Monday Night Risk Reward Week 6

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By John Bush

Monday Night Risk Reward Week 6

Game Script Overview, Game Script by Predicted Game Totals and Each Game DAPs

Monday Night Risk Reward Week 6 has my Risk and Reward Analysis will include:

  • Game Script
  • Defense against the Position (DAP) Data
  • Non-PPR and PPR Rankings (100 to 0) Green to Red
  • My Risk Assessments for each Player (High, Mid, and Low Risk)

I have constructed these data charts to maximize your visual view of the entire game landscape. Use thoughtfully. My philosophy is less is more. I may hit the highlights but will try not give you the same old tired pundit driven opinions.

I like to see the overall points to be scored, then into the positional DAPs and finally to risk and ranks. I let the bargains come to me in DFS. Do not force yourself to play heavily this early.


Figure 1 Instruction for Reading my Game Scripts and Defense Against the Position Tables. 


Predicted Total Game Points

2016 Seasonal DAPs for Each Team’s Offense to face. (Find the Positional Advantages)

Complete Week Thumbnail Overview including Favorite vs Underdog with Overall Defense Against their Opponent (Toughest, Hard, Nice and Very Easy) Deep Red to Dark Green


Monday Night Risk Reward Week 6 Slide1


Figure 2. A Visual Discussion of My Risk Analysis

Monday Night Risk Reward Week 3Slide23


Figures 3/4  Week 6 TEAM PLAYER Counts by Risk Levels

Monday Night Risk Reward Week 6 Slide01

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TEN vs IND

Monday Nigh

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 TEN

Mariota uis expoected back. Assumniung he is he gets an easy get-weel game vs a +19 Overall DAP and +6 QB DAP. Expect 4 X TDs possible. A tournment DFS play? I have him at mid risk 58! Game key player if he can overcome his injury!

Walker the TE will collect 1 or 2 of the TDs! He is battling tonight a +3.5 TE DAP! Nice! I have him at 90 in PPR low risk!

The WRs get back on track with their QB back! They will content against a +4.5 DAP! Matthews in PPR low risk 77! He will collect 1X and lots of grabs! Great Cash game DFS play! Decker gets a chance to reset his game which has been sad far! I still have him at high risk 57!

The RBs tandem of Henry and Murray face a nice +3 RB DAP. They cut each others potential and guessing the scoring is tough! In PPR, Murray is low risk 87 and Henery is mid risk 50! They can both score with Henry collecting in garbage time if TEN overwhelms the IND team!

TEN

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Monday Nigh

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IND

Brissett has been ok so far waiting for Luck! Can he keep it going? IND wins if Mariota flops! Brissett will have to defy the TEN defense giving him a+21DAP. Bonanza scoring is a great possibility! He sees a +6.4 QB DAP. A passing feast is in store here! I have him at low-risk at 53!

Gore is a low risk vs a +2.1 RB DAP and scores. Mack also can score as he does have the juice in here at a mid risk 53! I expect they get 2X TDs!

Doyle should be able to score vs a +11. What an opportunity! DFS play! I have him high risk 42 because of the injury issues.

Finally, TY gets 2X TDs vs a +0.6 DAP. I have him in PPR at low risk 95! Not sure the other WRs score! TY and Doyle and maybe the RBs are the passing heroes in here!

Monday Night Risk Reward Week 6 IND

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