DraftKings Open Championship Preview

Tommy-Fleetwood-818496

In this week’s DraftKings Open Championship preview I discuss general DK approaches, bad 90s music, how South Park is involved, golf’s most disliked players and much more! We’ll start off with a couple sleepers–when I say sleepers I’m referring to players priced in the low 7k, or below range that have under told stories/aren’t obvious names in the golf world. I consider making a cut with these selections a victory. Last week, I netted my fifth top 10 sleeper of the season with Chad Campbell finishing T-7 at the John Deere Classic. Click here for my results this season.

(Getty Images)

(Getty Images)

Alexander Bjork $6,800

For the better part of the last two seasons, Bjork has sky-rocketed up the world rankings from almost 200 to a career best 68th ranked player in the world after last week’s T-19 finish at the Scottish Open. The 28 year old Swede does his work across the pond on the European Tour where he’s made 11 of 15 cuts with two top 10s including his best career victory at the Volvo China Open earlier this year. What he lacks in major championship experience (only one major appearance at last year’s Open–MC), he compensates for in self confidence as the first athlete ever to be listed on a stock exchange to finance his training and competition expenses earlier in his career at 22 years old. That’s the type of cocky shit I want to bet on in any format. It won’t be long before he breaks through on a big stage, and my brain is able to replace any memory of that amazingly shitty 90s pop star every time I hear that name. Do it for me Alexander! Do it for all the children of the 90s!

(Stuart Franklin/Getty Images AsiaPac)

(Stuart Franklin/Getty Images AsiaPac)

HaoTong Li $7,300

Similar to Bjork, Li has been enjoying his career taking off to new heights over the past couple seasons going from 134th OWGR to 42nd this week after a stellar T-23 at last week’s Scottish Open. He’s already become the undisputed best male golfer to come from China at just 22 years old after turning pro at the young age of just 16. But, Li isn’t satisfied being golf’s version of Token from South Park for long. In his own words, in this European Tour profile, he specifically discusses how making the cut in his first major appearance at last year’s U.S. Open helped him strive for more. To paraphrase him, he blew up on the weekend because mentally making the cut was already a win for him which taught him he needed to change his mentality and push himself more. And, push he did the following month at last season’s OC where he shot a final round 63 for a sole third place finish. The trend has continued in 2018’s majors with a T-32 at the Masters, and an impressive T-16 at the U.S. Open last month. Look for Li to continue to shed the “best Chinese male golfer” in world with his Stan Marsh like talent taking him closer towards “best golfer” in the world in Carnoustie.

Core Players

Before the Valspar Championship, I started including my core players to build around in all my lineups. I try to identify targets before prices are released to stay focused, and avoid editing my lineup 2,000 times ten minutes before lock. These selections are players that I believe have top 25 floors with top 10 upside, and a reasonable case to win. Generally, I select four to five guys each tournament which is somewhat high risk, but also can be very rewarding in DFS if the entire core makes the weekend which typically will almost lock in positive ROI for the week.  You can also see how these selections have fared on my results page.

(Getty Images)

(Getty Images)

1. Francesco Molinari $8,600

If you’re not playing Molinari this week, have your people call my people and we’ll set up a head-to-head contest. Yes, he’ll likely be highly owned but if he nets a top 10 or better who cares? He’s arguably the hottest player in the world right now consistently finishing high every time out. He’s also seemed to get over the hump in major play lately with a breakthrough career best T-2 finish at the PGA Championship to end last season. This year, he’s been solid with top 25s in both majors, and is playing the best golf of his career heading into the third. While I understand the notion of being cheeky fading him this week with such a high expected ownership percentage, I will not be among those to make such a move with likely the best price/floor/ceiling combo in the field.

