Fantasy Baseball DFS: Jon Gray should capitalize in San Diego

Rockies Jon Gray

After an early slate where we have a lot of good pitchers in bad match-ups we get a little bit of the opposite in the late slate. There are a lot of pitchers with limited upside playing against teams that offer the potential for pitcher upside. However, there are four pitchers who do have some upside and among them three have match-ups they might be able to take advantage of.

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Pitchers I’m playing

Jon Gray ($8,500) @ SD

The Padres had their breakout game yesterday against Kyle Freeland and the Rockies bullpen. Gray is a significantly better pitcher than Freeland and this San Diego line-up is not that good. In three starts against the Padres he has struck out 22 in 17 innings and giving up just five runs. The upside here is at least a strikeout an innings and less than two runs given up.

Sean Manaea ($8,200) vs. TEX

Manaea looked really sharp against a good Angels line-up in his first outing. Now he gets to face the Rangers in Oakland which should be an easier match-up. The Rangers offense has a ton of strikeouts in it which should boost Manaea’s bang for his buck.

Johnny Cueto ($9,600) vs. SEA

Cueto was really good in his first outing against a sluggish Dodgers team with seven innings, one hit and no walks. He doesn’t have a real history against the Mariners having made only two starts but has a career 2.18 ERA against them. Will benefit from facing them in San Francisco where they cannot use the DH taking away one hitting threat.

Cardinals Carlos Martinez

Jeff Roberson – Associated Press

Pitchers I’m avoiding

Carlos Martinez ($10,200) @ MIL

Martinez has performed well against Milwaukee and in Miller Park in his career but this is the best Brewers line-up he will have faced. Last year was probably the strongest line-up he had faced until then and he had 6.32 ERA in three starts in Miller Park. In addition, he had really bad control in his first outing with six walks in 4.1 innings. As the highest priced pitcher on the slate there is too much risk in that park with that line-up if he can’t control his stuff.

Aaron Sanchez ($7,800) vs. CWS

The White Sox have plenty of guys that strikeout but I don’t expect Sanchez (6.9 k/9 at home) to be able to capitalize. It feels like there is every chance both teams score five or more runs in this match-up making Sanchez a low upside low floor play.

Clayton Richard ($5,600) vs. COL

Colorado’s offense has been rolling this season and after a slightly off day Tuesday I think they bounce right back today. There is essentially no upside here for a pitcher with a 5.21 ERA and just 7.2 k/9 versus the Rockies.

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