We are heading into another four team slate this week on DraftKings and I am back to help you pick the right guys. It is increasing the difficulty in playing on such a short slate with limited options of value targets. We need to identify who to pay up for and who to pass up on.
The strategy of stacking a particular game can come into play more in a short slate like this. For instance, if I decide to run a Patriots stack with Brady, Gronk, and Dion Lewis it makes it very hard to add other cheaper options in the remaining spots. I have Le’Veon Bell as the top player this week and if you try to force him into that stack you will not be able to form a lineup. I suggest only stacking the quarterback and wide receiver or tight end this week to add more flexibility.
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Tom Brady $7,000-Brady is probably the best QB on the slate and the Patriots have the highest expected point total. At his price he is affordable and I feel he will achieve value.
Case Keenum $6,100-One of the most likely quarterback targets for me this week is Keenum. He is cheap enough to roster and I think the Saints can give up big plays. Cam Newton hung 350 and 2 touchdowns on them last week.
Marcus Mariota $5,900-I do not expect another self pass touchdown reception for Mariota, yet I do expect him to have to pass or run to stay in the game. His rushing floor helps his chance at value and the offense looked a lot better with Derrick Henry helping move the chains.
Nick Foles $5,200-Yes, I am an Eagles fan. Yes, I think we can beat the Falcons. I promise that is the only bias here. Foles will be forced to pass in this game and he should do enough to earn value at his price and help unlock some top options like Le’Veon and Gronk.
Le’Veon Bell $9,600-Despite being the highest price option on the slate, I think Bell’s ownership will be one of the highest. His ability to run and catch the ball consistently gives him a floor like no other and if all goes right he can win it for you.
Derrick Henry $7,300-He just looked great last week, getting almost seven yards a carry and even had a couple looks in the pass game. The Patriots will try to stop him, yet I like his upside and chances at touchdowns as long as they stay with him if they get down early.
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Dion Lewis $6,600-If the Patriots do get up big early then their new work horse could be in line for another big day. With Rex Burkhead and James White sidelined he proved he was still capable of being the “guy”. I expect the featured role again this week and for Lewis to perform nicely.
Devonta Freeman $5,900-Freeman has been a bit banged up after last weeks game yet appears on track to play against the Eagles. While the Eagles have a good run defense they struggle against passes to the running back postion and Freeman is a very good pass catcher.
Jerick McKinnon $4,900-Like Devonta Freeman, I think McKinnon will be used a passing option out of the backfield. He will also be behind Latavius Murray in carries yet always has that break away speed that make you want to gamble on him.
Jay Ajayi $4,600-It was tough to even add Ajayi to my list of targets, considering the game plan for the Falcons should be to sell out on the run and force Foles to beat you. I feel the Falcons are better at pressuring the quarterback, than they are at pure run stopping, and the Eagles offensive line should be able to make Ajayi some nice holes to run through.
Julio Jones $7,900-Jones is such a good athlete, that if you can afford to fit him into a lineup this week, you should. The Eagles have a good defense and have played much better in the secondary with the return on Ronald Darby. Jones should still have plenty of value this week despite the matchup.
Adam Thielen-I really feel like the Vikings will pull this game off at home and I do not want to reference the week one matchup when Sam Bradford was at the helm. I will, however, say that the Saints still struggle against the slot and that is where Thielen lines up most of the time.
Stefon Diggs $6,200-I do not want to pick on a Saint’s defense who has been good, but they also tend to give up big plays. Diggs has that upside to take a long one in for a score.
JuJu Smith-Schuster $6,000-With Antonio Brown coming into this game a bit gimpy to say the least, I like JuJu this week. Playing against the toughest defense left I expect JuJu to be the top receiver this week for the Steelers.
Ted Ginn Jr. $5,800-I try not to go to the well too often, yet here I am with Ted Ginn again. His big play upside was on display last week with an 80 yard touchdown. I assume Xavier Rhodes will shadow Michael Thomas and that will make Ginn interesting.
Dede Westbrook $4,400-With the normal set of guys back last week, he was still the top target for Bortles. With the expectation that Bortles will be under pressure and dared to throw, I like Dede to perform well.
Corey Davis $3,400-Earning some of the hype he had pre draft, Davis is looking like a number one receiver. If Mariota has to pass it more than normal, Davis could generate a big day at a basement price
Rob Gronkowski $7,100-Gronk is my number one receiver this week. I love Julio, but he Antonio Brown and Michael Thomas have bad matchups technically. They could still do well in a bad spots, but I would rather gamble on Gronk in a plus matchup for the same price and play a cheaper set of wide outs.
Zach Ertz $5,800-If you do not pay up for Gronkowski, I feel Ertz is the next best thing. The Falcons have been able to get pressure on the quarterback so I expect Foles to look for Ertz to bail him out in this one.
Delanie Walker $5,000-One of Mariota’s favorite targets, Walker always seems to produce a decent stat line. If you roster him this week, you are hoping for that consistent volume and possible score.
Kyle Rudolph $4,700-Rudolph is more touchdown dependent these days, with Diggs and Thielen doing the heavy lifting. He’s the cheapest option of the four guys I like, and may be the way to open up some roster flexibility.
Defense and Special Teams
Falcons $3,500-Targeting opposing bad quarterbacks, like Nick Foles can be at times, is all you need to do in fantasy sometimes.
Vikings $2,900-The Saints are not bad and are actually quite good on offense, so why suggest the Vikings? Well they are at home, and aside from the Jaguars, I think the Vikings own the second best defense remaining.
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