There are some potential shootouts in the NFC South this week – Patriots and Falcons, Dolphins and Saints…..and a rookie QB throwing for Tampa who go up against the Cardinals this week. I don’t suppose Glennon can be worse than Freeman right? Freeman had WORSE numbers than Tim Tebow in 2011……I’ll leave it at that. Let’s take a look at the games this week.
New England at Atlanta
New England ranks 6th against the pass – though I don’t think they’ve faced a prolific passing attack like that of the Falcons (Bills, Jets on a short week, then Tampa) so I like Matt Ryan this week in primetime at home. We all know Matty Ice is great at home, so I expect that trend to continue. He put up very good numbers against a more talented Rams defense (76% completion, 374 yards and 2 TDs) so start him with confidence and expect a big game in what I expect to be a shootout.
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I don’t particularely like Snelling or Rodgers this week as New England has held 2 talented running backs under wraps so far this season in Doug Martin and CJ Spiller. While New England did blow out Tampa, the game was never really that far out of reach, and Martin still got 20 carries. I expect Matt Ryan to pass a lot in this game and even though Snelling/Rodgers both had solid games last week, I don’t think they combine for 30 carries again this week. I’m looking for a better option if possible, but if I have to pick one of them, I like Rodgers given his work load last week and I think he’s a better pass catcher and overall player.
So Julio is the #1 WR currently in fantasy……so you’re starting him. He’s going to eat Aqib Talib this week. Like I said previously, I expect this to be a shootout and for Matt Ryan to throw a lot. The main beneficiary of this will be the big, bad Julio. I’m starting to get antsy with Tony Gonzalez, but if Roddy is again limited in this game and the focus is on stopping Julio, I think this will open up the middle of the field for Gonzo and potentially the running backs. I think Gonzo finds the endzone this week and has around 90 yards.
Arizona at Tampa Bay
MIKE GLENNON? I guess you can’t get much worse than Josh Freeman has been. Not touching him, but I’ve heard he has a big arm which could be good news for V-Jax and Williams if he can stay upright and keep his nerves under control.
Arizona is actually surprisingly good against the run, but I sort of chalk this up to them being 26th in the league against the pass. Teams don’t run a ton since they can crush them through the air. I do like Doug Martin in this game with the rookie QB starting, he will be leaned on heavily in the run and the pass game. I like his chances to find the end zone as well this week.
Vincent Jackson if he plays has some issues – first he has the rib injury and could be slowed down if he has to wear a flak jacket. Also, he will likely be matched up all game against one of the best DBs in the game in Patrick Peterson. Oh yeah and that rookie QB thing he has going on too. I’m not expecting a big week for V-Jax given his question marks, so hopefully you have a good option to play over him. While V-Jax is no Megatron, Peterson did get burned 2 weeks ago badly by Megatron – so that could be promising for Jackson. Moving to Mike Williams, I like him a lot this week since a lot of the focus will be on Martin and Jackson. He likely won’t be matched up against Peterson and the Arizona secondary is
generous. With Glennon throwing to him there are obviously concerns, but I don’t know if it can be worse than Josh Freeman throwing to him.
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Miami at New Orleans
Could the Saints defensive be a viable play this week? Miami has given up the most sacks this year so far, with 14 in 3 games. Cameron Jordan has been a wrecking ball at defensive end and Junior Galette has been able to get to the QB this year faster than Albert Haynesworth crushes a birthday cake. The Saints rank 4th (yes, you read that right) in TOTAL defense giving up 295 total yards per game. If you are in a deeper league or just feel like gambling, I like them quite a bit this week.
Drew Brees you’re starting – the Phins are 20th against the pass this year and the Saints have been crazy good in Prime Time. Not much to say about him, he was finally back to his old self last week and you can expect that again this week.
Graham continues to be the best TE and if you have him you’re starting him as per usual. He has the 2nd most points for non-QB players in standard only behind McCoy and he has the most points in PPR outside of QBs. Colston is on pace for his classic 80-1000-8 season so you kind of know what you’re getting with him. He goes up against an old foe in Brent Grimes, so I like him this week. If he can find the endzone, he should have a big game for you. I have a feeling a lot of the focus will be on Jimmy Graham, which could open up opportunity for Colston. Moving to Lance Moore and Kenny Stills, I’m out on these guys until they show me something to get excited about. They haven;t been involved enough to be relevant in normal fantasy leagues, or even deeper leagues for that matter. Maybe guys to stash but roster space is like gold so its up to you.
Ingram I’m out on as well, and he is injured. Thomas I don’t like much because Sean Payton still tends to use at least 2-3 guys in the running game. Darren Sproles has yet to find the end zone but with Ingram potentially out again he may get some more carries in a game that could be close than last week. He is still valuable in PPR, but in standard I may look for a better option or hope for him to find the end zone this week. Miami is 19th against the run and they won’t be able to stack the box since Brees is throwing the ball, so there’s a good chance in this game that Sproles could bust off a huge run.