MLB DFS: What to Do with All These Postponed Games?

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It hasn’t been a fun week or so of MLB DFS with all of these postponed games. So what do we do? If you choose to play, it can be extremely frustrating, but late swap can help to alleviate some of the pain. If you choose not to play, there could be a terrible case of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) – as many of us who play DFS, suffer from. If you’re not doing the math on your contest entries each time you play, you’ll want to do it when the risks are higher. It’s one thing to take a calculated risk, but it’s another to be careless about it. For myself, I’d err on the side of caution and go safe with the majority of my lineups and have very minimal entries in GPPs. With that being said, here are some of my plays for tonight; and don’t forget to listen to our fantasy baseball Podcast! Just click on the image below:

 

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Aaron Nola (PHI @ ATL)

Moneyline: -130

Over/Under: 8

FanDuel: $8,800/DraftKings: $10,400

Nola’s outing against the Reds was what we’re looking for out of the Phillies’ right-hander. After short outings against the Braves and Mets, he pitched eight innings against the Reds, with a total of 103 pitches. That’s fairly efficient considering he did walk three batters. Tonight, Nola’s pitching in Atlanta again, with Julio Teheran on the mound for the Braves. The Braves have a winning recored of 8-6 to start the season, and we’re getting to see the emergence of Ozzie Albies, and improvement out of Dansby Swanson. Regression is sure to come, which leaves some vulnerability for the Braves against Nola. Suntrust Park hasn’t been kind to Teheran, and his home-road splits show it. Nola’s price will keep creeping up, so roster him now to get the most value out of him.

 

Jose Pirela (SDP vs. LAD)

FanDuel: $3,000 (OF)/DraftKings: $3,500 (OF)

Pirela is quietly having a good start to the season. I have a lot of shares of him in my season-long fantasy baseball leagues, and it’s why I have interest in DFS. Sure, the Padres aren’t a great team, but if you have to pick a hitter on that team to score you the most points, I like Pirela for it. He’s been batting first or second in the order for majority of the season. Over the last few games, Pirela’s been more reliable than Eric Hosmer. With lefty Hyun-Jin Ryu on the mound for the Dodgers, Pirela should fair much better than Hosmer. Here are the career numbers for Pirela’s splits:

Jose  Pirela - FanGraphs Advanced Splits

Jose Pirela – FanGraphs Career Advanced Splits

 

Nelson Cruz (SEA vs. HOU)

FanDuel: $3,600 (OF)/DraftKings: $4,400 (OF)

There are a lot of pitchers on tonight’s slate that look like they could give up the home run ball. I’m not sure if Dallas Keuchel is one of them for you, but Cruz is one that I think could hit one out of the park. Cruz will have the platoon, and already has three home runs off of Keuchel (Albert Pujols and Mark Trumbo also have three). Cruz has been on the disabled list and hasn’t gotten the chance to get it going, but a home run against Keuchel could be just what he needs. Keuchel has struggled on the road, and against right-handed batters. It’s a bit of a risk here with Cruz, but at least it isn’t an expensive one.

 

Michael Conforto (NYM vs. WAS)

FanDuel: $4,000 (OF)/DraftKings: $4,600 (OF)

Conforto’s scored some kind of fantasy points in each of his game appearances this season. Not many are excited because he hasn’t been doing much, but that means that he’s bound to break out. Jeremy Hellickson will be making his first start of the season for the Nationals, and he’s nothing to write home about. Conforto’s been in the leadoff spot six out of seven starts. Assuming he’ll bat leadoff again, it gives him better opportunities to score fantasy points, and Hellickson could be just the pitcher to do it against. Conforto hasn’t been making the value we need for his price, but he’s bound to pay it off sooner than later.

 

Thank you for reading, and good luck with your picks!


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One Comment

  1. Kyle Robert

    April 16, 2018 at 12:43 pm

    Were trusting Nola at SunTrust? That park scares me.

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