Between the Bankroll and Me: Fanduel Week Six

Miller is one of the primary targets for IDP owners due to his Pass Rushing skills.

The train keeps on rolling for Fanduel week six. Last week we hit on plays like Wentz, Hilton and ASJ. More bye weeks mean a limited player pool, but there is plenty of value out there as well as some big upside plays. Let’s dive in.

Quarterback

Drew Brees ($8,600) vs. Detroit

Upon last we saw Mr. Brees, he was laying waste to the Dolphin’s secondary in London. Well, he’s now had two weeks off to prepare for a Lion’s secondary that just got buried by Cam Newton and Co. This game is sure to be one of the highest projected scoring games on the slate, and Brees is generally money in the bank at home. I can understand the draw of paying up for Brady against the Jets, but Brees will likely be as high as I go at the quarterback slot.

*Note*: Given that this will likely be a shootout, we also must consider Matthew Stafford on the other side for $100 cheaper

DeShaun Watson ($7,900) vs. Browns

Raise your hand if you were wrong about Watson (/raises hand). Watson is a man on a mission, and he is making most armchair analyst and many an NFL executive eat their words. I’m all aboard the train, especially in week six when he gets the Browns at home, who have become a straight funnel defense against the pass. Houston is 9.5-point favorite and has a 27-point implied total.

Kirk Cousins ($7,800) vs. San Francisco

It took Cousins and his new arsenal a few weeks to gel, but after back to back 20 -plus point outings it appears they are starting to get things together. This week they get San Francisco and their 26th ranked pass defense. Fresh off of a bye, Cousins and Co. are a massive 10.5-point home favorite and have one of the highest implied totals (28.25) on the slate.

Alex Smith ($7,500) vs. Pittsburgh

It’s sounds crazy, but with 1,391 passing yards (3rd), 11 touchdowns (3rd), zero interceptions, a 76.58 completion rate (4th), and leading the Chiefs to a 5-0 record, but Alex Smith might be the front runner for MVP. I’m as shocked as you are. Given some likely “safer” plays and the fact he faces the 4th ranked Steelers pass defense, I think he’s more of a GPP option for me this week, but the time is long gone where we can ignore this former game manager.

 

Running Back

Leonard Fournette ($8,600) vs. LA Rams

Fournette is another player I was wrong on thus far, but it wasn’t for lack of talent; I just didn’t think the Jacksonville offense could sustain his workload. And while he still might see some negative game scripts from time to time, it’s clear that defense is going to keep them in most games, thus leading to Fournette’s continued massive workload. He’s currently first in the league in carries with 109 and is seeing about 23 touches per game. The Jags are a 2.5-point home favorite against the Rams. The former LSU Tiger should have no trouble carving up their 24th ranked run defense.

Devonta Freeman ($8,500) vs. Miami

On paper, this looks like a tough matchup for Freeman, as Miami has actually been quite stout against the run (2nd in DVOA). But Atlanta is a whopping 11.5-point home favorite, with an outrages 29 implied point total, meaning Freeman has an excellent chance to find the end zone.

CJ Anderson ($7,000) vs. New York Giants

As if things couldn’t get worse for the 0-5 Giants, now they get to head out west and deal with a Denver team fresh off their bye week. Denver, like Atlanta, are 11.5-point home favorites and should have no trouble controlling this game throughout with their dominant defense, meaning Anderson should see all the work he can handle. The Giants rank 31st against the run.

Alvin Kamara ($5,800) vs. Detroit

As if his London performance wasn’t enough, now, after the team has traded Adrian Peterson, the arrow is definitely pointing up for this dynamic talent. Ingram will likely see more carries, but Kamara is the by far the more balanced player – and the Saints know it. They will look to get him involved on the ground and through the air against a Detroit team that just saw Christian McCaffrey score his first touchdown. His price is outstanding, but the presence of Ingram makes Kamara more of a GPP play this week. And an awesome one at that.

Elijah McGuire ($5,700)

McGuire is someone to keep an eye on as the week progresses. If Bilal Powell and Matt Forte are declared out then McGuire becomes cash game viable, as he’s likely to then see most of the running back touches. Even playing from behind, as the Jets are surely going to be against New England, McGuire is talented enough to stay in on passing downs and he should easily pay off his price tag.

