Fantasy Baseball: Trade for Madison Bumgarner!!!

Denny Medley - USA TODAY Sports

Trade for Madison Bumgarner now!!!

The San Francisco Giants will be without the services of Madison Bumgarner for 6-8 weeks per multiple reports. He is dealing with a fractured hand after taking a liner to his throwing hand. Per Bay Area News Group’s Kerry Crowley, he will “have them (the pins) taken out in 4-6 weeks.” He will start throwing when the pins come out.

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Even with this news, the time to get Bumgarner is now. Many of those fantasy baseball owners who currently have shares likely took him in the first two to three rounds of drafts and are likely very, very frustrated with the news. They may be scrambling to find an ace or fill the void in their rotation. Now is the time to go knock on some doors and get some deals done.

Unlike injuries to tendons or muscles, a broken bone has a much more reliable time table when it comes to recovery. We should see Bumgarner on a MLB mound within two months.

Some may be hesitant to trade for a pitcher who is “injury prone” but that is crazy. This is a pitcher that made 30 plus starts in six straight season before 2017. It’s reasonably safe to assume he will stay away from dirt bikes at least for the rest of the season. Another flukey injury could make me look foolish but any pitcher could get their season derailed by a fluke injury.

Clearly he won’t clear 30 starts this season, but 20 starts or something very close feels fair. When Bumgarner pitches he can be an elite option that has an ERA in the high twos or low threes, gets over a strikeout per inning and limits the walks.

Giants Madison Bumgarner

Chris Carlson – AP

Pitcher like Rich Hill and James Paxton get love every season despite being injury risks that flirt with 20-25 starts every season. Both pitchers are strikeout artists much like Bumgarner who will have ERA in at the high end of Bumgarner’s range. It feels fair to value him similarly.

But, i’m not here to talk about those guys. I’m suggesting making moves to set you up to win championships. Because after all, flags fly forever. If the Bumgarner owner in your league prefers “reliability” from a pitcher who will start the season you can likely make a deal happen.

Looking at ESPN’s Tristan Cockroft’s Top 300 a few names stand out as straight swaps I would happily make. Jake Arrieta, Rich Hill, Masahiro Tanaka, Jose Quintana, Aaron Nola are all pretty for me to move.

It starts to get hard when you get to names like Carlos Martinez and Robbie Ray because those guys give you a similar upside with many more innings. At that point the risk is not really worth the potential reward.

The biggest question you have to ask yourself before taking on this risk, because there is certainly risk involved, “how comfortable are you streaming?” If you are comfortable doing it, it gives you a big advantage. Unlike the San Francisco Giants, who will run Ty Blach, Chris Stratton and Derek Holland in his stead, you will be able to take advantage of average pitchers in great matchups or strikeout-prone teams. Combining 10-15 starts from the waiver wire with the starts Bumgarner will give you could provide top 10ish value comes seasons end.

I would love to know if you make any deals for Bumgarner. Hit me on twitter @NotoriousKRO and be sure to throw you boy a follow if you’re not already doing so. Make sure you check out the 60 Feet 6 Inches podcast on iTunes, Stitcher, Google Play and Youtube!

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