Daily Fantasy Basketball Notes 12/12

You know the feeling. You go out to an expensive dinner for a special occasion with your significant other and/or family. You sit down and gaze at the menu and you begin eyeing the steak. You’re just in the mood for it, and you are starving, so you assume the thick meatiness of a medium prepared filet mignon will be more than enough.

Twenty minutes later, you spot your waiter heading towards you. You see an assortment of plates on the platter in the hand but then something strikes you as off. Wait, that can’t be our food. Those things on top look tiny. That can’t possibly be the filet mignon, can it? Well, it is. This fancy restaurant serves you a dinky little steak even though you wanted more. After giving it a look of frustration, you figure you have no choice but to give it a choice. As your fork goes in, you see the juices flow out and think, “Hey, maybe it has a chance.” Then you take that bite. It’s the best thing you’ve ever tasted. Why did you ever doubt it?

This example is sort of like Thursday basketball. With only two games on the slate, it doesn’t seem like enough basketball. Once the games tip, however, you get the same feeling as during a full slate; you want to win. Tonight, we are going to win, and the winnings will taste just as good (if not better) than the gigantic cheap steaks you can buy at your local butcher.

So without further ado, here are the guys I will have in my lineup tonight and ones I will be throwing out from my list of possibilities. All prices are based on my favorite daily site (Draftkings).

Players I Love:

Nicolas Batum – $6,900 – I love this value on a light night. Batum’s last time out against Houston, he produced 29.75 FP in 37 minutes. While not great, you’ll certainly take that. I believe that number is going up tonight for a couple of reasons. Number one: Houston is in the bottom third in the NBA in points allowed meaning they allow the 10th most points per game. They are also in the lower half in three point percentage allowed (35.9%) which is one of Batum’s specialties. The second reason I like Batum is because the last hand-full of SFs have been pretty darn good against the Rockets. Last three: Aaron Afflalo (16 PTS, 9 REB and an AST), Harrison Barnes (14 PTS, 7 REB, 2 AST, 4 STL and a BLK) and P.J. Tucker (18 PTS, 6 REB, 4 AST and 4 STL) all put up at least 28.75 FP. If you want a consistent option, and a guy who is a nightly triple-double threat, then Batum is your man. He may not be a flashy option but he definitely will be reliable tonight.

Terrence Jones – $5,500 – Proving to be the perfect compliment to Dwight Howard, Jones just continues to produce. Despite starting the season as a backup, his average total points per game for the season is up to 24.5. In his past four games, he is averaging 29.6 FP and only costs $5,500. Even more encouraging, he is coming off of a 48.3 point game where he accrued 16 PTS, 13 REB and 5 BLK. Portland is a solid defensive team but LaMarcus Aldridge can be a soft defender and rebounder. For Jones’ price, he is an absolute no-brainer.

Players I Won’t Use:

Patrick Beverley (or Aaron Brooks $4,000) – $5,500 – The return of Jeremy Lin sends these two back to the pine in both fantasy and reality. Lin had been by far the most consistent producer at the point guard position and I assume he will retake that role immediately. Beverley is better in reality than in fantasy, and with limited minutes, there is no reason to spend anything more than the minimum on him. For the same price you can get Terrence Jones. Go that route instead.

Kevin Garnett – $4,700 – Okay, so he’s coming off his best game in a while. He also is facing his former coach so he also has extra motivation. The Clippers also are a middle third defense. I understand all the arguments for him. Regardless, I won’t be using him tonight. Tuesday’s 11 point “outburst” was only his third double digit scoring game of the season. Needless to say, he has yet to compile double digits in back to back games. He averages 6.7 PPG, 7.6 REB, 0.8 BLK and 0.8 STL. Even with a doormat price on a quiet night in the NBA, I wouldn’t go anywhere near the old man (37 years old).

If you have any further questions, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @RSandersFR.


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