 

Wide Receiver

Deandre Hopkins ($8,000) vs. Cleveland

Pretty simple. I love Watson this week, so naturally I’d love to stack him with his top target. Hopkins is second in targets (61), second in receptions (35) and second in touchdowns (5).

Chris Hogan ($7,500) @ New York Jets

While I don’t mind Brandin Cooks for $400 more, Hogan is the Patriots receiver I want to continue to target if I’m looking to get a piece of this Pats offense. With five touchdowns Hogan has become one of Brady’s go-to looks in the red zone. He has scored in four straight games, and has seen no less than five targets (which was week one – before he started to heat up) in any game. Patriots are a huge road favorite against the Jets (9.5), and have a massive 28.5 implied total.

Kennan Allen ($7,200) @ Oakland

Allen has been a target monster this season, seeing no less than nine in any game thus far. This week the Chargers travel to Oakland to face a team in a complete free fall. It sounds like Derek Carr could be back for this one, which should make things more competitive. When a receiver is seeing as much work as Allen, he’s always in play in any format.

DeSean Jackson ($6,500) @ Arizona

Mike Evans will have his hands full with Patrick Peterson likely shadowing him all day, which means Jackson should see plenty of Justin Bethel. In case you don’t know who Bethel is, just look in the dictionary under “burnt toast”. I love DJax’s chances at scoring one (or more) of his trademark long touchdowns this week.

*Note*: He usually gets his own writeup each week, but Larry Fitzgerald ($6,600) is still firmly in play for cash games with his target volume.

 

Tight End

Cameron Brate ($5,900) @ Arizona

Paying up for Gronk is always an option, but if you’re looking to be a little more thrifty at the tight end position Brate just might be your guy. He’s caught a touchdown in three straight, and his target total has risen each week, culminating in a whopping nine last week against New England. Like I said when discussing DJax, Winston’s top target, Mike Evans, will probably get erased by Patrick Peterson meaning Winston will have to look elsewhere to distribute the ball.

Austin Sefarian-Jekins ($5,600) vs. New England

Yet again, ASJ is my favorite play on the slate. New York will assuredly be playing from behind in this game, meaning ASJ should remain heavily targeted in the passing game. He’s seen 18 targets in three games and will be up against a New England team that is ranked 28th against the position thus far.

Hunter Henry ($5,400) @ Oakland

Slowly but surely the Chargers are realizing “Double H” provides more for them in the passing game then the corpse of Antonio Gates. He saw eight targets last week against the Giants, and found the end zone for the second time this season. Oakland has been a sieve this year and Henry should have no trouble carving up a mediocre linebacking and safety core. I prefer Brate and Jekins in cash, but Henry is a great pivot in tournaments.

 

Defense

Denver ($5,400) vs. New York Giants

The Broncos are pricey this week, but they might be the closest thing we’ve seen this year to money in the bank. Plain and simple, the Giants are in shambles. They just lost their best player in OBJ in addition to losing Brandon Marshall, too. They can’t run the ball and they can’t protect the quarterback. If they score anything outside of maybe a long field goal I will be genuinely shocked. I expect a massive game from Von Miller and likely a pick six from that lethal secondary. Even with the high price tag, I expect them to probably be a little chalky this week.

Jacksonville ($4,900) vs. LA Rams

This will be the decision of the week at defense: Broncos or Jags? I think Denver gets the easier matchup, but they are more expensive. Jacksonville has perhaps the only secondary in the league that can match Denver, and can rush the passer to great effect, too. The Rams are a much more balanced offense than the Giants, and could expose a terrible Jags run defense with Todd Gurley, but they should easily force a couple turnovers. They’re only a 2.5-point home favorite, but the over/under of 42.5 hints at a low scoring affair. I think Denver is safer and has more upside, but if you find Jacksonville’s price more conducive as you build the rest of your roster, then by all means fire them up.

Kansas City ($4,800) vs. Pittsburgh

We all know about Big Ben’s struggles on the road, so if you feel like possibly pouncing on that then Kansas City could be a nice dice roll. They have the pass rush to get to Ben, and a talented enough secondary to get their hands on the ball. Vegas has them as a 4.5-point home favorite.

 

Kicker

Will Lutz ($4,700) vs. Detroit

Cheap. Home favorite. Good offense. High over/under (50).

 

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