DraftKings Genesis Open 7 Under 7

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This week’s DraftKings Genesis Open concludes the PGA Tour’s early season west coast swing. It also concludes my tolerance for winter in Michigan. The only cure for my Midwest seasonal depression is setting DFS golf lineups and reading online dating profiles. Seriously, I’ve been contemplating attacking strangers on the street for no reason other than it’s dark, cold, and I want someone to pay for it. Before this happens and I go to jail, I figured I’d offer up some DFS suggestions for this week’s Genesis Open hosted by the Riviera Country Club located in the highly decadent Pacific Palisades where I can only imagine playing golf or Tinder is a special experience. The idea here is to identify cheap players that make for this week’s best bargains and/or low usage plays that can set your lineup apart if they hit. I consider any selection that makes the cut under 7k a victory. Here’s a summary of my results over the past two seasons:

2017
TOURNAMENT MISSED CUT MADE CUT TOP 25 TOP 10 Wins
JDC17 2 6 4 1 0
OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP 4 4 3 1 0
PGA CHAMPIONSHIP * 1 6 0 0 0
WYNDHAM 3 4 2 1 0
NORTHERN TRUST 4 3 0 0 0
DELL TECHNOLOGIES 1 6 2 1 0
TOTALS 15 29 11 4 0
2018
AT&T PEBBLE BEACH 3 4 1 0 0
TOTALS 3 4 1 0 0

Onto the Riviera!

(Jan. 26, 2018 - Source: Michael Reaves/Getty Images North America)

Life is going prettyyyyyy… pretty good in 2018… (Jan. 26, 2018 – Source: Michael Reaves/Getty Images North America)

Brandon Harkins $6,800

After earning his 2018 PGA Tour card via the Web.com’s top 25 money rankings last season, the California native has wasted no time in his rookie campaign. In 10 starts Harkins has cashed eight checks including an impressive seven top 25s, two top 10s, and already more than doubled his earnings that he’s accumulated in his seven years playing on various professional golf tours. Safe to say, Brandon’s enjoying his 2018 at the moment. After missing the cut two weeks ago at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, he bounced back nicely in a star studded field with a T15 at Pebble Beach last week. The former psychology major makes for a nice low usage/high upside potential play at Riviera Country Club this week in another field sparing few PGA Tour big dogs. If you need some more convincing, he’s an avid fisherman…

Aaron Baddeley of Australia poses his wife Richelle, daughters Jewel and Jolee and the tournament trophy after winning the final round of the Northern Trust Open at Riviera Country Club on February 20, 2011 in Pacific Palisades, California. (Feb. 19, 2011 - Source: Stuart Franklin/Getty Images North America)

Aaron Baddeley of Australia poses his wife Richelle, daughters Jewel and Jolee and the tournament trophy after winning the final round of the Northern Trust Open at Riviera Country Club on February 20, 2011 in Pacific Palisades, California.
(Feb. 19, 2011 – Source: Stuart Franklin/Getty Images North America)

Aaron Baddeley $6,700

Personally, I hate the outdoors and prefer golf courses as the closest I ever get to nature. But. What I do love is modestly priced Australians that almost always keep weekend reservations when playing at Riviera. Lucky for me, Baddeley is a perfect match making the cut in 12 of 15 career starts there including seven finishes inside the top 30, and arguably his best professional win in 2011. The Aussie combats a lacking long ball with a dialed in short game where he consistently ranks in the top 20 in both, strokes gained around the green and putting each year. Another fun fact–the grizzled veteran has never missed the weekend in back-back years in his 15 appearances at Riviera. Why should you care? He flew home early last year. While I would intentionally leave every golf tournament early to return to Richelle, I’m thinking Aaron keeps his trend at the Genesis going.

Courtesy: Bud Cauley's Instagram

Courtesy: Bud Cauley’s Instagram

Bud Cauley $6,700

Back in 2012 in his early 20s, this Crimson Tide product tore through his first full season on the PGA Tour appearing to be another young up-and-comer similar to his college roommate Justin Thomas. However, similar to my mid 20s, the next few years Cauley’s game regressed before ripping up his shoulder causing him to take a medical exemption missing all of the 2015 season. After regaining his tour status by surpassing the $588k threshold in 14 events in 2016, Bud’s 2017 season saw him net 18 of 28 cuts, five top 10s, and his PGA Tour best finish in a T3 at last season’s Career Builder Challenge. This incredible comeback year also escalated Cauley’s Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) from 321st all the way to 105th! Somehow, I credit Nick Saban for all this. Showing no signs of letting up, the 27 year-old already has two top 10s in seven starts, and seems poised to capture his first PGA Tour victory during his 2018 campaign. I think Cauley bounces back big from his only missed cut this season two weeks ago in Phoenix. Besides, you have to respect a man who goes by Bud in 2017.

(Photo by Khalid Redza/Asian Tour/Asian Tour via Getty Images)

(Photo by Khalid Redza/Asian Tour/Asian Tour via Getty Images)

Anirban Lahiri $6,800

Another guy who had his weekend reservations canceled in Phoenix was this guy. Lahiri (pronounced la-HERE-ree), who played college golf at Purdue, doesn’t make a habit of early exits in PGA Tour events as evidenced by his 71% made cut rate over the last three seasons. In that same period he’s missed back-back weekends just three times. This world class talent already holds the record for highest finish in a major by a native of India with his 2015 T5 finish at the PGA Championship, and appears primed to become the second Indian born player to seize a PGA Tour victory. No, Vijay Singh doesn’t count. He’s from Fiji. According to google maps that is not located in India. And, yes. I had to look that up to know for sure.

