So Chip Kelly is the new head coach of the San Francisco 49ers. Adam Schefter reported the deal is worth 24 million for four-years.
You think this is good for your fantasy prospects? How did DeMarco Murray work out for you last season?
But it is a new year right? So lets see what’s going on.
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Oregon Ducks Head Coach 2009-2012
Philadelphia Eagles Head Coach 2013-2015
2013 record 10-6 —led the Eagles to a division title
2014 record 10-6
2015 record 7-9
Eagles offense last season: 13th in offensive points (23.6); 12th in total yards (364.4); 12th in passing yards (255.4); 14th in rushing yards (108.9)
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Passing statistics: Sam Bradford 532 attempts/346 completions 65.0% completion rate; 19 touchdowns and 14 interceptions
Rushing statistics: DeMarco Murray 193 attempts for 702 yards; average 3.6 yards per attempt; 6 touchdowns
Receiving statistics: Jordan Matthews 85 receptions for 997 yards; 8 touchdowns
His New Team
San Francisco 49ers: 5-11; last season they were 31st in total offense and last in points scored
The 49ers have the third-most salary cap space, suspected to be somewhere around 60 million; they have 9 draft picks this year, could end up with 12 with compensatory selections.
So what does Kelly have to offer:
Okay so we all know that Kelly is known for his ” fast pace” offenses. What’s the reality?
Kelly’s scheme is described as a spread offense that moves quickly. The play clock is non-existent. He rarely substitutes on a drive that way the defense has to play the drive with the same players. In theory, the fast pace, the non-substitution ability wears down the opponents defenses.
While the offenses are known for high powered passing attack, it all starts with the run. But Kelly has stated, “The number one quality a quarterback has to have is toughness…Not only are they physically tough, they’re mentally tough.”
That’s all good but what good is toughness when the offense becomes predictable. Last season against the Dallas Cowboys, Eagles wide receiver Josh Huff said the Cowboys knew what plays were coming. This was the second game of the season when most things should be fresh and new. So being predictable doesn’t work? According to CBS Sports Senior NFL Columnist Pete Prisco , “You can’t just line up the running back next to the quarterback in the shotgun and run sweep across the formation or zone inside against a defense that seems to have come up with the right stunts to cause problems for the line up front. …At some point the offensive wizard needs to be better wth his X’s and O’s.”
And then of course there is that pesky personnel evaluation process that is at best questionable.
Kelly’s personnel decisions included the losses of wide receiver DeSean Jackson, running back LeSean McCoy, guard Evan Mathis and wide receiver Jeremy Maclin. In response he acquired quarterback Sam Bradford, running back DeMarco Murray, linebacker Kiko Alonso, and running back Ryan Mathews. It wasn’t equitable. Bradford ended the season with a 37.5 Total QBR. That ranked him 33rd among the 35 quarterbacks. Bradford had 19 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. For the running backs it was the same failure. Murray rushed for 633 yards while averaging 3.5 yards a carry. The season before Murray rushed for 1,845 yards while averaging 4.7 yards per rush.
That’s the bad news. Now for the good.
Kelly’s system isn’t a complete failure. In the first two seasons with the Eagles he won 10 games. This includes his first year, 2013, when he led them to the NFC East title. In the 2013 season quarterback Nick Foles passed for 2891 yards and 27 touchdowns with 2 interceptions with the Eagles. That was after taking over for often injured starting quarterback Mike Vick. Running back LeSean McCoy won the NFL rushing title that season with the Eagles. He rushed for 1607 yards. And then they were gone.
So we know Kelly will not have personnel control in San Francisco. The 49ers have cap space. They also have nine draft picks. And there is the hope that someone who knows what they are doing will make the right choices for the system they have incorporated. There is always hope. There is also epic failure. Where exactly did you draft DeMarco Murray in your fantasy football league last season?
We will keep an eye on who comes and goes in the 49ers house. Always getting ready for fantasy season. That’s our motto.
Stay tuned. Next up is Tampa Bay’s Dirk Koetter.
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