Time to Shine or Ride the Pine: Week 11 Start or Sit

Well, week 10 didn’t exactly provide positive results for the majority of the guys on my list. The Saints are for real and dominated the Bengals, Leonard Fournette is back and ready for his workhorse role and maybe Corey Davis will finally continue to be good.

This week in week 11 start or sit, I’m going for some deep sleepers and some oldies but goodies. Before them however, here are the full results from last weeks disastrous prognostications:

Running backs who will shine

Theo Riddick (Car@Det 1pm est)

Since returning from injury in week 9, Riddick has seen 15 targets and snagged 13 of them for 96 yards. Now minus Golden Tate, Riddick has taken over as the preferred short yardage target for Matt Stafford which will be crucial during week 11.

In this weeks battle of large cats, he’ll be heavily involved through the air against a Panthers team that suffocates backs and who’ll be focusing on Kerryon Johnson and Kenny Golladay.

Prediction: 3 rush 13 yards, 7 rec 56 yards 1 td: 16.4 pts

Alex Collins (Cin@Bal 1pm est)

The Cincinnati Bengals have been horrendous on defense over the last 3 weeks. This week, the Baltimore Ravens roll into town with an injured Joe Flacco and a need to get their ground game rolling. Alex Collins is seeing almost all the rushing attempts which should allow him plenty of opportunity to torch Cincy’s defense surrendering 161 yds/gm over the last 5 games.

With a beat-up quarterback, and a need to reestablish a ground game, Baltimore will feed Collins as much as he can eat this week against the kitties.

Prediction: 17 car 74 yards 1 td, 2 rec 12 yards: 15.6 pts

Doug Martin (Oak@Ari 4:05pm est)

“Wiggle wiggle wiggle wiggle wiggle yeah!” Like LMFAO said, the muscle hamster Doug Martin “works out” and has proven to be close to his former self. He has wiggled his way to a 4.6 yards/carry average since taking over as the starting running back in week eight.

All three of these games have seen the Raiders fall behind early and abandon the run, limiting his overall performance. This week, while I see limited passing success (read on to WR sits), the Raiders will look to put Martin on the wheel until he can’t run anymore. I also anticipate Martin scoring his first touchdown in what could be a surprisingly competitive game.

Prediction: 16 car 70 yards 1 td, 4 rec 21 yards: 17.1 pts

 

Put a splinter in their backsides

Corey Clement (Phi@NO 4:25pm est)

Once considered the favorite to lead Philadelphia’s backfield after Jay Ajayi went down, Clement has all but been relegated to the bench. He has seen his carries go from 11 in week 6, down to 8, 4, and 5, the last three weeks. Kick returner is his position now and most of his backfield duties have been handed over to rookie Josh Adams.

Prediction: 2 car 11 yards, 2 rec 14 yards: 3.5 pts

Javorius Allen (Cin@Bal 1pm est)

Five! That is how many carries Allen has received over the last 4 games. The addition of Ty Montgomery and the re-commitment to Alex Collins which I eluded to earlier has made the former Trojan not trust-worthy. Do not play him and I’d advise dropping him all together.

Prediction: 1 car 6 yards, 2 rec 11 yards: 2.7 pts

Devontae Booker (Den@LAC 4:05pm est)

I’ll continue picking on rotation runners with Booker. The former passing down/hurry up rb for the Broncos will see his role drastically decrease with Royce Freeman coming back this week. Already losing passing down work to surprising rookie Phillip Lindsay, Devontae will become merely an insurance policy for the Broncos.

Prediction: 2 car 10 yards, 2 rec 20 yards: 4 pts

(Tom Szczerbowski/Getty Images)

Wide Receivers/TE in the spotlight

T.Y. Hilton (Ten@Ind 1pm est)

Beanie babies are still semi-popular and made a short comeback as will Hilton this week. Andrew Luck hasn’t been taking as many deep shots this season but I think that changes in week 11.

Still the Colts best and most talented outside threat, Hilton will provide some big plays and potentially a long td against the surprising and surging Titans defense.

Prediction: 5 rec 89 yards 1 td: 14.9 pts

OJ Howard (TB@NYG 1pm est)

Fitzmagic didn’t drink his daily juice last week when O.J. Howard was only targeted twice. Before last week, O.J. had surpassed 50 yards in every game while adding 4 tds over the previous 4 games.

With last weeks debacle behind them, I expect the Bucs to once again let Fitz air it out and make sure they get plenty of vitamin c in their game plan.

Prediction: 5 rec 72 yards 1 td: 15.7 pts

Gerald Everett (KCvsLAR MNF pm est)

Let’s take a dive, a deeeep dive for one Gerald Everett. He found pay dirt for the first-time last week and has the opportunity to take on a larger role going forward with the absence of Cooper Kupp.

This will free up around 17% of the targets for the other options including Gerald. He was drafted in the 2nd round for his pass catching ability, and with the Rams running 3 wr sets along with 1 TE, I can see him used as a slot receiver occasionally as well. With an over/under hovering around 64, any and all options for both teams should help your team this week.

Prediction: 4 rec 48 yards 1 td: 12.8 pts

Splinter Time

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Pit@Jax 1pm est)

1st play of TNF had us all doing the JuJu, but this is a new week against a familiar opponent. Last season in the AFC divisional round, Jacksonville limited JuJu to 3 receptions for only 5 yards.

The Jaguars defense is not like last season but showed signs of dominance during the second last week. Jacksonville will attack Big Ben and he’s shown the propensity to pepper Antonio and dump it off to the rb when under pressure.

Prediction: 4 rec 59 yards: 7.9 pts

Mohamed Sanu (Dal@Atl 1pm est)

This week fantasy players should be hitting Sanuze on Mohamed against the Cowboys. Dallas is a top 10 pass d, only allowed 6 tds to receivers, and none in the last 3 games.

Matt Ryan will be looking to attack Dallas’s suspect safeties and look for Julio or stud rookie Calvin Ridley. Sanu will be more of a short yardage 3rd/4th option on routes and will have limited impact on Sunday.

Prediction: 4 rec 39 yards: 5.9 pts

All Raiders receivers (Oak@Ari 4:05pm est)

Martavius Bryant is injured, Jordy Nelson looks washed, is banged up, and all others are cast-offs. Derek Carr has turned into a younger Alex Smith is not throwing down field at all.

This week they travel to the dessert with shut down corner Patrick Peterson waiting. The Cards also just limited Pat Mahomes to under 250 yards. Oakland will lean on their ground game instead of trying to target a bunch of who’s and nobodies through the air.

Prediction: None start worthy

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