NFL Week 8 Picks Against the Spread

Against the spread picks

Another week of 2-1 and those who are playing my picks against the spread must be happy at this point. Outside of my 0-3 start, I’ve gone 2-1 every single week since with a 12-6 record. If you’re not confident yet, my #1 pick each week has been correct every week since the 0-3 week 1 (fancy table shown below). We have 6 teams on bye this week which leaves slim pickings out there in terms of low hanging fruit. Baltimore was a no-brainer in my mind (easy to say after the fact) but I don’t release these articles until the weekend when I can see the Sunday lines settle and give the readers the most up to date lines I can. Before we get into the picks this week, I just want to highlight that the Cowboys-Redskins total is sitting at 47 right now and that should be an absolute shootout. Both defenses are averaging 24+ ppg against and these offenses are clicking. Washington has been slow to start but last week they look much better. I’m hammering the over here but staying away from the game.

1st pick 2nd pick 3rd pick

Wins

6

3

3

Total

7

7

7

% 86% 43%

43%

ATS Record: 12-9

These spreads were taken from http://sportsbook.ag as of 10/27/17.

Detroit Lions +3 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers have played very well the last couple weeks and will be taking on an improved Lions defense on their home turf. Additionally, the Lions are coming off a bye so they should have some fresh legs to rush Big Ben with and stuff Le’Veon as well as any defense could hope to. I’m not super confident that the whole Martavis situation affects the team but it can’t be helping any. I really feel a letdown coming from Big Ben as he loves to do on the road – this feels like the week it’s going to happen.

Houston Texans +7 at Seattle Seahawks

I’ve been all over the Seahawks these past few weeks as they climb the NFL power ranks back to where they should have been after a poor start to the season. I still think the Seahawks are one of the best teams, especially at home, but the Texans are pretty good themselves. As much as I want to say Watson’s performance is a bit inflated, even a slight regression still puts him in the elite bunch of quarterbacks this year. Houston is coming off a bye which should serve to get some members back to full health, and players like Watson another step ahead in his development. Seven points is a lot of points to give to most offenses in the NFL, but it’s especially high to give to an offense as potent as this. I’ll take the points and enjoy this solid football game.

Cleveland Browns +9.5 vs. Minnesota Vikings (Neutral site game in London)

London has a weird way of going against the grain. Remember when Jacksonville beat the Ravens 44-7? For whatever reason, I’m inclined to go with the underdogs out there. Additionally, the Vikings are going into their bye next week. That gives them a little extra motivation to stay healthy and limp to a win here. Diggs has been out for a couple of weeks now and is expected to play, but I imagine he will take a seat after half if it’s out of reach. This should leave the Browns with some late game garbage time to cover this spread if they aren’t getting their first win of the year.

Follow me on Twitter and let me know what you think of the picks! @MoreThanFantasy

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