WEEK 6 MILLY MAKER PLAYS

MILLYMAKER DOOKIE STACKED

Week 6 features 5 teams with a 25+ implied team total.  The Ravens are the biggest favorites at -500. The Jets and Bengals unsurprisingly are projected to score the least points with 17.25. I’ll be watching the line movement for NO/JAX and HOU/KC games. I think the Jags/Saints game could shoot out and the Texans/Chiefs game could disappoint if Mahomes misses or is limited. 

*DISCLAIMER: all metrics being referred to are based on this week’s DK main slate of games unless otherwise specified. Also all projected ownership is based upon Rotogrinders LineupHQ. 

QB

Gardner Minshew II, $5000, Jacksonville Jaguars

5% projected ownership

Fantasy Twitter’s darling, Gardner “Uncle Rico” Minshew and the Jags, head back to sunny Florida to host the Saints this Sunday.  For some reason Minshew’s salary was reduced to just $5000 after hanging up a cool 27.2 DKpts against the Panthers on the road. The visiting Saints give up the second most fantasy points and a 24.5 DKpt/avg to the quarterback position. He’s scored over 16 DKFPts in every start with a floor of 3x at his inexpensive salary.

Matt Ryan, $6400, Atlanta Falcons

9% projected ownership

The Falcons defense has been a trainwreck so far this season. Matt Ryan and the offense are pretty much being thrust into a shootout every single week. This works out well for us this week as both teams are top 5 in pace of play (Football Outsiders.) Ryan leads the league in pass attempts and completed passes. Per Pro Football Reference, ARI gives up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing QB with a 23.2 avg. 

Chalk QB:

Prescott, Jackson, Watson, Mahomes

Also Consider: 

Cousins, Wilson

Fade:

Wentz, Dalton, Rivers

RB

Matt Breida, $5100, San Francisco 49ers

11% projected ownership

So here we are, Week 6 and the 49ers are undefeated as expected. Well, I think we did expect the offense to be fine with Kyle Shannahan still manning the ship. The 49ers lead the league in rushing yds/gm. They are also top 3 in rushing attempts and yards. The Rams are bottom 10 in rush attempts allowed and fantasy points allowed to the position. I prefer Breida as the Kamara type pass catcher to Coleman. His monster TD run on primetime will increase his ownership but I’m still buying.

Adrian Peterson, $4500, Washington Redskins

1% projected ownership

Before firing HC Jay Gruden, the Redskins are bottom 3 in rush attempts only ahead of the Jets and Dolphins (both teams have had a bye too.) Bill Callahan has already said he wants to run the ball. If there’s any time to do it, it’s here. The Dolphins rank dead last in FPts to RB giving up 31.9 gm/avg. Peterson is a gamescript dependent back on a bad rushing offense/team. His price, opportunity and matchup makes him a sprinkle(1-3% out of 150 lineups) play. The Redskins are favorites for the first time all year. 

Chalk RB:

Carson,Fournette, Zeke

Also Consider:

Kamara, Ingram (9% too low in this spot)

Fade:

Bell (18% against Dallas… WHAT?)

WR

Amari Cooper, $7000, Dallas Cowboys

4% projected ownership

Cooper has been more boom than bust this season. He is currently 2nd in the NFL in yards (512) and receiving TDs (5). His projected low ownership, along with his team’s 4th highest implied team total has me on Amari here. Cooper will see a lot of Darryl Roberts Sunday who is bottom 4 in targets and completions allowed. In week 5 Cooper was targeted 14 times. 

Chalk WR:

Chark, Landry

Also Consider:

Sutton, Sanu, Hollywood Brown, Gallup

Fade:

Julio

TE:

Austin Hooper, $5000, Atlanta Falcons

16% projected ownership

Hooper checks in again as a top play at a position with scarce consistency. No matchup is better for the position as the Cardinals are dead last in receiving yards and touchdowns allowed to opposing tight ends. Hooper has more receptions than Godwin and CMC (34.)

Chalk TE:

Kittle 

Also Consider:

Kelce (massive total and lower 11% ownership), Seals-Jones (SEA bottom 5 in receiving yards to TE/3rd ranked DVOA), Herndon

DST:

BAL (i’m locking 150 BAL lineups Sunday), DEN, SEA, DAL

Please Follow me on Twitter @dookiehogue and good luck this week!

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