2020 Fantasy Football: 3 Must Target Best Ball Values

Rams Robert Woods

With the majority of dynasty start-ups and rookie drafts completed and re-draft leagues off in the distance, we have reached peak Bestball season. These leagues require no in-season management but provide a ton of value. They help to set a baseline where to target players, develop re-draft strategies and more. Plus who doesn’t love drafting!

Like other fantasy football drafts, the key to success is finding that value. These three Best Ball values should be drafted at their current average draft position.

ADP Date from Bestball10’s May 15th - May 21st

Robert Woods | LAR | WR – 49th Overall

Robert Woods was able to produce a top 20 WR season in 2019 despite catching only two touchdowns. Woods not only saw the volume to succeed but he was efficient with the volume. Per Jared Smola of Draftsharks.com, he ranked 8th in targets and catches while producing 14th most yards. He ranked 74th at the position with his two touchdowns.

Woods has been a more efficient TD producer during his time with Rams. In 2019 he scored 6 on 130 targets in 2018 and an impressive 5 on only 85 targets in 2017. Given his 139 targets and his TD rate the previous two season, he should have found the endzone more than a handful of times. I expect some positive touchdown regression for Woods in 2020.

Looking at my current projections for the upcoming season, I have Woods slated to catch 80 balls for 1,000 plus yards and 6 touchdowns. These numbers resemble his 2018 output when he was a top 10 wide receiver in half PPR.

These projections feel relatively safe. In fact, he has the potential to best these numbers when you consider Brandin Cooks and Todd Gurley are no longer in Los Angeles. The Rams should also run more 12 personnel (two tight end sets) opening up more outside volume for Woods.

Recievers going in a similar range include Courtland Sutton, D.K. Metcalf, and DJ Chark. While these receivers have “upside”, Woods has a similar upside and a much safer floor.

David Johnson | HOU | RB – 66th Overall

This season will either remind us how awesome David Johnson can be or prove that he is toast. As a friendly reminder, the last two times Johnson played 16 games he was RB10(2018) and RB1(2016). In both of those seasons, he caught 50 plus balls, something that should be in the cards for him in 2020.

Johnson was dealt to Houston this winter to replace a surprisingly productive Carlos Hyde who had 1,070 yards and 6 touchdowns last season. If Johnson gets that sort of volume in 2020, he should absolutely be in the top 10 of fantasy running backs. Especially when you consider his pass catching ability on a team with Brandin Cooks, Will Fuller, and Keke Coutee. All players who have spent plenty of time on the injury report.

Now Johnson could easily be on the injury report for a good chunk of the season and prove he is toast. If that is your assumption then he is an avoid at any cost. But pick 70 I am willing to take a shot that his tank has yet to E.

Kerryon Johnson | DET | RB – 95th Overall

Listen, I get that it’s hard to get behind a running back that his major chunks of their first two seasons due to injury. The hesitation is only compounded when their team uses high draft capital to add D’Andre Swift, a RB that was in most people’s top 3 running backs in this year’s draft class.

That said, there is a reason we were excited about Kerryon. He flashed during his time on the field, amassing 1,044 yards and 6 touchdowns on 231 carries over 18 games. The fact that we saw Johnson at the end of the 2019 season gives me reason for optimism too. He showed he was on the right track averaging 4.5 YPC on 21 carries.

Now, don’t get me wrong, Swift will absolutely be a factor in the Lions offense in 2020. I’m not so sure that is a bad thing based on the amount of time he has missed over the last two seasons.

The addition of a dynamic pass catcher like Swift will impact the week to week safety of Johnson. Before the addition of Swift, he had 50 catch upside. In 2020, that number dips dramatically to somewhere in the range of 20-25..

Even with a reduced role, Johnson absolutely has the ability to blow his ADP out of the water. I’m selecting him over Derrius Guice, James White, Marlon Mack and Damien Williams all day long.

For more Best Ball talk, Rotoworld’s John Daigle hopped on The Angle of Pursuit Podcast to talk targets, players to avoid, strategy and much more! Make sure you check out John’s latest piece breaking down who the elite players are avoiding in 2020.

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

%d bloggers like this: