NFL Thanksgiving ATS Picks

Happy NFL Thanksgiving! In between picking at leftovers and enduring forced awkward conversations with extended family let’s talk about what really matters on Thanksgiving—strangers playing games in the NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE. More specifically, picking winners in those games. Here is my ATS breakdown of the three NFL games on turkey day. 35-19-2 on the season.

Minnesota -3 @ Detroit

My take on the Lions as this season has progressed is that they’re a fake good team—take care of business by winning against bad teams, but lose anytime they play anyone with a pulse. Their one win over a team with a winning record came back in week four against this very same Viking outfit in a weird game where the Lions won by scoring 10 points off two Minnesota fumbles deep in their own territory to open the second half leading to a 14-7 final score. They followed that up with three consecutive bad losses (two at home) to the only other three good teams they’ve played this year. The Vikings since that game? Six straight wins where they’ve trailed only once past the second quarter, and never by more than two scores over than streak. In other words, the Vikings are good. The Lions? They had to overcome 10-0 deficits to the Browns and Bears the last two weeks, and gave up over 200 yards rushing to both in the process. They’re like serving up Bob Evans mashed potatoes on Thanksgiving–they can get the job done, but deep down everyone knows they aren’t really eating potatoes–Vikings laying the three.

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Los Angeles -2 @ Dallas

The Chargers have paid off lately going 5-1 ATS over their last six games including last week’s laugher in the Peterman Bowl that nearly broke twitter. Even myself, who predicted two defensive scores coming for the Chargers last week, couldn’t have envisioned that debacle. Dallas should be better with the expected return of all-pro left tackle Tyron Smith and starting linebacker Anthony Hitchens. But, on day where we celebrate family, I’m going with the team led by a quarterback who is three kids short of fielding his own squad–Chargers.

New York @ Washington -7

If you spend one minute watching this game you have a fantasy/gambling problem. Or, you hate your family. Or, you hate yourself. Or, all of the above! Picking this game is like having to choose between that puke colored, flavorless goupy slop known as squash as a side dish to my turkey. Or, the vile chemically engineered canned cranberry sauce that looks like the spam of fruit. If either of these items still make the cut for your Thanksgiving menu, I ask that you kindly leave the country. Actually, leaving the planet would be better. Anyway, I have no analysis to offer. Take the points and start/continue drinking through the holiday–Giants.

How most of my family holidays end...

How most of my family holidays end…

Good Luck on Thanksgiving! I’ll be back later in the week with a Sunday DraftKings/ATS picks write up.


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