DraftKings Week 4 Strategy Guide

Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports. Deshaun Watson

Another week and another chance at taking home some cold, hard cash on DraftKings. I cannot complain too much about last weeks results. I am still trying to figure out what happened to Travis Kelce‘s target share last week. He had one more catch and target than I did. Terrelle Pryor also disappointed in a game where Kirk Cousins passed the ball well. You can’t get them all right, but you hope to avoid plays that kill you.

Now we move on to this weeks tournament slate, where all I can be is better. If you have been reading along this season, you know the format. For any newcomers I only use the guys I like from the main slate on DraftKings. Another reminder I tend to go cheap at the quarterback position to be able to pay up elsewhere. I know someone has to be thinking, “I can’t believe he never thinks Tom Brady will be a good play.” I try to mix it up and use different guys each week. I almost always want to use guys that my opponents wouldn’t consider.

Quarterback

Los Angeles Chargers Philip Rivers

Tom DiPace – Associated Press

Philip Rivers $6,300 – We saw Eli Manning do well against the Eagles in week three and the bank should be open again here for Rivers. Rivers may need to pass more than usual to compensate for a dinged up Melvin Gordon.

Carson Palmer $6,100 – This call is based off of the stomping Jared Goff gave the 49ers last week. If Palmer can put up anything close to Goff’s performance he will be a great value.

Eli Manning $5,700 – The theme this week continues as Eli should be able to be as good as Case Keenum was.  Right? I’m not expecting or projecting 370 yards and three touch downs, but the Bucs are hurting on the defensive side so play Eli again this week.

Tyrod Taylor $5,300 – I have been scared to use Tyrod this year until I got a handle how he would perform post Sammy Watkins. So far, so good. The game projects the Bills to be behind and needing to pass often, add that to his rushing yards and he looks like a good value play.

Trevor Siemian $5,200 – What can we expect from him?  He was top five the first two weeks then put up a dud last week finishing outside the top twenty-five. I expect a bounce back here against the Raiders.

Deshaun Watson $5,100 – He really impressed me against the Patriots, and has continued to earn points with his legs as well as his arm. Unlike Watson, I was unimpressed with the Titans defense. If this game goes back and forth, Watson could enjoy another big game.

Running Back

Bills LeSean McCoy

Harry Scull Jr. – Buffalo News

LeSean McCoy $8,400 – Shady is my top pick at his position this week. The game script should have the Bills playing catchup early and McCoy could be their leading receiver.

Leonard Fournette $6,700 – He has found pay dirt each game so far and I think that continues Sunday. This is arguably his best matchup so far.

Mike Gillislee $5,400 – This smells like a Patriots blowout game. Anytime I expect the Pats to win handily I want to roster Gillislee. He is somewhat touch down dependent, but should garner opportunities here.

Jacquizz Rodgers $4,400 – He was an unutilized option last week  due to a blowout loss, yet is looking for a rebound performance. With the suspension of Doug Martin over next week this is the last chance to impress for Rodgers in a good spot.

Wendell Smallwood $4,100 – With Sproles out, Smallwood should fill his void in passing attack. He also had the same amount of carries as the “starter” LeGarrette Blount. Look for Smallwood to get the volume here and produce.

Matt Breida $3,800 – This call is obviously only if Hyde is inactive. He has the skillset to thrive in this system, he just needs the chance.

Alex Collins $3,700 – This is a gamble. He looks like the best runner on the team. In week one the Ravens won their game while running the ball 42 times and only attempting 17 passes. Terrance West has not been a factor since, I think if the Ravens want to win they feed Collins.

Wide Reciever

Bengals AJ Green

Aaron Doster – USA TODAY Sports

A.J. Green $8,600 – The Bengals essentially did everything I expected on offense last week and looked good until the very end of the game. Green should see the bulk of targets again with Eifert out and the Browns inability to stop him make him worth paying up for.

Mike Evans $7,400 – The matchup isn’t great here as the Giants secondary is not bad. This is sort of a gut call for me. Evans was visibly upset last week against Xavier Rhodes and I expect Jameis to force him some throws leading to big numbers.

Golden Tate $6,300 – I feel many will not start any Lions offensive players this week in fear of being shut down. Tate, however, should be in the slot and get open over the middle of the field.

Emmanuel Sanders or Larry Fitzgerald $6,100 – I stated I like Siemian earlier and Sanders should benefit this week. Larry Fitzgerald proved he isn’t dead yet last week with a monster game. The matchup for Fitz is a lot better this week as long as Palmer gets him the targets again.

Kelvin Benjamin $6,000 – One of my usual rules in DFS is to rarely start hurt or questionable guys. I’m making an exception this week with Kelvin. I cannot start Cam Newton this week, yet I see him being serviceable getting Benjamin the ball.

Sterling Shepard $5,000 – At this point in their careers Sterling Shepard should gain more targets than Brandon Marshall and last week it happened. The Bucs are depleted on defense and the Giants still have no rushing attack. You can do worse at this price tag.

Cooper Kupp $4,300 – Usually I go for the high ceiling guys over the high floor players in tournament play. Sammy Watkins who is often injured was just cleared of a concussion. Kupp’s ability to get open and catch the ball has made him a favorite target for Jared Goff.

Travis Benjamin $3,900 – Everyone seems to be on Tyrell Williams this week. Travis Benjamin is the deep threat and had a big game last week. Phillip Rivers should be able to light the Eagles secondary up and Benjamin could get loose as a cheap option.

Marquise Goodwin $3,500 – This is just playing the matchup plain and simple. Patrick Peterson should be all over Garcon and Goodwin should have an easier time to get open.

Tight End

Buccaneers Cameron Brate

MARK LOMOGLIO – ICON SPORTSWIRE

Cameron Brate $3,800 – Zach Ertz had no problem getting open and like Brate to do much of the same.

Hunter Henry $3,500 – The Eagles are one of the worst teams when it comes to defending tight ends. I feel players will avoid choosing between Antonio Gates and Hunter Henry. I’m rolling the dice with Henry this week.

Eric Ebron$3,100 – Like I mentioned with Golden Tate, the middle of the field should be open. He is the only big target with Kenny Golladay likely out.

Jesse James or Austin Seferian-Jenkins $3,000 – The worst team against the tight end has been the Ravens. That alone makes the Outlaw worth the risk here. ASJ is back and looking like he will be a big part of the offense, I would recommend him here as he will likely not be this cheap again.

Defense and Special Teams

Bengals $3,500 – They get Vontaze Burfict back and played much better against one of the better offense in the NFL.

Vikings $3,100 – The Vikings at home should be a great play as Mathew Stafford has the propensity to throw interceptions from time to time.

Texans $3,000 – The secondary for the Texans has been suspect, but the front line can absolutely get to the quarterback.

Chargers $2,500 – The Eagles are a good, not great offense. Do not be scared to go cheap with the Chargers.

 

 

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