Fantasy Football season is rapidly approaching and no time like to present to start getting ready if you haven’t done so already. Brian Twining and I will bring you a series of articles between now and draft season to help you get ready. This week we each bring three fantasy football values based upon their current ADP.
For this exercise we used Fantasy Pros 1/2 PPR ADP.
Speaking of getting, the Angle of Pursuit will make its triumphant return starting July 25th. Make sure you are subscribed on iTunes, Spotify, or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.
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Kyle’s Fantasy Football Values
Phillip Lindsay | RB | Denver Broncos
ADP: 45 RB: 22
I’m not sure what I am missing here but the Phillip Lindsay pessimism has got to come to an end. He finished as a top 12 RB in 2018 despite not playing the final week of the season eclipsing 1,000 yards on the ground and scored double-digit TDs.
If the Broncos weren’t happy with their RB core this off-season they could have a play on the multitude of free agent options or draftable players at the position. Some will continue to point towards Royce Freeman who had half of the yards of Lindsay despite getting only 60 fewer carries. If you tend to wait on RB or like to add multiple early in your drafts Lindsay is a perfect target.
Adrian Peterson | RB | Washington Redskins
ADP: 111 RB: 42
There is no chance I saw myself interested in Adrian Peterson when the off-season began but here we are. Derrius Guice is already dealing with a hamstring injury and training camp isn’t even here yet. This coming off of a torn ACL that prematurely ended his rookie campaign. Soft tissue injuries can linger, especially on the part of the body that has already been injured.
Peterson enters his second season in Washington looking invigorated. He had over 1,000 yards and 7 touchdowns on 251 carries. He was able to garner 4.2 YPC despite being in an underwhelming offense that was even worse once QB Alex Smith went down.
As RB42 and pick 111 overall in ½ PPR, Peterson should provide a viable RB2 even if it doesn’t last the entire season. I’d expect Guice to be worked into the offense and not given the bulk of the carries even if we assume he is ready Week 1. Peterson is a Zero RB drafters dream.
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Donte Moncrief | WR | Pittsburgh Steelers
ADP: 149 WR: 54
With Antonio Brown now in Oakland 168 targets are now up for grabs. I don’t expect any one WR to step into this void but there will be work to go around.
James Washington should step forward in his second season but he is still a field stretcher who likely won’t approach triple-digit targets. Dionte Johnson is another name I like in deeper leagues. Pittsburgh spent a third rounder in the 2019 NFL Draft. He should work this season and likely will best all the numbers put up by James Washington in 2018.
That said, my favorite WR target not name Juju is Done Moncrief. He provides much more size that both Washington and Johnson. Moncrief has flashed at points during his 5 year career and is still relatively young, turning 26 in August. After playing 16 games a season ago, it looks like he is trying to put his injury history behind him. The floor for targets should should be 75-80. That said, it would not be crazy to see 100 plus.
Brian’s Fantasy Football Values
ADP: 35 RB: 18
Devonta has fully recovered from a multitude of injuries which limited him to only 2 games last year and is reportedly looking as explosive and every bit the runner he was during the previous three seasons. Now a Free man of Tevin Coleman, Devonta will only have sophomore Ito Smith to share backfield duties with.
The return of Dirk Koetter will undoubtedly affect the running game where all but one of his offenses has finished above 24th in rushing yards over the last 7 years. Although, Peyton Barber averaged a hearty 17 carries and found pay dirt four times over the last 6 weeks including fantasy playoffs.
A former consensus RB1 and top 20 pick, Freeman is primed for a return to fantasy glory sans Tevin Coleman and for an Atlanta offense constantly in the top echelon of scoring.
A mid-3rd, early 4th round pick for a lead dog with a history of elite production is too enticing to pass up. Give me the guy handling touches behind Matt Ryan and Julio Jones everyday over no receiving stats Marlon Mack. Just Kerryon past Johnson now that Mr. Anderson has rolled into Detroit, and who knows what’s happening for Oakl…Las V… whatever Raiders under Chucky.
ADP: 140 WR: 49
Prior to getting injured, Geronimo had reached a career high in receiving yardage and was averaging just under 61 yards per game. He was on his way to possibly surpassing 1000 yards while adding 6-8 touchdowns. This kind of production would have landed him with the likes of Calvin Ridley, Kenny Golladay, and Julian Edelman as every week starters.
Some may think the influence of Matt LaFleur will be a detriment of Green Bay’s offense with how poorly the Titans threw the ball last season. However, while the OC of the Rams (with a competent QB), LA finished top 10 in yards, yards/att, and tds passing, along with top 10 rushing yards, yards/att, and tds. The LaFleur-Rodgers combo should create many fantasy assets and propel Geronimo into fantasy stardom as one of this year’s fantasy draft steals.
ADP: 123 RB: 44
I just cannot let go of Foreman being not only the successor but the better runner than the still unspectacular Lamar Miller. Pegged as a sleeper last season with the potential of taking over Miller’s job, he wasn’t activated until week 15 and only played that one game.
Now apparently fully healed from the a devastating Achilles injury looking to prove he hasn’t lost a step and the clear cut second running back, Foreman could take the leap and win the larger share of carries for Houston. Currently being drafted a full 50 picks after Lamar, D’Onta is the Texans running back to own.