Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 6

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By John Bush

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 6

Game Script Overview, Game Script by Predicted Game Totals and Each Game DAPs

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 6 has my Risk and Reward Analysis will include:

  • Game Script
  • Defense against the Position (DAP) Data
  • Non-PPR and PPR Rankings (100 to 0) Green to Red
  • My Risk Assessments for each Player (High, Mid, and Low Risk)

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 6  report has my constructed data charts to maximize your visual view of the entire game landscape. Use thoughtfully. My philosophy is less is more. I may hit the highlights but will try not give you the same old tired pundit driven opinions.

I like to see the overall points to be scored, then into the positional DAPs and finally to risk and ranks. I let the bargains come to me in DFS. Do not force yourself to play heavily this early.


Figure 1 Instruction for Reading my Game Scripts and Defense Against the Position Tables. 


  1. Predicted Total Game Points
  2. 2016 Seasonal DAPs for Each Team’s Offense to face. (Find the Positional Advantages)
  3. Complete Week Thumbnail Overview including Favorite vs Underdog with Overall Defense Against their Opponent (Toughest, Hard, Nice and Very Easy) Deep Red to Dark Green

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 3Slide1


Figure 2. A Visual Discussion of My Risk Analysis


Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 3Slide23


Figure 3 Team Player Counts By Risk Levels (Graph and Table)


 Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 6 Slide01

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 6 Slide02

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DEN vs NYG


Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 6 Sunday Night

DEN

This game has a very high range of possibilities!  The key to the game is how does the new WRs for NYG do against DEN

Sieman is a mid risk 44 this week. He faces a -0.4 overall DAP and -0.1 QB DAP. I think he can produce higher than thought. I have picked him up based on the rest of the season but he can do it here as his average game can be 3 X TDs.

The DEN victory runs through its RBs vs a +4 DAP. CJ should get 2X score maybe a hat-trick is possible. He is low risk at 93! Sweet! He is a solid DFS cash game play.

AJ Derby must go into a hellfire of -13.4 TE DAP! He is high risk 56 this week!

The dynamic duo has been more to the Sander side of the equation. D Tom has not delivered this season. They both will contest their skills into a +7.2 WR DAP! They collect 3X TDs and they each get a score or more! Sanders is ranked low risk 79 and D Tom is a mid risk 75 because of his season so far!

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 6 DEN


Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 6 Sunday Night


NYG

Eli faces his toughest test, not due to a defensive foe but his team itself! No one knows the effects of a wholesale WR change. DEN should stack the BOX and let Eli try to beat them with his mystery WRs! He faces a -4.5 DAP and -0.6 QB DAP. and is ranked low risk 16! He could get scores or not!

Gallman the RB clashes into a DEN -8.8 RB DAP! He must get through the DEN defense to give ELI a shot! Vereen must also catch out of the backfield and ELI must use him more than usual. Vereen is a great DFS tournament gamble! Gallman in PPR is high risk 65 and Veeren only a mid risk 58 (pass catching helps him).

The TE is the key of the game. He faces a nice +3.2 TE DAP. Engram is nice DFS play! He scores 2X! I have him at mid risk 77! Expect him to save the day if the NYG win!

Finally, the chaos factor is within the WRs. They do face a +2.4 WR DAP! If they are NFL quality then the NYG can win! I have King, Rudolph, and Lewis at Low, Mid, and High-risk respectively! Shepard is out! Lewis can score but very unclear at a 46 ranking!

Sunday Night Risk Reward Week 6 NYG




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