(Photo by Michael Cohen/Getty Images)

Petey in 2017 celebrates Web.com win with hot blonde GF Chelsea Gates… (Photo by Michael Cohen/Getty Images)

Peter Uihlein $6,900

Unless you follow the European Tour, Uihlein (pronounced YOU-line) probably isn’t the most familiar name in the field this week. Hell, even if you have a gigantic fantasy platform that hosts European Tour contests you still probably have no clue who the former Oklahoma St. Cowboy is based on the way DK prices him. Unlike former roommate Brooks Koepka and other younger PGA Tour pros, this Massachusetts native chose an unconventional path heading abroad to the European Tour in order to grow his young career playing all over the world. After five years of honing his craft, he broke out in 2017 with nine top 10 finishes that included a runner up in the Open De France, and the victory that earned him his 2018 PGA Tour eligibility in the Web.com Tour pictured above. I imagine most hard core DFSers won’t be sleeping on the 59th ranked player in the world at this price, but even with potentially high usage, Peter might be too tempting to pass up. Side note: I feel like we need more Buds and less Peters in sports. Maybe in the world altogether.

Photo: pgatour.com

I can’t tell if I like this outfit or not… (Photo: pgatour.com)

Ryan Moore $6,900

Similar to Jonah Hill’s weight fluctuations, Moore’s career trajectory seems consistently inconsistent from one year to the next. Let’s have a look see–all stats via pgatour.com:

FINISHES FEDEXCUP
Season Events Played Wins TOP 10 MADE CUT CUT MONEY POINTS STANDING
2006 22 4 13 8 $1,122,118
2007 28 3 17 11 $1,554,901 6,171 56
2008 24 3 12 12 $1,214,900 6,651 89
2009 27 1 6 16 11 $2,222,871 1,215 47
2010 24 6 18 6 $2,374,823 613 21
2011 22 4 18 3 $1,942,906 1,465 37
2012 24 1 8 21 3 $2,858,944 1,105 11
2013 22 3 16 6 $1,490,265 1,185 51
2014 24 1 7 20 4 $3,098,263 1,534 39
2015 24 1 4 17 6 $2,642,306 1,374 39
2016 23 1 9 19 4 $3,701,034 1,336 7
2017 24 2 18 5 $1,751,851 859 64
Totals 288 5 59 205 79      $25,975,182

Over the first five years since playing full-time on the PGA Tour, Moore’s progress steadily rose to a career year in 2010 where he finished with his highest totals in earnings and FedEx Cup standings. After that, it just gets stupid. The UNLV alum inexplicably follows up a step back year with a five-huge-steps forward year establishing new career highs each time! He officially turned into even numbered year guy! I have no idea what this pattern means other than it obviously makes Moore on schedule for his Jonah Hill 21 Jump Street year in 2018. In 11 career appearances at Riviera CC, Moore has managed to cash eight checks including two top 10s. Let the even year magic begin!

Adam Hadwin of Canada holds the trophy with fiancee Jessica Dawn after winning the Valspar Championship during the final round at Innisbrook Resort Copperhead Course on March 12, 2017 in Palm Harbor, Florida. Hadwin won with a score of -14. (March 11, 2017 - Source: Sam Greenwood/Getty Images North America)

Adam Hadwin of Canada with fiancee Jessica Dawn after winning the Valspar Championship during the final round at Innisbrook Resort Copperhead Course on March 12, 2017 in Palm Harbor, Florida. Hadwin won with a score of -14.
(March 11, 2017 – Source: Sam Greenwood/Getty Images North America)

Adam Hadwin $7,100

This isn’t as bad as the price DK insulted the RCB with last week, but it’s close. In his third full season on tour last season, this Canadian export played so well I almost considered him an American. In his breakout year, Hadwin amassed five top 10s including his first tour win, and almost one million more in winnings than he’d earned over his previous eight years as a professional combined. All that said, you have to wonder why Hadwin, and a guy like the 22nd ranked player in the world–Francesco Molinari are $300-400 away from the aforementioned tour rookie, Harkins. If anyone from DK is reading this, I’m available to review your golf pricing model whenever. Also, it’d be irresponsible of me not to mention in my analysis of Hadwin that he met his wife on Tinder. I think that might bump him at least into a tie for greatest Canadian ever with the Biebs.

"Is it too late now to say Sorrrry..."

“Is it too late now to say Sorrrry…”

Projected Lineups

Going back to the FedEx playoffs last year, Mickelson caught fire and hasn’t looked back in 2018 with three top 10s in six events played including last week’s runner up finish at Pebble. Speaking of straight fire… Chez Reavie hasn’t missed a cut since last May, and is arguably playing the best golf of his career with back-back runner up finishes the past two weeks.

Player Salary
Paul Casey  $    10,200
Adam Hadwin  $      7,100
Jason Kokrak  $      7,500
Phil Mickelson  $      9,900
Francesco Molinari  $      7,200
Chez Reavie  $      8,000

And by the way, yes–I know Hadwin isn’t under 7k. No, I’m not sorry.

Player Salary
Justin Thomas  $    10,700
Adam Hadwin  $      7,100
Ryan Moore  $      6,900
Phil Mickelson  $      9,900
Peter Uihlein  $      6,900
Chez Reavie  $      8,000

Big dog to win: Phil

Dark horse candidate: Ryan Moore, 100/1 on most sites just sayin…

Tiger thoughts: Making the weekend and playing four consecutive competitive rounds injury free is still progress to me. If he manages another top 25 finish in this field, I’ll start to consider beginning to think about possibly maybe feeling like what could be kind of the start to a potential sort of conceivable path to imagining a time that is promising to envision a feasible direction to believing this man is back…

I need it. We all do… Good luck at Riviera CC! You can follow me on twitter @realBobbyAdcock.

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