Welcome back to FakePigskin’s coverage of NASCAR DFS!
The Monster Energy Nascar Cup Series returns to Martinsville Speedway for race ome of the 3rd round of Playoffs. Martinsville is also known as “The Paper Clip” due to it’s two drag strip like straightaways with two u-turns. The lack of track width, flat corners, and heavy braking leads to tight racing which can also lead to some beating and banging when drivers are passing one another.
Just like each NASCAR DFS race, my picks are separated into three stages, my All Stars, Solid Performers, and Sleepers. Drivers, let’s start your money making engines!
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- Kyle Busch ($11,000): As we get deeper into the playoff run, both Kyle Busch’s and Martin Truex’s salaries keep climbing higher! After ‘pointing’ his way into the 3rd round last week, Kyle is looking to clinch his spot in the season finale at Homestead with a win this Sunday. Kyle has 3.25 average finish in his last four Martinsville starts. These races include one win, a worst finish of 5th, and 629 laps led! Truex Jr. still has the highest salary, but the numbers still favor Kyle.
- Brad Keselowski ($9,600): Looking for a value amongst the All-Star drivers? Keselowski’s numbers are better than Truex Jr’s in all aspects in his last five races, and Keselowski’s salary is $1,600 cheaper! Keselowski has the second highest average finish among active drivers at 8.40 with a win and 277 laps led!
- Joey Logano ($9,000): My dark horse pick to win this week, look no further than the 22 car! Logano has am average finish of 12.8 which contains a low finish of 37th. Logano had also led 358 laps over his last 5 starts, count on both Team Penske cars (Logano and Keselowski) to have great days this Sunday, as long as Logano stays on Matt Kenseth’s good side!
- Erik Jones ($8,600): Nascar DFS’ biggest risk driver is Jones who seems to be either in the top 10, or in the garage for repairs while finishing 30th or lower, which include his last two starts. However in his lone Cup start at Martinsville this past Spring, Jones finished a respectable 12th! In 4 career Truck series starts, Jones’ average finish was 8.8. Look for Jones to turn it around this week and bring home a solid top 10 finish.
- Kurt Busch ($8,300): Kurt Busch is becoming a regular in my Solid Performers category, after two poor results, none fully his fault, Busch put together a strong 2nd place run at Kansas last week. Despite the numbers not correlating, an average finish of 24th, the 41 car has been performing well over the last month, gaining momentum and confidence. Martinsville is also a driver based track where the talent of the racer can take over. Kurt has been known to take lesser equipment past its limits and create good finishes just based on his talent.
- Jamie McMurray($8,500): Jamie Mac makes his debut on my picks! McMurray is the definition of a solid finisher. Many times he’s not very flashy, but when you see the unoffocial results at the end of the race, McMurray seems to be in the top 15 every week! In his last five Martinsville races, McMurray has the top-10s with a highest finish of 2nd! I expect McMurray to keep his car clean, log laps, and escape with a top 12 finish.
- Ryan Newman ($7,400): Besides Martin Truex or Kyle Busch, I believe the driver with the most pick appearances is Newman. Newman comtinues to be undervalued salary wise and continues to put together solid finishes despite his mid-7k salary. Look for Newman to sneak into the top 10.
- A.J. Allmendinger ($6,000): It’s surprising to see “The Dinger” show up in my picks when it isn’t a road course race, but it’s more surprising when A.J. shows up two weeks in a row on oval track. A.J. has an average finish of 14.4 (which includes a 43rd place finish) and runs for the competitive JTG Racing who has an affiliation with the famous Richard Childress Racing. Martinsville tends to favor some of the better road course racers due to the need of managing the car’s brakes and remaining patient behind other cars in traffic.
Good luck this week and let’s make some money as weare hitting the stretch run of the Playoffs. You can follow me on Twitter @ScottYoungLV and please shoot me any questions or comments.
My picks last week yielded some solid finishes, but some unlucky incidents which lead to some poor finishes:
- Kurt Busch: 2nd
- Ryan Blaney: 3rd
- Kevin Harvick: 8th
- Kyle Busch: 10th
- Kasey Kahne: 15th
- A.J. Allmendinger: 32nd (DNF-Accident)
- Daniel Suarez: 36th (DNF-Accident)
- Matt Kenseth: 37th (DNF-Accident)
*All driver stats are referenced from DriverAverages.com