While it is still very early in the process NFL Free Agency and the rapidly approaching NFL Draft got me thinking about my initial leans for the upcoming fantasy football season. I will be posting my initial thoughts for each position over the next few days starting with 2019 QB Rankings.
These ranks are just a jumping off point as much will change with the draft, potential trades and as I dig into more data and info. Stay tuned throughout the lead up to Fake Pigskin for rankings updates.
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|1||Patrick Mahomes||Kansas City Cheifs|
|2||Andrew Luck||Indianapolis Colts|
|3||Aaron Rodgers||Green Bay Packers|
|4||Baker Mayfield||Cleveland Browns|
|5||Jared Goff||Los Angeles Rams|
|6||Deshaun Watson||Houston Texans|
|7||Drew Brees||New Orleans Saints|
|8||Cam Newton||Carolina Panthers|
|9||Phillip Rivers||Los Angeles Chargers|
|10||Ben Roethlisberger||Pittsburgh Steelers|
|11||Russel Wilson||Seattle Seahawks|
|12||Matt Ryan||Atlanta Falcons|
|13||Tom Brady||New England Patriots|
|14||Carson Wentz||Philadelphia Eagles|
|15||Jimmy Garapolo||San Francisco 49ers|
|16||Josh Allen||Buffalo Bills|
|17||Jameis Winston||Tampa Bay Buccaneers|
|18||Kirk Cousins||Minnesota Vikings|
|19||Dak Prescott||Dallas Cowboys|
|20||Matthew Stafford||Detroit Lions|
|21||Mitch Trubisky||Chicago Bears|
|22||Joe Flacco||Denver Broncos|
|23||Lamar Jackson||Baltimore Ravens|
|24||Derek Carr||Oakland Raiders|
|25||Ryan Fitzpatrick||Miami Dolphins|
|26||Nick Foles||Jacksonville Jaguars|
|27||Andy Dalton||Cincinnati Bengals|
|28||Marcus Mariota||Tennessee Titans|
|29||Josh Rosen||Arizona Cardinals|
|30||Sam Darnold||New York Jets|
Heading into this season you will likely read about the QB that will be this years Patrick Mahomes. That player does not exist. Mahomes was a very unique case that between talent and circumstance was able to put together one of the best seasons in NFL history. I was an early adopter to Mahomes but even I did not see that coming.
That said, there will be some middle round QB targets that will have the opportunity to outperform their ADP. Two QBs stand out based upon early ADP as potential values heading into draft season.
Per Fantasy Football Calculator Jared Goff is QB12 and coming off the board in the middle of the 9th round. He was able to finish as QB7 last season despite really struggling following the Rams bye week. The loss of WR Cooper Kupp was a big blow to the Rams offense and Goff. His return should help Goff approach the top 5 QB again this season.
The fantasy death of Ben Roethlisberger will be a fun narrative to follow this off-season. Yes Antonio Brown, an all world WR is gone but that doesn’t mean Big Ben should fall to the streamer class of QBs.
He still has Juju Smith-Schuster, who looks to be in the top 10 and possibly top 5 discussion amongst WRs this season. The Steelers also have James Washington, Donte Moncrief, Vance McDonald and others who can step this season. While none of those players will replace the production by themselves, as a group the production should be just fine. Big Ben was QB3 last year. Even if he takes a slight step back he should outperform his QB16 draft day price.