Fantasy Baseball: Early roto third base rankings

Kris Bryant

On first glance the third base rankings feel really deep this year. Compared to previous years the top has separated out a fraction but the middle three tiers are full of start-able talent for your fantasy team. I can see a lot middle infield and utility coming from this position early in drafts especially with the name value of some of the guys. Third base is going to be a position which is going to do one of two things and it will depend on the people in your draft. The first is that guys could race off the board as everyone grabs ‘their guy’. Secondly there is an equal chance of some great value because the depth of the position relative to others will supress the value on the middle options and leave some nice starting options available at great prices.

Free agent wise Eduardo Nunez is the headline here as he was for second base because he has that power speed ability. Todd Frazier and Mike Moustakas could provide useful power depending where they sign and what their role will be and Ryan Schimpf is a power wild card who has shown the ability to put up hot stretches. Nunez is the only person I am for sure ranking right now but Frazier and Moustakas could easily jump up the ranks and challenge for a place near the top of tier 5.

Again closer to the season I will go deeper with my rankings but for now here is my top 20 ESPN eligible third base rankings.

Tier Rank Name Team Eligibility
1 1 Nolan Arenado COL 3B
2 2 Manny Machado BAL 3B
2 3 Kris Bryant CHC 3B
3 4 Jose Ramirez CLE 2B, 3B
3 5 Josh Donaldson TOR 3B
3 6 Justin Turner LAD 3B
3 7 Alex Bregman HOU 3B, SS
3 8 Evan Longoria SF 3B
4 9 Travis Shaw MIL 3B
4 10 Adrian Beltre TEX 3B, DH
4 11 Miguel Sano MIN 3B, DH
4 12 Jake Lamb ARI 3B
4 13 Anthony Rendon WSH 3B
4 14 Eugenio Suarez CIN 3B
5 15 Kyle Seager SEA 3B
5 16 Nick Castellanos DET 3B, OF
5 17 Chase Headley SD 1B, 3B
5 18 Asdrubal Cabrera NYM 2B, 3B, SS
5 19 Eduardo Nunez FA 2B, 3B, OF
6 20 Joey Gallo TEX 1B, 3B

 

4 Comments

  1. David L

    January 16, 2018 at 12:02 pm

    Where’s Devers?

    • Ben Rolfe

      January 16, 2018 at 12:05 pm

      He was first man out so 21st. I valued the power speed of Nunez and the sheer power of gallo over him. He’s a guy I need to look into further and when I do it’s more likely he moves up than down

  2. Warren

    January 16, 2018 at 12:49 pm

    Rendon ranked below some people he will naturally outperform.
    I know these things are speculation and hard to put together but that one strikes me as glaringly wrong and I don’t even own him.

    Sano – may miss time with a suspension. Lamb – no chance. Beltre? Are you seriously ranking him that high? Travis Shaw – his average is going to keep his value below the top 16. Moose and Frazier could even be ranked based on their WAR or historical 3 year averages.

    Put out value based columns – not just stuff to read because its cold outside

    • Ben Rolfe

      January 16, 2018 at 1:26 pm

      I usually try and explain my rankings as I do them but I wanted to get these out so I didn’t do a full explanation at this stage. I very much appreciate you reading the article and taking the time to comments but please understand these aren’t just names put out because its cold. Getting to this has involved producing projections for ever player currently projected to be on a 25 man roster and even some that aren’t. The projections haven’t been minutely adjusted at this stage but over the next month I will start to look closer at each player and make any adjustments required but they shouldn’t be major jumps from here. Here are my reasons for the names you said:

      Rendon: This is probably the one that will move the most in terms of his rank as we get closer to the season and it will almost solely be based on his durability winning out over others. My projections are based on three year averages so his numbers are suppressed by his 2015 performance (Home runs mainly). This is something that I will look at further but look beyond the ranking at the tier. I could make a case for him as the top option in that tier but I would struggle to put him up a tier even f I project another couple of home runs.

      Sano: When he actually gets suspended then I will treat him appropriately. As far as I have seen there is no proof he did what he is being accused of but I may have missed that. As far as I could see his suspension is speculative at this stage.

      Beltre: He is a class player who hit 17 home runs in 94 games last year. Hes played 148+ every year the five years before that. Ortiz showed you can still productive as you near 40. He is definitely a guy I’d gamble on if the value is right and I think he has every chance to be top 10.

      Shaw: Ranked 5th at the position in roto last year (ESPN player rater) so Id say top 10 is not a huge stretch hitting in that park.

      Moose and Frazier I have serious concerns about their playing time right now and if I was drafting today I would avoid them in drafts. Once they are signed that might change.

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