DraftKings RBC Heritage Preview

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For this week’s DraftKings RBC Heritage preview we set aside this past week’s glory of a green jacket, and turn our thoughts toward a ridiculous plaid one that I swear is the exact same blazer my Grandpa wore at Christmas Eve every year. RBCH winners also take home a statue in the likeness of Sir William Innes who, according to google, was the captain of the Society of Golfers at Blackheath in England in 1778. And, he’s somewhat credited for bringing the game to the area so the locals really ham it up during this tournament. They even have a dude rolling around the course all weekend dressed up as the Sir Willie mascot. Basically, he’s the Sister Jean of the RBCH.

Before being annoyed with this ass clown all weekend, I come here to provide a couple DK sleepers, my core players, a projected winner, and much more! Per usual, I’ll start off with sleepers–when I say sleepers I’m referring to players priced in the low 7k, or below range that aren’t completely obvious household names in the golf world. I consider making a cut with these selections a victory. Two week’s ago I got my first sleeper win with Ian Poulter providing this savage putt at the Houston Open. Here’s a look at my results going back to last season:

2017 SLEEPERS
TOURNAMENT MISSED CUT MADE CUT TOP 25 TOP 10 WINS
TOTALS 15 29 11 4 0
2018 SLEEPERS
AT&T PEBBLE BEACH 3 4 1 0 0
GENESIS OPEN 0 7 4 2  0
HONDA CLASSIC 4 3 0 0 0
VALSPAR CHAMPIONSHIP 1 3 0 0 0
AP INVITATIONAL 3 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON OPEN 1 2 1 1 1
TOTALS 12 19 6 3 1

Onto Hilton Head!

Sleepers

Photo: Steven Flynn-USA TODAY Sports)

(Photo: Steven Flynn-USA TODAY Sports)

Stewart Cink $7,000

I wrote about Cink’s re-energized mind set coming into this season when I suggested him as a sleeper at the Honda Classic. He arrives at Hilton Head this week having missed back-back weekends there for the first time in his 18 career appearances–only four missed cuts overall. In his heyday, Stewie was a perennial top 10 finisher here including two wins from 2000-2004. With familiarity, and a watered down field, I think Cink is in a comfortable spot to keep his hotel reservations for Saturday and Sunday with potential top 25/top 10 upside–he proved he’s still capable with 10/3 of them respectively last season. Also, he’s coming in hot right now after destroying his son’s girlfriend’s cat Leo in their family bracket challenge. Now, that’s the type of killer instinct I look for when I’m picking winners.

(Marianna Massey/Getty Images)

(Marianna Massey/Getty Images)

Bud Cauley $7,300

Cauley was a sleeper in my Genesis Open preview where he netted a T-20 finish. After a withdraw and missed cut, Bud returned to form with a pair of top 20s at the API and Houston Open in his last two starts. Even better, according to his PGA.com tour profile, his dream foursome would be Jack Nicklaus, Meghan Fox, and Carrie Underwood. It’s unclear if he was referring to playing golf. Either way, if playing with Jack was the price for including Fox and Underwood, like Cauley I’d happily participate in this foursome on or off the course. Wait… I think I just invented a new game!

Anyway, the Crimson Tide alum has managed two weekends in four career appearances at the RBCH including his best, T-9 finish last season where he was the leader after an opening round 63. As I stated back in February, I think he gets his first career PGA Tour victory this season. Hilton Head could be the right mix of experience and field for it to happen.

Core Players

Before the Valspar Championship, I started including my core players to build around in all my lineups. These selections are players that I believe have top 25 floors with top 10 upside, and a reasonable case to win. Here’s the results from this season:

2018 CORE PLAYERS
TOURNAMENT MISSED CUT MADE CUT TOP 25 TOP 10 WINS
VALSPAR CHAMPIONSHIP 1 3 2 2 0
AP INVITATIONAL 1 3 0 0 0
HOUSTON OPEN 1 3 2 1 0
MASTERS 0 5 3 2 0
TOTALS 3 14 7 5 0

 

Note: I called Lefty as the winner for WGC Mexico, but wasn’t documenting core players at that point. Another note: I’m still not over calling him as my winner last week at the Masters.

1. Cameron Smith – Projected Winner

  • Talked him up before Valspar. Just carded a final round 66 for a T-5 finish at Augusta, and his 5th top 10 in 11 starts this season.
  • Course history: 2/2 in cuts made finishing T-29, and T-15 respectively. Seven of eight rounds shot par or better.

2. Xander Schauffele

  • Arguably best price/floor/upside guy this side of Luke Donald in the field this week. Seriously, the Luke Donald course history thing here is bizarre. It may be the subject of my next Netflix documentary series, Wild Wild Course History. Speaking of crazy, going back to his first PGA Tour win in his rookie year last season at the Greenbrier, let’s take a look at Xander’s last 19 starts:

–2 MCs

–12 top 25s

–4 top 10s

–2 wins including the Tour Championship

$7,700 my ass! Do I care that he’s never played here? Considering he hadn’t played East Lake before last season, and went on to fire four consecutive rounds in the 60s winning the Tour Championship against the all top players in the world–absolutely not.

3. Webb Simpson

  • Been stellar all year. Feels like a guy who is poised to net his first win since 2014 at some point this season. This week should be a good opportunity for him to contend in a place where he’s made seven consecutive cuts with four finishes inside the top 15.
  • Was just two shots off the lead after three rounds here last year before faltering with a final round 74.

4. Stewart Cink

  • A sleeper and a core player?! Obviously, I have no rules. My strong convictions have gotten me in trouble before, but fuck it–I believe. Besides, with that budget friendly price you won’t believe the lineup I am able to assemble that will assuredly win me thousands this weekend….

Projected Lineups (Updated for Hadwin W/D 3:05pm est)

I think I’m just going to refer to this lineup as Leaderboard Page One this week. Hatton is one of several European Tour phenoms looking to break through with his first win in the states. Like Simpson, he was in contention here last year with three straight sub 70 rounds before a Sunday 74. It wouldn’t be any surprise to see him in the ridiculous plaid jacket come Sunday. Adam Hadwin is another great price/floor/upside guy who hasn’t missed a weekend this season, and has played his last seven stroke play events at a cumulative score of 48 under par. Also, no shocker if Hadwin is hoisting Sir Willie on Sunday in the silly plaid jacket.

*UPDATE* Thanks for nothing Adam! All that research and math to provide that 48 under stat for naught :( …. Now that my dream lineup is ruined, here are my pivots in place of Hadwin:

  • Knox has the best history here cashing in all four of his starts, all finishing inside the top 20 including a runner up two years ago.
  • Molinari is the best golfer of the alternatives. Similar mold as Hatton–great international player who is on the cusp of his first PGA Tour win.
  • Cauley–the dream foursome above speaks for itself.
Player Salary
Webb Simpson  $      9,400
Cameron Smith  $      9,000
Tyrrell Hatton  $      8,800
Knox/Molinari/Cauley  $      7,800/7,500/7,300
Xander Schauffele  $      7,700
Stewart Cink  $      7,000

Or, pivoting on Simpson for List to make room for Grillo has the makings of a delicious DFS experience…

Player Salary
Luke List  $      8,900
Cameron Smith  $      9,000
Tyrrell Hatton  $      8,800
Emiliano Grillo  $      8,600
Xander Schauffele  $      7,700
Stewart Cink  $      7,000

Good luck at Hilton Head! Be sure to follow me on twitter @realBobbyAdcock.

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