It’s College Football DFS week 3 and we’ve got a great slate of games with some tough pricing at certain spots. Let’s get into the plays and find the best matchups. A lot of people will be on D’Andre Ferby, so the title is just playing off all of the lame Ferby/Furby jokes I’m sure we’ll have to endure. Just wanted to throw that out here before I got started in case anyone’s confused.
Kyle Allen – Texas A&M
[DraftKings – $7400 | FanDuel – 8600 | FantasyAces – n/a | DraftDay – $18450 | FantasyFeud – $113600]
– The first two weeks I’ve expected Kyle Allen to have some crazy price, but it’s been quite the contrary. Allen has averaged just 14.5 attempts so far this season. He hasn’t gone over 200 yards but he does have at least two scores in both games. This week, Allen’s upside will likely be capped again this week due to his opponent being worse against the run than the pass. Still, Vegas has Texas A&M going for 50 points this weekend and I find it hard to believe they score 50 without Allen throwing for at least three scores. I really like his price this week for what he can do and who knows, maybe Nevada will keep it close and Allen will have to throw 30-40 times. That’d be the ideal result.
Brad Kaaya – Miami
[DraftKings – $7300 | FanDuel – $7700 | FantasyAces – $5600 | DraftDay – $11500 | FantasyFeud – $94600]
– Kaaya has been throwing the ball, but not taking many shots downfield. The offense has been.. what’s the word.. boring? Boring, we’ll go with boring. This week they get a tough Nebraska team coming to town, so they will need to open up the offense a bit to get the win. Any changes should benefit Kaaya the most. Nebraska’s currently giving up 346 passing yards per game and this game is slated to be pretty high scoring. Kaaya should be in line for a nice game and his price gives us some wiggle room for other spots.
Vernon Adams – Oregon
[DraftKings – $10300 | FanDuel – $8400 | FantasyAces – n/a | DraftDay – $18750 | FantasyFeud – $116600]
– Adams has a broken finger on his throwing hand. He’s still expected to start Saturday against Georgia State. I included him here because I want to warn that his production will likely be nowhere near what his cost is. He, of course, is a worth a GPP flier due to the nature of Oregon’s offense and the low caliber opponent. Oregon will likely run more than usual to relieve some pressure off of Adams. Temper your expectations if you decide to play him. I don’t think it’s a necessary risk.
Blake Frohnapfel – Massachusetts
[DraftKings – $6500 | FanDuel – $6800 | FantasyAces – $5700 | DraftDay – n/a | FantasyFeud – n/a]
– Frohanpfel was a little disappointing last week against Colorado, but he did get to throw the ball 34 times. On paper, this seems like a tougher matchup but I think Frohnapfel will a fine play for his price. Last week was their season opener, so there was going to be some hiccups. Here’s to hoping the kinks are worked out and Frohnapfel can get it going against Temple.
other plays: Nate Sudfeld (Indiana), Paxton Lynch (Memphis), Brandon Doughty (Western Kentucky), Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma)
D’Andre Ferby – Western Kentucky
[DraftKings – $5300 | FanDuel – $6000 | FantasyAces – $4650 | DraftDay – n/a | FantasyFeud – n/a]
– D’Andre Ferby steps in after the unfortunate injury to Leon Allen. Ferby is not the talent that Allen was, but he’s going to the guy “replacing” him. This is good for DFS, as it gives us a semi-cheap RB in a high-powered offense. There’s always the possibility that WKU throws it even more with Allen missing, but they will still need to run. Indiana has not been great on defense at all this season and this game could and likely will turn into a shootout.
De’Veon Smith – Michigan
[DraftKings – $7400 | FanDuel – $7700 | FantasyAces – n/a | DraftDay – $12500 | FantasyFeud – $111300]
– I was kicking myself Saturday for not having any shares of De’Veon Smith. It was a decent matchup and I should have caught it. Can I blame the DFS sites for taking so long to release slates, thus rushing me? Well I’m doing it anyway, it’s certainly not my fault. Smith and the Michigan offensive line absolutely abused the Oregon State defense and there’s a good chance of a repeat performance this week against UNLV. One of the worst defenses in the country right now, UNLV will give little resistance to the Wolverine offense. Smith’s price has gone up naturally as I am a week late, but it’s not outrageous.
