DraftKings Week 5 Strategy Guide

Aaron Rodgers

Welcome to the week five slate on DraftKings, where the bye weeks start and the decisions get a bit tougher. With less options to choose from, it becomes more difficult to find the value. So I am back to guide you towards the green.

Coming off another solid week of calls, I want to keep it rolling this week. Usually I go cheap at the quarterback spot, but going into bye weeks and having some injuries  I am suggesting some chalk picks. I will make up with some cheaper flex options to add salary balance.

Aaron Rodgers

(Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports)

 

Quarterback

Aaron Rodgers $8,100-I hate going chalk here, but unlike the Thursday night letdown this game should be high scoring. Ty Montgomery is likely out so I expect Aaron Rodgers to pass a ton in this one to compensate for a lack of run game. Rodgers should be widely owned this week and you don’t want to miss out if he goes off.

Dak Prescott $6,800-If you do not pay up for Rodgers why not take Dak? He has been consistently good and if the Cowboys want to win they need to score a lot of points.

Andy Dalton $6,000-The Browns have given up the forth most fantasy points to the quarterback so far. It seems like the Bengals have gotten back on track offensively, so roll out the Red Rifle.

Jacoby Brissett $5,600-He has been serviceable so far. I think this is a great spot for him against the worst defense against quarterbacks. He is a cheap option to pair with high price position players.

Jay Cutler $5,200-I know this one is tough to do and I understand if you just skipped right over when you saw Jay Cutler. A great matchup is all we are looking for and the Titans have certainly obliged recently.

Ezekiel Elliott

Matthew Emmons – USA TODAY Sports

Running Back

Le’Veon Bell $9,500-He was the Bell cow last week, no pun intended. The Jags have struggled to contain any running back yet this year. This seems like another guy you want to roster just to not miss out.

Ezekiel Elliot $8,800-I’ve already touched on  the fact I expect a bevy of points in this game. If the Cowboys get in close Zeke will get the chances to punch it in.

Todd Gurley II $8,000-This is not a great matchup. I’m chasing the volume in this one. Gurley has been getting targets in the passing game as well as the lion share of carries. That means despite game script he will be heavily involved and I feel the Seahawks defense will scare people away from using him.

Carlos Hyde $6,900-Like Gurley, Hyde can be a dual threat back to target if you need to go cheaper. The Colts allowed a 5.9 yards per carry last week versus the Seahawks. Hyde should get almost all the carries here and be a solid value.

DeMarco Murray $5,400-It appears Marcus Mariota will be out and Matt Cassel will be in. If that’s the case the Titan’s will want to deploy a heavy dose Murray and Henry. I prefer Murray as he should get the bulk.

Wayne Gallman $3,900-Gallman is the projected starter for the Giants this week. He is a downfield runner who takes what the defense gives him. While I do not project a huge break out game he could fulfil his cheap value rather easy.

Eddie Lacy $3,400-Another pick that will be hard to endorse. I’m going with the best matchup for a running back and assuming Lacy gets the bulk of the carries. He is so cheap it is worth the gamble.

Raiders Amari Cooper

Tony Avelar – Associated Press

 

Wide Receiver

Jordy Nelson $8,200-If you are in on Aaron Rodgers then you have to like his favorite target in this spot.

DeVante Parker $6,600-If a tree falls in the forest and no one is around to hear it does it make a sound? Sure he seems to only score in garbage time, but it still counts. Look for the tree to fall in the forest this week while everyone is around to hear it.

Dez Bryant $6,500-We all know that when a top tier perceived receiver has a bad game or games he will demand the ball. I don’t think that’s the exact case here, but this is certainly his best matchup so far and he will want the ball if open.

T.Y. Hilton $6,000-The 49ers have been very bad containing receivers this year. T.Y. Hilton is a fast, fast man. He can easily take more than one for the distance.

Amari Cooper $5,700- He has been so bad thus far and Derek Carr is already ruled out. Not to mention the Ravens have been good at holding down wide outs in check. This is ultimately a gut call for me. The talent is there for a discount and no one will be on him here.

Martavis Bryant $5,000-Martavis is poised for a breakout against a good Jags defense. I feel Bell will get a ton of carries to open up the deep ball and hopefully Bryant is the recipient.

Jaron Brown $4,500-He has been really good lately and is facing the Eagles secondary who everyone is exploiting. He is a good bet for a good day.

Robby Anderson $4,000- Robby Anderson is back on the map as the Jets main deep threat. He will likely be boom or bust, but at his price may be worth the gamble.

Donte Moncreif $3,900- I rarely suggest both receiving options on a team especially when they are missing Andrew Luck. I feel both guys have big days and a Colts stack sounds odd, yet could be a winning  play.

Zay Jones $3,600-No Jordan Matthews this week and Charles Clay is facing one of the best teams at stopping tight ends. That essentially only leaves Zay as a value. He has not yet delivered so he will likely be widely unowned.

Aldrick Robinson $3,100-He is my cheap option who could exceed his value if he gets a long one. You may need to go cheap to counter the expensive options else where.

Titans Delanie Walker

Fox Sports

Tight End

Its all about the matchups this week at tight end. There aren’t any studs available in this slate so I am looking at middle tier guys in good spots.

Delanie Walker $4,700- Walker despite having no Mariota has a plus matchup. I expect if Cassell plays they will have him be a game manager and that means short passes preferably to Walker.

Jared Cook $3,900-More of the same. Cook is a good player in a good matchup, it is just not a sexy pick and you may not feel food about locking him in.

Austin Sefarian-Jenkins $3,500-ASJ is back on the scene and immediately getting targets. I like him a lot this week, but he really needs to find the end zone to pay off big.

Antonio Gates $3,300-I was on Hunter Henry last week and he scored. I think it is Gates turn to hit pay dirt.

Tyler Croft $3,200-Tyler Croft debuted after Tyler Eifert got hurt and was okay in his first start and great in his second. I do not think he repeats with two touchdowns this week, but has a shot a getting a touch down as a big red zone target.

Defense and Special Teams

Bengals $3,300-The Browns are falling apart offensively and the Bengals are coming together defensively. Take the Bengals at home.

Raiders $2,900-As a favorite to make the playoffs the Raiders have really struggled so far. I feel that the Raiders can step up on defense and Cordarrelle Patterson always has a shot to take a kick back.

Dolphins $2,700-The dolphins should be able to hold Matt Cassell in check at home this week.

 

 

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