The early DraftKings slate is a really weird combination of good pitchers but with tough match-ups. There are at least seven pitchers that you would normally consider when they are pitching, but because of who they are facing you will find yourself hesitate to pull the trigger. There are also some weather concerns especially in New York where there is predicted to be wind and rain. All of these concerns mean there is a chance I may stay away from going big money on the morning slate. Here are my thoughts on the early slate pitching options. Something to watch out for is that many teams are playing day games after a night game. This may mean we see some line-up changes and in that case it may bring some more of these pitchers into play.
Pitchers I like
Alex Wood ($9,600) @ARI
The roof is going to be closed in Arizona, and for the first time we should see the effect of the humidor. With how the Diamondbacks have opened at home and everyone rubbishing the humidor, I think Wood will be massively under owned. Wood’s history in Chase Field is not great (5.40 ERA) but generally he has been reasonably successful against the Diamondbacks (3.06 ERA). Those numbers make me willing to gamble that with humidor he can produce numbers similar to what he has at home against this team. For this reason Wood is going to be someone I gamble on in at least a few line-ups today.
Patrick Corbin ($7,300) vs. LAD
Another season, and another time I have been sucked in to believing Corbin can be successful. This time I am going off a good first start against a Rockies team who have been on fire and the potential effect of the humidor on this game. Corbin doesn’t have a great history against the Dodgers but he has generally been usable at home and if the humidor improves that he becomes a really good play.
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Danny Duffy ($5,900) @DET
I cannot believe I am doing this to myself again but I am back on the Duffy train one more time. The Tigers have been so bad offensively I am going to back Duffy. There is some potential wind effect on this game which may change my mind but right now I am looking at the opponent. We have just seen Jakob Junis shut them down. We saw Trevor Williams bamboozle them. If Duffy cannot have success here then he may be done as a fantasy usable pitcher for the foreseeable future.
Line-up dependent pitchers
Dylan Bundy ($6,700) @HOU
Whether I play Bundy or not is going to depend on who the Astros play today. With Correa a little hobbled and coming off a night game, they might decide to switch things up Wednesday. If they do, then I really like Bundy after his first outing against Minnesota. Generally, I have not been Bundy’s biggest fan but I am willing to ride him the next couple of weeks and see if this is the start of a season his upside has promised. There is a chance, at this price, that I will use Bundy in a few places whatever tonight. There are many line-up dependent options as always but I think Bundy is this one that could go from yes to definitely with a few line-up things going his way.
Pitchers I am avoiding
Luis Severino ($11,300) vs. TB
I mentioned previously how much worse Severino has been at home than on the road and with potential for wind blowing the ball out that just gets worse. The Rays are a relatively cupcake match-up that I think he might exploit. However, I also see a few shots clearing the fences which could make this a messy line.
Corey Kluber ($11,100) @LAA
Looking at Kluber’s career splits in Anaheim or against the Angels did not deliver what I was expecting. I expected to find he had been successful but I was going to attribute it to the Angels generally having had weaker line-ups historically. In fact, Kluber has not had a great time against the Angels historically and when you combine that with this improved Angels line-up he is an option I am going to avoid.
Blake Snell ($6,300) @NYY
The Yankees have built a lefty crushing team and this game takes place in a hitter friendly park. There will be many times I use Snell this season but this is most definitely not going to be one of them.