Broadcasting to you live from Chi-bera (that’s Chicago mixed with Siberia which is one of the coldest places on Earth….it’s an attempt at a joke), I’d like to wish you a happy Monday hoops fans. Usually, we are looking at about five games or so on a Monday but today is a little light. Only three games on the slate tonight and one looks to be by far the highest scoring: Philadelphia vs. Minnesota. As we all know, Philadelphia’s defense is horrendous. They allow the most points in basketball by far and can’t defend any position well. If you weren’t aware, Minnesota is actually the fourth worst and allows 102.9 PPG. With all those points being allowed and two capable offenses, that is the game I’m going to look to hammer tonight. I recommend you do too.
So without further ado, here are the guys I will have in my lineup tonight and ones I will be throwing out from my list of possibilities. All prices are based on my favorite daily site (Draftkings).
Players I Love:
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Kevin Love – $11,300 – Even at the most money, Kevin Love is the play of the night. If you don’t insert Love into your lineup against the worst defensive unit in four years, you are just asking to lose. Sure, Blake Griffin’s match-up looks juicy also and Millsap has been on fire, but you just can’t fade Love. If you can find a way to get Love and Millsap in, I’d encourage it. If you’re not going to use Love tonight, you’re missing out on an almost guaranteed 55+ fantasy points. On a short night in the NBA, that could be the difference. Don’t even think about getting cute. Just use him.
Paul Pierce – $6,300 – Just to extend your pallet, I’m dipping into the other games. I wanted to just go Love/Rubio/Turner and be done with it, but at that point you might as well only read the first paragraph. If you’re looking at another game, Pierce is set up nicely for a big game. Pierce has been ultra consistent lately, averaging 30+ points a contest over his last five games. No Brook Lopez has put more of the scoring load on him. Atlanta ranks 23rd against opposing small forwards and allows the fifth most points (not fantasy points) per game to the position. For that reason, I think Pierce leads the whole Brooklyn team in fantasy points tonight despite the reasonable price. Find a way to fit him in.
Darren Collison – $5,800 – Starting for Chris Paul, he obviously has some big shoes to fill. Don’t expect CP3 type numbers but he is definitely beyond serviceable and in a great situation. Collison put up 31 fantasy points last time out and Orlando is middle of the road against the position. I’d rather save the $200-$400 and go with him instead of Jameer Nelson or Oladipo. Normally, I’d consider this game a threat for a blowout, but no CP3 changes that. If the game stays close, Collison should produce up to his value.
Bonus: Glen Davis ($6,200)
Players I Won’t Use:
Kyle Korver – $5,100 – Orlando is a middle of the road (14th) team against opposing small forwards but only allows 1.74 3-pointers to the position per game. Tobias Harris is an athletic, long small forward so he could give Korver fits if he can stay in his face. As always, our goal is 300+ points on every given night. Korver only averages 25 fantasy points per game and this is not one of the better match-ups. For him to produce to his value, he’d have to produce 30 fantasy points and I don’t see him coming close. Avoid and use Lou Williams instead if you want a shooter on Orlando. The Magic are much weaker at defending the shooting guard position.
Kevin Garnett – $4,000 – The price looks enticing on a limited night but I still can’t do it. Atlanta is a top half defense against the power forward and Garnett is still only averaging 12.4 fantasy points over the last 15 days without Brook Lopez. If you thought the Lopez injury was the boost Garnett needed, think again. He continues to be nothing but a name in fantasy basketball. I’d prefer Mirza Teletovic who at least has a well-rounded game that includes three pointers (fantasy gold).
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If you have any further questions, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @RSandersFR