(Getty Images)

(Getty Images)

2. Brooks Koepka $9,200

I had Brooks in my core for the U.S. Open when he was still flying somewhat under the radar compared to his other elite peers. Apparently, the DK pricing algorithm did not get the memo after Koepka’s second consecutive USO win that he should easily be priced in the five figure range. I’ll gladly pivot off any of the five figure players for a guy whose gone 15 straight major starts without missing a cut that includes a whopping 13 top 25s (can you say floor?)–and even more impressive–seven top 10s basically making him almost even money odds to notch a top 10 when he tees it up in any major. Specifically, in OCs, he’s made his last three consecutive cuts with his career best finish coming last season with a T-6 at Royal Birkdale. If there is anyone left who still thinks Koepka isn’t eating at the same dinner table as DJ, Spieth, or Rory they’re crazy. Take advantage of his soft price before he’s 12k for the PGA later this season. And, don’t be surprised if he goes back-back hoisting the claret jug Sunday in Scotland.

(Getty Images)

(Getty Images)

3. Tommy Fleetwood $9,400

Another selection making it over from my USO core is none other than England’s native son Tommy Fleetwood. He needs no further explanation than what he did in his Sunday round at Shinnecock last month to net him his best career major finish with sole second place. Just like Brooks, Fleetwood offers as high floor/upside combo as anyone in the field at a much more cap friendly number. And, as someone whose losing/lost most of his hair, I like to watch and live vicariously through Tommy’s lettuce life as he throws majestic darts all around any track he plays on. It should be a pleasure to see this week at Carnoustie where he set the course record just last fall.

(AP Photo/L.E. Baskow)

(AP Photo/L.E. Baskow)

4. Patrick Cantlay $7,500

Now that the Captain Obvious picks are out of the way, it’s always important in DFS (or any fantasy/gambling format) to identify middle tier guys that you like, and stick with them. I’ve been consistently writing about the former UCLA Bruin since last season when he was in the middle of a career comeback story that continues to be one of the most under told stories in all of sports that included an injury and personal tragedy. Now, back full-time on tour, Cantlay is following up last year’s comeback with an already career breakout season where he’s gone 14/16 in weekends made, with 10 top 25s, and already more top 10s (five) than he had all last season (four) coming into this week. Similar to many drunken sexual encounters I’ve participated in, his major record is short and uneventful, but he’s made two cuts in his last three majors since his comeback last season. And, now that he has all his off-course issues settled, it’s only a matter of time before this once thought to be “one of golf’s next great talents” breaks through in a major. I won’t be on the sidelines when he does.

(Getty Images)

(Getty Images)

5. Ian Poulter $7,800

The English version of Patrick Reed was at it again last week when a volunteer at the Scottish Open referred to Poulter as an arsehole for Ian’s alleged behavior toward him. For whatever reason, Poulter has always had a rep for running hot, and generally being a world class dickhead to fans, other players, small children, and puppies. Also, for some unknown reason, I really enjoy it. But, what I enjoy more is the Englishman’s form heading into the OC having cashed his last 11 consecutive tournaments with nine finishes T-30 or higher including three top 10s, and his first win since 2012 at the Houston Open which also happened to be his first ever win in the states. To be making such career strides after almost losing his PGA Tour card just one year ago tells you that this dickhead is in a great place mentally and probably gives less fucks than he ever has. His major performance of late has been solid making seven straight weekends, and he would have contended going into the weekend for last month’s USO if it wasn’t for a brutal bunker shot that derailed the end of his Friday round. In his 16 career OC starts, he’s managed 11 weekends, six top 25s, and three top 10s including his career best finish in any major with sole second place in 2008. Who knows? Maybe Poulter gets his first major win along with Reed cementing 2018 as golf’s “year of the asshole” forever.

Other Guys

Here’s a quick list of the rest of the guys I like to fill my sixth spot $7,500 and under:

Name Salary
Luke List  $    7,500
Xander Schauffele  $    7,400
Zach Johnson  $    7,200
Lee Westwood  $    7,200
Tony Finau  $    7,200
Webb Simpson  $    7,200
Jordan L. Smith  $    7,100
Beau Hossler  $    6,900
Ryan Fox  $    6,900
Emiliano Grillo  $    6,800
Anirban Lahiri  $    6,800
Ryan Moore  $    6,700
Stewart Cink  $    6,600

Good luck in Scotland! Follow me on twitter @realBobbyAdcock insults are welcomed!

And in honor of this year’s OC being played in Scotland, I leave you with the only thing I really know about that country…

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