 62 now but in best ball he is a late grab but carries high uncertainity.

TE and WRs

Last year, Waller came alive and finish at TE2! He was the main target for Carr. He has all the elements to continue improvement for 2020. Waller is a TE4 with some uncertainity for 2020. Worth that price. Witten is a great TE handcuff as OAK really uses it TEs in target above the WRs and RBs. Witten is a grab in best ball as TE3/4.

The WR crew has Ruggs the flashy rookie and I rank him at WR39 with some uncertainity. Renfrow is at WR 65 and Williams is at WR84. The issue for me is the excessive TE usages (see target usages 2019). I will not reach for any OAK WRs and would draft Ruggs at a discount.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS - Professor's NFL Team Flash Card.

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2016 to 2019 Positional Based PPR Fantasy Point Averages (FPA), Team Usages, and Differences from 2019 to 4-year Averages

This table presents:

  • Team
  • Position
  • 2016 to 2019 Fantasy Point Averages 
  • 4 Year Sum of Averages
  • % of Positional Usage by the 4-Year Date
  • % of 2019 Team Usages
  • DIFF – 2019 vs last 4-year % Usages (Improving or Declining)

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS – Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. 2019 was a strong year for OAK (LV) Raider QB and TEs in terms of FPs. OAK found a great TE. QB were up+4.5% passing to their TE up in usage at +7.3%. Both positions at a 4-year top level. No reason to predict that 2020 is difference.

The RBs were ok up +0.8% and the top in the last 3 years. The deep concern is the WRs which dropped -12.6% in usages. Lowest by about ½ in FP. QB can not throw deep or TEs just getting the check-downs. Did the QB surrender easy and take the sure TE catch? Caution on OAK 2020 WRs!

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS - Professor's NFL Team Flash Card.

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2016 to 2019 Positional Based PPR Fantasy Point Averages (FPA), Team Usages, and Differences from 2019 to 4-year Averages

This table presents:

  • Team
  • Position
  • 2016 to 2019 Fantasy Point Averages 
  • 4 Year Sum of Averages
  • % of Positional Usage by the 4-Year Date
  • % of 2019 Team Usages
  • DIFF – 2019 vs last 4-year % Usages (Improving or Declining)

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS – Professor’s NFL Team Flash Card. Overall Comments: 2019 OAK/LV found their TE with Darren Waller at TE4. The TE increased T/G by 12.6% and were used by 43% which is a league strong number. Seems to be a solid safe pick in a little deeper TE group this year.

We should consider the RBs in 2020 to be steady at a lower 24% usages. The RBs currently Josh Jacobs RB13 and Jalen Richard RB62 and Richard seems a solid late play handcuff.

Finally, the WRs were used at a -14% T/G and 32% use which is poor %. Deep concerns for the WR crew in 2020 who are Henry Ruggs III WR39, Hunter Renfrow WR65, Tyrell Williams WR84, and Nelson Agholor WR100. The fewer targets figure to be split among the WRs. The best WR is the rookie Ruggs as per the public ADP followed by Renfrow/Williams WR2/3 as a you pick-em. If you need to draft either take the cheaper one.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS - Professor's NFL Team Flash Card.OAK TG

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