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Jahad Thomas – Temple
[DraftKings – $9500 | FanDuel – $7700 | FantasyAces – $5650 | DraftDay – $13500 | FantasyFeud – n/a]
– One of the top performing RBs of the season so far against currently the WORST run defense in college football. The Owls have fed Thomas in both games and he has rewarded them with 328 yards and 3 touchdowns. Temple faces the same UMass defense that gave up 390 yards in their season opener (Colorado). On DraftKings, Thomas is priced as one of the top plays of the day (rightfully so), but on FanDuel there’s a bit of a discount for some reason. Thomas should be one of the top RBs at the end of the day, if you can manage to afford him, he’s well worth the price.
Tra Carson – Texas A&M
[DraftKings – $6200 | FanDuel – $8300 | FantasyAces – n/a | DraftDay – $12850 | FantasyFeud – $97600]
– Carson wasn’t needed much last week in the destruction of Ball State. He only had 10 carries but made the most of them with 59 yards and a score. This is another week where his touches may be limited, as Nevada is not very good. Nevada is worse against the run, so A&M could feed him early and let him get his before it gets out of hand. Carson’s backup (Brice Dolezal) ended up with the bulk of the carries and might not be a bad play in his own right, but counting on a blowout is risky.
other plays: Jordan Howard (Indiana), Samaje Perine (Oklahoma), Don Jackson (Nevada), Josh Ferguson (Illinois), D.J. Knox (Purdue)
Mose Frazier – Memphis
[DraftKings – $6300 | FanDuel – n/a | FantasyAces – $5400 | DraftDay – $13500 | FantasyFeud – n/a]
– Frazier is one of QB Paxton Lynch’s favorite target and contributes in the ground game as well. Last week he was able to break a 60 yard run for a score to go with his 4 catches and 77 yards. This week’s matchup with Bowling Green should be insane. The over/under is set at around 77 and the Memphis offense should have a field day moving the ball against this paper defense.
Rashawn Scott – Miami
[DraftKings – $5200 | FanDuel – $6200 | FantasyAces – $4300 | DraftDay – $6500 | FantasyFeud – $53800]
– Last week wasn’t great for Scott, as Miami didn’t really throw the ball down the field and instead settling for screens and short out routes. This week though, Miami will likely stretch the defense when Nebraska comes to town. Low ownership is a possibility after the low scoring week, so hopefully Scott will be able to bounce back in more ways than one. Scott is the #1 option in the passing game and look for Kaaya to target him early and often this week.
Roger Lewis – Bowling Green
[DraftKings – $7300 | FanDuel – n/a | FantasyAces – $5950 | DraftDay – n/a | FantasyFeud – n/a]
– Memphis has only allowed 165 passing yards through their first two games. That’s pretty good right? So why do I like Roger Lewis? Well that’s easy: he’s the #1 option on a team that’s averaged 462 passing yards through two games. Despite the matchup on paper, Vegas likes them to score 37 points. The Bowling Green offense is no joke, as it took Tennessee to task and then followed up with a good performance against Maryland last week. While he’s not likely to repeat last week’s showing (15/200/2), even if was only able to get half of that performance it would be worth the price.
Mekale McKay – Cincinnatti
[DraftKings – n/a | FanDuel – $5800 | FantasyAces – n/a | DraftDay – $10700 | FantasyFeud – n/a]
– McKay is the deep play guy for the Bearcats. He saw an increase in targets last week than he did in the opener. Cincinnatti plays Miami (Ohio) this week and that’s a team that just let a dysfunctional Wisconsin offense throw 4 touchdowns. Gunner Kiel should be looking McKay’s way often down the field, and the chances are good that he takes one (or two) to the house. As a sidenote, if you want a piece of this offense (you should) but want to be a little safer, Shaq Washington is probably the way to go.
other plays: Sterling Sheperd (Oklahoma), Amara Darboh (Michigan), Taywan Taylor (Western Kentucky), Ricky Jones (Indiana), Isaiah Ford (Virginia Tech)
The tight ends I like for FanDuel are Tyler Higbee (Western Kentucky), Jake Butt (Michigan), and Josiah Price (Michigan State).