Weekly Values After Week 15

Weekly Values After Week 15. The Fantasy Playoffs are here, and they are an absolute mess, with Covid adding to the usual injury issues across all formats. The deeper your league goes for starting positions each week, the crazier it gets! But no matter the situation or format, players’ weekly value, and consistency are still the best guide to making those critical start/sit decisions in Fantasy Football. So let’s take a look at the data after week 15.

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QB Values

Data for weekly values and consistency go back to the 2019 season but are heavily weighted for 2021. This strategy is used because the more data points, the more confident you can be about the results in any statistical formula. Rookie and second-year players are also given a fudge factor to account for having fewer data points than the players who have been full-time starters since 2019. Patrick Mahomes took over the top spot again from Josh Allen, but the two are in their tier. Russell Wilson’s consistency rating has taken a big hit down to just 51% showing how risky he can be right now as a fantasy starter. Let’s take a look at the rest of the data.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Mahomes43692KC
J Allen42.6561Buf
Brady41.1543TB
L Jackson40.4614Bal
Murray39.3565AZ
Herbert39667LAC
Wilson38.8519Sea
Rodgers38.7676GB
Prescott38.7598Dal
Stafford35.64910LAR
Cousins34.65212Min
Ryan34.13911Atl
Hurts32.34714Phl
Tannehill31.64313Ten
Carr30.34416LV
Heinecke30.33317WAS
Wentz30.23918Ind
Goff29.93219Det
Burrow29.85420Cin
Jimmy G29.72821SF
Big Ben29.23823Pitt
Tua292424Mia
Newton28.93722Car
Mayfield28.52225Cle
T Hill285726NO
Bridgewater27.93427Den
Mills27.713NAHou
M Jones26.92128NE
Z Wilson26.41129NYJ
Fields24.31030Chi
Lawrence231431Jax

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RB Values

The injuries at RB have taken away some of the top players, but Alvin Kamara continues to hang on to the top spot in PPR leagues. Of course, the most significant rise this season has been Jonathan Taylor. Taylor only had three games with more than 25 touches in his rookie year and has hit that level in 4 of his last five games. The fact that he has always maintained a high consistency rating with a lower volume than the other top RBs has been impressive. With further use, there is no doubt that he will be the top RB in Fantasy Football, but the question is IF he will maintain that high use as we advance. First, let’s look at the rest of the data at RB.

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PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Kamara31.6871NO
Taylor30.7825Ind
A Jones29.6772GB
Ekeler28.5903LAC
Cook28924Min
Fornette27.3806TB
Mixon25.2677Cin
Chubb25.1768Cle
Harris24.8719Pit
Swift24.18211Det
Elliott23.88010Dal
Conner23.47713Az
Penny23.36714Sea
Montgomery23.26412Chi
Patterson23.26115Atl
Barkley23.16516NYG
J Robinson22.48517Jax
Jacobs22.48018LV
AJ Dillon227319GB
Drake21.56121LV
E Mitchell216722SF
M Gordon216320Den
Sanders20.95825Phl
Gibson20.46524Was
J Williams20.45723Den
M Carter206026NYJ
K Hunt19.86327Cle
Mattison19.66928Min
D Henderson19.55029LAR
Gaskin19.16830Mia
Freeman18.85931Bal
Wilson18.563NASF
J Williams18.15033Det
Stevenson183835NE
Perine17.85036Cin
Gainwell17.76737Phl
R Jones17.66438TB
CEH17.57334KC
D Williams17.45039KC
Pollard16.84840Dal
M Davis16.65241Atl
Booker16.56942NYG
Hines16.54843Ind
D Harris16.36245NE
Michel16.36146LAR
Edmunds16.26144Az
Singletary15.74948Buf
Hilliard15.74347Ten
L Murray15.53749Bal
D Johnson156650Hou
Breida145852Buf
Hubbard13.85051Car
T Johnson13.62554NYJ
Moss13.55653Buf
Foreman137555Ten
Abdullah11.729NACar

