Between the Bankroll and Me: Fanduel Week 10

Matthew Stafford

Week nine was an overall success, with several of the picks paying off their tags. Now we are on to week 10 (it always go by too fast, doesn’t it), and we have a nice 12-game slate on our hands. Lets did in to Fanduel week 10.

Quarterback

Dak Prescott ($8,800) @ Atlanta

Yes, we’ve finally seen a quarterback not named Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers climb to the top of quarterback pricing. Granted, ARod is on IR and Brady is visiting Denver this, but still. Dak has been outstanding this year, and is absolutely deserving of a massive price hike. It’s not enough to scare me, though. It appears the Dallas offense will finally be Zeke-less (although we all thought that last week), so Dak will likely need to put in some overtime on the road against Atlanta, where Dallas is a three point dog in a game that has opened with a 50.5 over/under.

Matthew Stafford ($8,200) vs Cleveland

This sets up as a no-brainer. The Browns are a straight pass funnel defense (28th vs. pass, 1st vs. run) and the Lions can’t run the ball anyway. Given the matchup, Stafford and his receivers will be super chalky, so there is reason to fade them in tournaments, but stacking some Lions is an optimal cash game move.

*Note* Although he had a huge game last week, Jared Goff is likely to go overlooked at the exact same price, because, well, Stafford gets the Browns. However, Goff gets just as juicy a matchup at home against Houston.

Ben Roethlisberger ($7,600) @ Indinapolis

Yes, it’s Big Ben on the road. Yuck. But against Indy and their 25th ranked pass defense, even he becomes hard to ignore. Pittsburgh is currently a 10-point favorite and has a huge 27-point implied total. It probably goes without saying, but he’s strictly a tournament play at this point.

Josh McCown ($7,400) @ Tampa Bay

McCown is my punt play this week (although he’s traditionally a little pricy for a punt). But my goodness, how good has he been this year? Since week five he has thrown for 10 touchdowns to only four interceptions and has scored 14 or more fantasy points in every game during that stretch. This week the Jets travel to Tampa to face a reeling Bucs team that will now be without Jameis Winston or Mike Evans, resulting in the Jets being a 2.5-point road favorite. Hard to ignore him in this spot – for that price – this week.

Running Back

Jaguars Leonard Fournette

David J. Phillip – AP

Leonard Fournette ($8,700) vs. LA Chargers

Fournette comes in as the third most expensive back on the slate, behind Gurley and Bell. For the record, I’m not against going up to Gurley or Bell. The matchups aren’t stellar, but it kind of doesn’t matter with those two. However, I just don’t think it’s necessary this week. Fournette appears to be back in the good graces his head coach and is presumed to resume his lead back duties – where he’s receiving almost 24 total touches per game. Sign me up against a Chargers defense that is basically a run funnel unit at this point (9th against the pass, 26th against the run).

LeSean McCoy ($8,300) vs. New Orleans

McCoy’s, after being thwarted by the Jets last Thursday night, gets a nice bounce back spot here. The Saints have been a much-improved defense this year, but it’s mostly been in their secondary. They currently rank 4th against the pass and 28th against the run. This sets up nicely for McCoy and the Bills who will look to slow things down to keep Drew Brees and the Saints’ rushing attack off the field.

Carlos Hyde ($6,700) vs. New York Giants

Earlier I briefly mentioned how Tampa Bay was reeling. Well, if they’re reeling, the Giants are in a free fall. With reports coming out that the team has quit on Ben Macadoo, this isn’t a pretty site for Giants fans. This week they travel out to the bay area, where they will be a 2.5-point road underdog (seriously, how many times did we expect the Jets and the 49ers to be favorites, let alone on the same week). Hyde is dominating the touches in the 9ers backfield, to the tune of just over 20 touches per game. Similar to the way the Rams used Gurley against the Giants last week, expect 9ers to do the same with Hyde.

Devonta Freeman ($6,500) vs. Dallas

It’s hard to really trust anyone on Atlanta right now, as they have predictably regressed from last year’s outrages offensive output (although I don’t think anyone thought it would be this bad). But, if there’s a time to bounce back it’s at home, in an uptempo game where you’re favored by three points. Freeman’s price has dropped all the way to $6,500, making him an excellent value. Given his lack of volume and the team’s overall ineffectiveness lately he’s probably a better tournament play, but that price is tempting for cash games.

