Fantasy Football Rankings Week 4 – All in One

Fantasy Football Rankings Week 4 All in One

I present Fantasy Football Rankings Week 4 All in One edition including looking at PPR/Half PPR/Non-PPR scoring environments.  Additionally, this report provides the raw material for my AIO rankings. My process uses the Vegas view to visualize the landscape of each game. (See below).

The concept is high scoring game should have more passing yards and catches along with touch-downs. High scoring game benefit pass-catching RBs, TE, and WRs. On the other hand, the low scoring game can be a rushing RB bonanza.

Remember to view last weeks games in terms of scoring and in DFS look for players going from one extreme to another this week. The public will be chasing points.


Vegas Landscapes for Week 4

We have a nice number of High scoring games so it will be a good week for passing and pass-catchers. I have included the predicted scores as well to further focus on the teams with nice game scripts.

I would suggest the use of players from the High scoring games in lineups and DFS. The interesting possibility is that deeper WRs etc have a better chance of doing well in these type of games. Caution for players in the lower scoring games.

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Vegas Metrics Takeaways

I would lean to forcing players from KC vs DET, LAR vs MIA, SEA vs ARI, and NYG vs WAS. Especially the favorites. Deeper players have more value than usual.

Caution from DEN vs JAX, and CHI vs MIN games


2019 Based Defense Against the Position (DAPs)

The second data platform for my lineups and DFS plays are shown below. These are the project DAPs each team will face in the week 4 games.  Extremes are always of strategic value. Locating easy defenses to scoring on is a good thing!

Updated DAPs- I have moved my DAP data into the 2019 season using the last 3 weeks of defensive data from all teams. This is the minimum amount of data to use for our week 4 analysis. DAPs are best used on landscapes of team vs team using Vegas scenarios. Also, DAPs break ties in seasonal lineups and help in DFS decisions.

The DAPs are shown below and include:

  • TEAM
  • DEF PASS Assessment
  • DEF RUSH Assessment
  • Overall TEAM DAPs (top-down view)
  • RB DAPs (Rushing Defense Assessment and RB usages)
  • QB, WR, and TE DAPs (Passing Defense Assessment)
  • K and DEF DAPs (Special Teams)

DAP Takeaways

LAR, JAX, NE, TB, SF, and GB seem strong defensively

NYG, WAS, NO, ARI, CLE, and HOU are weak defensively. 

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Vegas vs DAPs Landscape Views of Week 4 Games

I use to visualize the game scripts to focus on passing vs rushing levels in each game. What players benefit? Who should have a harder time?

The concept of chasing the points is because some players fail to determine this week is a new week with different variables.  These metrics can help you break that spiral of chasing. The game dice have rolled a different number and new things are expected out of players


Example Game ARI vs SEA.

Example game. ARI vs SEA. This is a higher scoring game of week 4 (good). I plan to use significant players from both teams in seasonal and DFS lineups.

Analysis of the DAPs implies ARI get a nice rushing environment thus cue David Johnson. SEA gets an average passing environment (send in the WRs and TEs. ). Caution suggested on ARI WRs and SEA RBs. Caution does not mean don’t play, it means if you have similar choices go with the player that has a better DAP.

These data read very easy and just make quick notes for use in lineups this week.


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Uncertainty (UNC) Week 4 Team Level

In decisions under uncertainty, the player needs to now where chaos exists within the metrics.  Like a minefield, it best to know where the danger is. You may not know the unknown unknowns but you can be cautious. These uncertainty metrics signal danger for all to consider.

The table includes:

  • Team
  • High, Avg and Low UNC Player Counts
  • Total Players 
  • % High, AVG, and Low players
  • (H+A)/L Metric Ratio (lower number implies the team has fewer UNC players)

High and Low UNC Teams Week 4

WEEK 4 Low UNC Teams are ATL, DET, DAL, LAC, MIA, BAL, and CLE. This does not mean victory it points out the “trust” of these team’s rankings. Its does not mean highly ranked, for example, MIA players. They are fairly low ranked but should be who the ranking says. These teams names are highlighted below in green colorization.

On the other hand, the High UNC teams of CAR, NE, ARI, LAR, WAS, TB, NO, OAK,, CHI. MIN ad IND will be those teams that player ranking can be “soft” and not as true. Caution in here does not mean don’t play it is a guide for your deeper thoughts. These teams names are highlighted below in red colorization.


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Visual Plot of UNC Landscape Week 4

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Fantasy Sports Professor’s Rankings AIO

Week 4 TEAM Level

My Rankings (PPR. HALF PPR and Non-PPR) are guides and not chiseled in stone! Use them in that light. I take my opinions and set them on a scale of 100 (best) to 0 (lowest). I colorized these metrics to catch your attention of the extreme players (highs or lows). The average player should hit near the 50 levels.

I think it is too easy to take a list with numbers and names and go from there. Thus, I go into the team context first. You must “see” all players within the system they are in. Use the teams AIO rankings with the Vegas and DAPs for the full experience.


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Fantasy Sports Professor’s Rankings AIO

Week 4 Positional Level

QB, K, and DST are the same regardless of the league scoring type. Highs to lows are colorized to highlight the extremes.


Defense and Special Teams

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Kickers

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Quarterbacks

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Fantasy Football Rankings Week 3 All in One

I list the NonPPR, Half PPR and PPR rankings (scaled from 100 to 0) of each player and have sorted by the PPR rankings.

I also note players that are PPR Special. This highlights players who are PPR specific plays. For example, James White gets a high 83 vs 68 in PPR vs Non-PPR.  That is a very high difference and indicates a “force him” into your lineups in PPR.  The anti-PPR player is Derrick Henry at a -93.7 vs 88 in Non-PPR vs PPR. Force him into Non-PPR league lineups. Watch for these players and use as needed.


Running Backs AIO Rankings

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Tight Ends AIO Rankings

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Wide Recievers AIO Rankings

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Fantasy Football Rankings Week 4 All in One

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