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WR Values

Heading into the 2021 season, Devante Adams was clearly in the top tier all by himself at the WR position. Cooper Kupp’s range of outcomes was forecast to be anywhere between WR6-17, with his consistency rating at a strong 77%. After week 15, he has taken over the top spot in the rankings over Adams, and his consistency rating has increased to 82%. He has more than 20+ games than many WRs have 10+ games! This week in the fantasy playoffs, Antonio Brown returns to action, and his WR14 rating makes him a must-start in all formats. Let’s look at the rest of the data at the position.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Kupp32.9822LAR
Adams32.2901GB
Hill31.5873KC
Lockett29.7604Sea
Evans29.1715TB
Godwin27.5806TB
Jefferson26.6797Min
Thielan26.6638Min
Diggs25.8809Buf
J Chase25.67110Cin
Hopkins25.38312AZ
AJ Brown256314Ten
Samuel24.98511SF
An Brown24.58315TB
Cooper24.56913Dal
K Allen248616LAC
D Johnson23.77217Pit
McLaurin23.66318Was
Ridley23.58419Atl
Lamb23.27120Dal
J Jones22.57121Ten
B Cooks22.55928Hou
Metcalf22.37222Sea
M Brown22.35623Bal
M Jones22.25124Jax
Waddle21.76926Mia
M Williams21.74927LAC
DJ Moore217225Car
Boyd20.66436Cin
Beasley20.46230Buf
Sanders20.45531Buf
Crowder20.45132NYJ
Higgins20.37333Cin
Renfrow20.35634LV
Gallup20.15135Dal
D Smith19.95037Phl
Kirk19.85944AZ
Landry19.56739Cle
Sutton19.55040Den
Parker19.37938Mia
Robinson19.26942Chi
Pittman194143Ind
ASB18.850Det
Aiyuk18.65641SF
Golladay18.56345NYG
Gage18.45750Atl
MVS18.226GB
Claypool17.95946Pit
Bourne17.94747NE
Beckham17.76348Lar
Toney17.74349NYG
Agholor17.233NE
R Moore17.136AZ
Mooney1745Chi
Anderson16.950Car
Hilton16.648Ind
Green16.558AZ
Peoples-Jones16.544Cle
Jefferson16.541LAR
Harris1688NO
Jeudy15.655Den
Slayton15.641NYG
Pascal15.429Ind
Callaway15.333NO
Meyers15.247NE
Patrick1544Den
Lazard14.831GB
G Davis14.452Buf
Raymond14.335Det
Carter14.333Was
J Reynolds14.230Det
Hardman13.950KC
Westbrook-Ikhine13.350Ten
Swain1331Sea
Shenaut12.741Jax
Edwards12.529LV
Watkins12.438Bal
Pringle11.728KC
T Smith11.728NO
Higgins1129Cle
Reagor10.619Phl
T Marshall100Car

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TE Values

Every season we see fantasy football prognosticators ask the age-old question, “Which TE will join the elite level at the position this season?” After 15 weeks, the answer according to the weekly values is ZERO. (Weekly values already had Mark Andrews in the top tier before the season) George Kittle, Travis Kelce, and Mark Andrews have a clear advantage in weekly value over the rest of the pack. The injured Darren Waller still holds down 4th place in the ratings but has left the top tier. Gronkowski, Goedert, Gesecki and Ertz form their own third tier. Gesecki and Ertz low consistency rating makes them less desirable as your starter week in and week out. Let’s take a look at the rest of the data.

PlayerBest 10ConsistencyLast WeekTeam
Kittle24731SF
Kelce23.9842KC
Andrews23.9664Bal
Waller22.3713LV
Gronk19.8575TB
Goedert19.15010PHL
Gesecki19396Mia
Ertz18.8467AZ
Schultz17.24314Dal
Fant17.2329Den
Pitts16.84312Atl
Higbee16.83311LAR
Henry16.25818NE
Knox162913Buf
Friermuth15.35815Pit
Seals-Jones154616WAS
Hooper14.84617Cle
J Cook14.66019LAC
Conklin142120Min
J Smith13.83621NE
Engram13.64623NYG
Uzomah13.62822Cin
Everett12.74125Sea
Njoku12.62724Cle
Hurst123328Atl
Doyle121726Ind
Kmet11.52129Chi
Allie-Cox11.51727Ind
Trautman101330NO

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Playoff Advice

The old saying “Dance with the one who brung ya” rings true in the fantasy football playoffs. If a player on your team has a high weekly value and a consistency rating of over 70%, they are an automatic start IF they are active for the week. Do not get cute playing matchups when you have elite players. But as the consistency rating drops, that is when you need to check out Professor John Bush’s matchup data here on FakePigSkin. Good luck in the fantasy playoffs this week.

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