Wide Receiver

Antonio Brown

Charles LeClaire – USA TODAY Sports

Antonio Brown ($9,300) @ Indianapolis

The best receiver in the game against a the 25th ranked secondary? I’ll have that. Yes, by choosing Brown we’re tied to the “Big Ben on the road” thing, but like I said when discussing Ben, this is just too good a spot to ignore. You probably wan’t a piece of the Pittsburgh offense this week, and Brown is a great way to get exposure. Also, for $6,500, Ju Ju Smith-Schuster is in play as well.

AJ Green ($7,900) @ Tennessee

Green was an easy fade last week going up against the mighty Jacksonville secondary, but he gets a great rebound matchup this week against Tennessee and their 22nd ranked secondary. With the exception of last week, he hasn’t seen less than five targets in any game, making him an excellent cash game look most weeks.

Sammy Watkins ($6,400)/Robert Woods ($6,200)/Cooper Kupp ($5,900) vs. Houston

Simply put, picking on Houston’s secondary is an absolute must right now. They have been smuh-smuh smoked in back to back weeks by Seattle and Indy, and now visit what is perhaps the hottest offense in the league in the Rams. Like Pittsburgh, you’re probably going to need a piece of this offense if you want to win monies. Watkins, barely seeing three targets per game, is strictly a tournament play, but, as we saw last week, he hasn’t lost his big play ability and could easily go off in this one. Woods will be a popular play based on his huge outing last week, and is seeing more targets than Watkins, but I still don’t trust him for cash games. I’m fine going back to the well in tournaments, but he will have high ownership. Kupp is my favorite play of the bunch because he has a nice target floor, and has shown an ability to find the end zone. He was basically the only Ram receiver not to go off last week so he should go overlooked. I love him for all formats.

Aldrick Robinson ($5,000) vs. New York Giants

With Trent Taylor sidelined last week, Robinson saw a massive eight targets against Arizona. Taylor is slated to miss this next game against the Giants, paving the road for Robinson to see another big chunk of the market share. The Giants just got washed by the Rams and now head west to face a favored 49ers squad that should be able to put up some points. I like Robinson as a punt in tournaments, but I can’t quite pull the trigger in cash.

Tight End

Brady and Gronkowski are crucial players in this year's auction drafts (AJ Mast/AP Images)

AJ Mast – AP Images

Rob Gronkowski ($8,100) @ Denver

Like I’ve said in the past, every week could be a Gronk week. I will never talk you out of playing him against anyone. Most weeks, though, I don’t know that it’s necessary, at least in cash games. It may not be this week either, but the matchup is nice. As we know, Denver locks down the outside receivers, funneling action to the middle of the field where their linebackers and safeties can – and have- been exploited. Gronk should be heavily targeted and can easily get over on this unit.

Jack Doyle ($6,100) vs. Pittsburgh

“O’Doyle Rules!” is in a tough spot this week against Pittsburgh who rank second against the position, but we can’t ignore that he’s averaging eight targets per game, which is first amongst tight ends. The Steelers figure to shut down TY Hilton on the outside, and their strong pass rush will force Jacoby Brisset to keep his targets short and quick. Hello, Doyle!

Eric Ebron ($5,300) vs. Cleveland

I know, I know. I’m cringing even writing about Ebron. But, like the rest of the Lions offense, the matchup is there. Cleveland ranks 30th against the position and is surrendering an average of 10 catches and 75 yards per game to opposing tight ends. For the record, due to his volatility I’m steering clear from him in cash games, but he’s absolutely worth look as part of a Lions stack in tourney’s.

Defense

Bears Defense

Raj Mehta – USA TODAY Sports

Chicago ($4,300) vs. Green Bay

I’m going to do things a little different this week and make just one official, slightly off the wall recommendation. Yes, the Rams, Lions and Jag are all terrific cash game plays and will be popular amongst the field. I’m thinking a little different this week. Chicago is big-ish home favorite (5.5) against a Brett Hundley-led (bleh) offense in a game with one of the lowest over/unders on the slate, giving us a prime home defense to target. The Bears have been surprisingly better on defense this year – especially at home – and have shown an ability to get to the opposing quarterback, make plays and even notch a few scores.

Kicker

Mike Nugent ($4,700) @ Atlanta

Aside from not being a home favorite, “Stranglehold” is in a nice spot this week. The price is still great and he’s on a team that’s playing in one of the highest-projected scoring games on the slate.

 

 

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